Thursday, August 11, 2016

8/11- Discussion on a surprise tornado...hot today

Good Thursday all-

A HEAT ADVISORY is up for Hartford, Tolland, and Windham counties.

Today is going to be absolutely horrendous- temps will be in the 90s with oppressive humidity and thus...treat today like it will be in the 100s. As for thunderstorms, there is a SEE TEXT risk today, but that is not my primary concern. Yes, today probably will feature some of these but it will not be the top story. That said, I was kinda expecting that to be true yesterday and look where it got me...

Although the NWS has not confirmed it, the official Steve report (:P) can confirm that a tornado hit North Haven yesterday at about 1:30 PM as a video has surfaced of the storm that shows a very blatantly obvious tornado spinning up near Montowese Ave. This was completely unexpected, but there was some low level wind shear and the air was kinda unstable. It was really a pretty pedestrian setup though, but...well the weather can do strange things sometimes, and that is exactly what it did. It's the first tornado to hit Connecticut since July 27, 2014 in Wolcott.

No development is expected in the Atlantic or Pacific basin.

Today in weather history- August 11, 1944- The all-time record high of 101 occurs in Burlington, VT.

Today also marks the end of the official "dog days of summer", which began July 3, and are denoted by the time of year when the dog star Sirius rises with the sun. It certainly will feel like them today though!

Wednesday, August 10, 2016

8/10- The storms are here

Good Wednesday all-

There is a SEE TEXT risk of severe weather today- and I think that might be too low, personally, as thunderstorm activity will be on the rise for much of the day. Some areas did get some rain this morning- including me as I got into a heavier shower for a time- and this will only get more widespread as the day wears on. As for temperatures, we're heading to nearly...but probably not over...90 today. The next few days look similar to this and, as unfortunate as that may seem at first glance, we really need the rain, so no complaining allowed!

In a truly bizarre event for this time of year, there are no tropical threats in either the Atlantic or Pacific.

Today in weather history- August 10, 1882- Similar to Monday's fact, Sandusky, OH (which is a tourist trap today due to a major amusement park on the north side of town) records heavy snow for a four minute time period. Trust me, if this happened today, you'd hear about it!

Monday, August 8, 2016

8/8- A Week of Misery

Good Monday all-

No point in beating around the bush here- this week looks like a totally miserable week of weather unless for some reason you like heat and humidity. For the majority of our week, highs will be nearly or above 90 degrees with intense humidity and afternoon thunderstorms. The two exceptions? Today and tomorrow but the problem is that it's the thunderstorm threat that does not exist today and tomorrow- it'll still be hot but a bit less humid than it will be later in the week. I'd recommend you do your outdoor activities today if you have them- you do NOT want to be out there from Wednesday to Sunday.

Yesterday, I attended my first PGA Tour event and saw the lowest round ever recorded in PGA Tour history- it was absolutely surreal and warrants a mention in here

Tropical Storm Javier formed yesterday and is almost right on top of the Baja Peninsula. It should make landfall at about 55mph, and is not going to do much except disrupt the lives of those living there. The Atlantic, in an event extremely rare for August, is entirely quiet and no development is expected for a long time.

Today in weather history- August 8, 1882- Up to 6" of snow falls on a ship in Lake Michigan, and some shoreline communities also report flurries. Yeah...that must have been a really nasty surprise.

Friday, August 5, 2016

8/5- Hot, but getting stormy then better

HAPPY FRIDAY EVERYONE-

Today is going to be a real boiler, so stay in the AC as temps are heading off to the 90s once again, with humidity quite high as well. The skies will be sunny most of the day, though a few puffy clouds are likely as well, especially in the PM hours. The big weather story of the next countless days is going to be the severe thunderstorms tomorrow, which are extremely likely and will impact the majority of towns in the state. The most likely scenario is a line of horrid weather around 2-5 PM with hail and winds being the main threats, and the SPC has placed us under a MARGINAL risk of severe weather. After that though, not only does the weather dry out, but the humidity drops, so the 84 degree weather on Sunday will feel absolutely amazing, and it is by far the best weather day of the week to come.

Today is the opening ceremony of the Games of the XXXI Olympiad in Rio. The weather for the opening ceremony appears to be mostly sunny with temperatures in the high 50s or lower 60s.



Tropical Storm Earl has unexpectedly held its' intensity at 40mph and has arrived in the extreme southern Bay of Campeche, so tropical storm warnings are up for a bizarre portion of the Mexican coastline along the southern tip of that bay. It will make its' final landfall today. Also, it appears a system is going to try developing in the northern Gulf early next week- the next name on the Atlantic list is Fiona (yes, like the Shrek character...). Also, Tropical Storm Ivette in the Pacific poses no threat to land whatsoever as it harmlessly floats around in the central part of the basin. Lastly, Earl will likely redevelop in the Pacific basin after crossing Mexico. Although this is unusual...it's not unheard of by any stretch. If it does so, then the system will be named freshly off the Pacific list, in this case Javier.

Today in weather history- August 5, 1843- A remarkable cloudburst near Philadelphia drops a whopping 16" of rain in 3 hours, and spawns a number of small tornadoes as well! The flooding kills 19 people and destroys 30 barges on the Schuylkill River.

Thursday, August 4, 2016

8/4- Nothing Exciting=Good for Most!

Good Thursday all-

First off, sorry for not updating yesterday, I was at Citi Field on Tuesday night and slept long enough that anything I wrote would have been useless as plans would have already been made, etc.

On that note, today is going to be a beautiful day with highs in the mid-80s and bright sunshine throughout other than a few of the typical fluffy cumulus. To be honest, I am not going to waste your time with typing much more. The only chance for precipitation in the next week or more is on Saturday, which will likely feature a line of showers and thunderstorms. More rain could be about a week away from now, but that's so far out there, let's not focus on that. The rest of the way, we're going to have highs in the 80s and partly sunny conditions.

Tropical Storm Earl became Hurricane Earl just before landfall in Belize, which it did this morning as a category 1 storm with 85mph winds, the first hurricane landfall in the country since 2010's Hurricane Richard. This morning, it's maintaining hurricane intensity (barely) inland pretty much over Belize City. The system will pass through southeast Mexico and ultimately end up in the East Pacific basin, where it could develop(!)- if it does, it would be given a new name- in this case Javier- as it heads towards a direct and final landfall on the Baja Peninsula about a week from now- way out there!. Tropical Storm Ivette is in the basin as well, and it could become a hurricane in time, but it poses no threat to land.

Today in weather history- August 4, 1980- After a ridiculous (and record) forty-two consecutive 100 degree days, Dallas fails to reach the mark. The month of July that year had a mean temperature of 92 degrees, far and away the record for that location.

Tuesday, August 2, 2016

8/2- Stormy morning

Good Tuesday all-

Quite honestly, I was caught severely off-guard by the thunderstorms this morning- I did not expect them to linger as long as they did, and it caused them to impact the morning commute. Hey, you learn something every time you get the forecast wrong though, so you take it in stride and move on...and now we begin a very nice stretch of weather, with the exception of Friday- which looks hot and purely miserably humid- highs in the mid 90s...no thanks! Saturday morning could feature some showers, but other than that, it remains to appear partly to mostly sunny for much of the week with temperatures in about the mid-80s, though the majority of areas will fall short of that today- some spots may not get out of the 70s, especially along the immediate shoreline.

There has been little change in the tropics since yesterday, with the most notable event being that soon to be Earl is now basically due south of Jamaica, so just a positional update there.

Today in weather history- August 2, 1975- Bar Harbor, ME, records an all-time record high of 101. When you think about how hard it is to get highs of 100 on the coast of Maine, let alone northern Maine...that's pretty impressive indeed!

For those who do not know, Bar Harbor is located here...
Image result for bar harbor, me map
 


Monday, August 1, 2016

8/1- A Wet Start to August, Hello Atlantic

Good Monday all-

There is a SEE TEXT risk of severe weather today

Today is going to be a rather dank and dreary day, with highs in the high 70s or low 80s and predominantly cloudy conditions with a few isolated showers and non-severe thunderstorms likely, particularly in the afternoon hours, but we are FINALLY heading for dryer times ahead. Tomorrow, after a shower or two in the early morning, should be getting increasingly clear through the afternoon, and then by Wednesday we should be mostly sunny with highs in the upper 80s, with the potential of reaching 90 degree temperatures by the end of the week. Partly sunny skies appear to be the norm for those days, though a few showers are certainly possible from time to time, especially Saturday morning.

On another note, Tropical Storm Earl appears to be forming in the central Caribbean this morning, and if it does it will be the first tropical wave of the season to develop. The main threat area for this system appears to be the Yucatan Peninsula and potentially the Bay of Campeche as Earl moves basically due west from its' current position. It poses no threat whatsoever to southern New England. In the Pacific, Tropical Depression 9-E has become Tropical Storm Howard at 2 AM today, meaning that it missed breaking the all-time monthly record for the Pacific basin by two hours. Oh so close, and yet so far. It is generally heading for Hawaii, but it will not be strong by the time it gets there and is not much of a concern. Additionally, another system in a similar place will probably become Tropical Storm Ivette later this week. It's interesting to note that, six years ago in 2010, the I name was Isis but the name was retired due to the ISIS terrorist organization in the middle east.



 ^^ NHC graphic depicting the potential track of Tropical Storm Earl once it develops today or tomorrow

Today in weather history- August 1, 1985- A thunderstorm stalls over Cheyenne, WY, dropping 6" of rain in 6 hours, resulting in flash flooding, but more remarkable is the fact that it also produced two to five feet of hail in the region...yikes.

Image result for happy august