What a miserable day this is going to be...well unless you like rain, but most of us should appreciate it! With our rainfall deficit as high as it is, this is extremely helpful, though 1-2" of rain that we expect today won't completely erase it...it will significantly help. Additionally, the pattern appears to be becoming very active for the next several weeks, so we may get a bit more help...but some of that may be in the form of snow. After today, the rest of the week looks dry, with the next chance of precipitation coming on Sunday, and that one could end as some snow, depending on exactly where the precipitation winds up. The first part of Thanksgiving week looks decent, but some models are suggesting the potential for a major snowstorm either on Thanksgiving Day or the days in the immediate vicinity...let's try to avoid that as it would be a travel nightmare!
^^^0z GFS indicating six to twelve inches of snow on Thanksgiving Day. Ouch. Additionally, it is still snowing at the time above, so you can raise the totals another inch or two on this model run.
The Caribbean system discussed yesterday now has a 70% chance of development over the next several days, and the islands near and including Hispanola will be paying very close attention to this one.
Today in weather history- November 15, 1900- The lake effect machine was out in full force for Watertown, NY, which picked up 45" of snow in this single 24 hour period, and a storm total of 49". By comparison, that's nearly ten inches more than the 91 corridor got during Blizzard Charlotte/Nemo in 2013!
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