Good Wednesday all-
Sorry for not posting for like a gazillion years.
Today is going to be pretty nice, albeit with quite a bit of thunderstorm activity in the late afternoon hours, with the biggest risk being for the southern portion of the state. Some of these could be severe, with hail & damaging winds. Fortunately, this is the exception rather than the rule- I expect very good weather in general for the next several days. The primary issue for now looks like Friday night and Saturday morning, when the remnants of Tropical Storm Cindy could give us some showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures will be in the low to mid 80s for the duration of the next week.
The Atlantic has come alive the last few days with the formation of Tropical Storm Bret and Tropical Storm Cindy. Bret passed through Trinidad and Tobago before meeting its' death in the eastern Caribbean, whilst Tropical Storm Cindy and its' 60mph wind is spiraling towards the Gulf Coast and is expected to drop copious amounts of rain on the region
Wednesday, June 21, 2017
Thursday, June 8, 2017
6/8- Finally Summer-Like
Good Thursday all-
The light at the end of the tunnel is upon us. Although we don't quite reach 80 today, it'll be far better than what we have experienced lately with highs reaching the upper 70s instead of the 60s. Sunshine will be the norm during the day today, although I would call the sky condition today to be partly cloudy. By tomorrow, we cool things down a bit to the low 70s- but that's just a brief stint. The problem with tomorrow's complex forecast is this-
^^^06z GFS showing a major nor'easter missing CT but only just barely
Exactly where that ends up will play a big role in our forecast, but it seems reasonable that at least eastern Connecticut will likely see some shower activity during the day tomorrow. Then on Saturday, we clear things out and go to the mid-80s on a stepping stone to a heat wave that ultimately culminates with the mid-90s by Tuesday. A cold front Tuesday night should decrease the temperature back into the 80s for Wednesday. The timing of that front is important, as a well-timed front could set off a round of severe weather Tuesday evening.
The Atlantic & Pacific basins are both quiet this morning.
Today in weather history- June 8, 1966- In an example of a storm that would be far more remembered if it happened today, a large tornado strikes downtown Topeka, KS, damaging or totalling many buildings on its' 8 mile long path. Sixteen people are killed in the event, which would likely be at least tripled if it occurred today.
The light at the end of the tunnel is upon us. Although we don't quite reach 80 today, it'll be far better than what we have experienced lately with highs reaching the upper 70s instead of the 60s. Sunshine will be the norm during the day today, although I would call the sky condition today to be partly cloudy. By tomorrow, we cool things down a bit to the low 70s- but that's just a brief stint. The problem with tomorrow's complex forecast is this-
^^^06z GFS showing a major nor'easter missing CT but only just barely
Exactly where that ends up will play a big role in our forecast, but it seems reasonable that at least eastern Connecticut will likely see some shower activity during the day tomorrow. Then on Saturday, we clear things out and go to the mid-80s on a stepping stone to a heat wave that ultimately culminates with the mid-90s by Tuesday. A cold front Tuesday night should decrease the temperature back into the 80s for Wednesday. The timing of that front is important, as a well-timed front could set off a round of severe weather Tuesday evening.
The Atlantic & Pacific basins are both quiet this morning.
Today in weather history- June 8, 1966- In an example of a storm that would be far more remembered if it happened today, a large tornado strikes downtown Topeka, KS, damaging or totalling many buildings on its' 8 mile long path. Sixteen people are killed in the event, which would likely be at least tripled if it occurred today.
Tuesday, June 6, 2017
6/6- Epic Cold
Good Tuesday all-
What a truly miserable June day this is- in fact, it is going to be one of the worst on record. Highs today have already occurred- and they were in the low 50s! By the afternoon, I suspect most of us get stuck in the 40s. Are you kidding? This is much more what we would expect in April as opposed to June. Additionally, rain will fall on and off pretty much all day. Ugh. Thankfully, this is just one day- though admittedly tomorrow doesn't look all that much better with high temperatures in the low 60s with still clouds & showers likely. Thankfully, we finally dry things out beyond that and send the temps through the roof- they'll increase each day until ultimately reaching the mid-90s by Monday.
The Atlantic and Pacific basins remain quiet this morning.
Today is D-Day. Thank you to all the vets of that day, and all those who served in WWII. We have precious few years left with them, so let's make sure that we take the time to remember exactly how much they gave for the future of both our country and the world as a whole.
What a truly miserable June day this is- in fact, it is going to be one of the worst on record. Highs today have already occurred- and they were in the low 50s! By the afternoon, I suspect most of us get stuck in the 40s. Are you kidding? This is much more what we would expect in April as opposed to June. Additionally, rain will fall on and off pretty much all day. Ugh. Thankfully, this is just one day- though admittedly tomorrow doesn't look all that much better with high temperatures in the low 60s with still clouds & showers likely. Thankfully, we finally dry things out beyond that and send the temps through the roof- they'll increase each day until ultimately reaching the mid-90s by Monday.
The Atlantic and Pacific basins remain quiet this morning.
Today is D-Day. Thank you to all the vets of that day, and all those who served in WWII. We have precious few years left with them, so let's make sure that we take the time to remember exactly how much they gave for the future of both our country and the world as a whole.
Monday, June 5, 2017
6/5- A Miserable Week Ahead
Good Monday all-
Well, this is not the start of the week we were hoping for and, unfortunately, it is not going to get any better this week- if anything, in fact, it is likely to get worse! Today will continue to be cloudy & showery, with the bulk of the showers focused in the afternoon hours. The few strongest showers could produce some thunder...and thus the state is under a SEE TEXT risk of severe weather...but a MARGINAL risk exists just barely to the west of our area. Tomorrow and Wednesday look like just an absolutely miserable couple of days, with consistent rains and cool temperatures. Thursday and Friday for now look largely dry but with some thunderstorm activity in the afternoon. This is changeable, however, as an offseason nor'easter will be close by to our area at that time. I'm watching it closely. Regardless of that outcome, additional rain is likely Saturday afternoon into Sunday. Temperatures throughout this time period will range from 60 to 80, with the 60s earlier in the period and the low 80s later- primarily favoring the weekend.
Unsurprisingly for this early in the season, both the Atlantic & Pacific basins are quiet.
Today in weather history- June 5, 1859- An extreme cold snap drops 2" of snow on Ohio, and causes frost for the entire northeast...including Connecticut...ouch...what a total shock that must have been!
Well, this is not the start of the week we were hoping for and, unfortunately, it is not going to get any better this week- if anything, in fact, it is likely to get worse! Today will continue to be cloudy & showery, with the bulk of the showers focused in the afternoon hours. The few strongest showers could produce some thunder...and thus the state is under a SEE TEXT risk of severe weather...but a MARGINAL risk exists just barely to the west of our area. Tomorrow and Wednesday look like just an absolutely miserable couple of days, with consistent rains and cool temperatures. Thursday and Friday for now look largely dry but with some thunderstorm activity in the afternoon. This is changeable, however, as an offseason nor'easter will be close by to our area at that time. I'm watching it closely. Regardless of that outcome, additional rain is likely Saturday afternoon into Sunday. Temperatures throughout this time period will range from 60 to 80, with the 60s earlier in the period and the low 80s later- primarily favoring the weekend.
Unsurprisingly for this early in the season, both the Atlantic & Pacific basins are quiet.
Today in weather history- June 5, 1859- An extreme cold snap drops 2" of snow on Ohio, and causes frost for the entire northeast...including Connecticut...ouch...what a total shock that must have been!
Thursday, June 1, 2017
6/1- Hello June- but Lots of Rain!
Good Thursday all-
June has arrived, and with it the meteorological summer!
Congratulations to all teachers & students getting out of school this month- you made it! Well done!
As for the weather, unfortunately we do not look summer like at all the next week or more. Rain is possible to likely pretty much each and every day- in fact, the only day I think most of us stay dry all day is Saturday. The rain will thankfully be showery in nature today and tomorrow, but the big issues begin on Sunday. Rain should arrive by the afternoon, and unfortunately it looks like at least Monday and Tuesday are total washouts, with showers remaining until the end of next weekend. Ouch. To add insult to injury, I do not see a single 80 degree day in sight here in CT...and that is super odd for early June. In fact, I doubt we even get to 70 Monday or Tuesday. Not the greatest start to the summer for sure.
In the tropics- Tropical Storm Beatriz has struck the west coast of Mexico after attaining named storm status right at landfall. The leftover moisture will make its' way into the Gulf and although development is not overly likely, it should still be watched just in case.
Today...June 1, 2017...is the beginning of the 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season...which will last until November 30. This years' list of names is Bret, Cindy, Don, Emily, Franklin, Gert, Harvey, Irma, Jose, Katia, Lee, Maria, Nate, Ophelia, Philippe, Rina, Sean, Tammy, Vince, and Whitney, due to 'Arlene' being used in April. If these names look familiar, they were used in two very infamous hurricane seasons recently- 2005, when we used all the names and went deep into the greek alphabet- and 2011, when Irene clobbered Connecticut, becoming the first hurricane to have a severe impact on the state in twenty years. The season looks to be quite active, so I highly recommend you pay extra attention. The long term average for the Atlantic basin is 12 named storms...6 hurricanes...and 3 major hurricanes. My predictions for this year are 15-7-4, which is exactly the same as last year's actual results. Last year I was slightly too high, and I am hoping for a better result this year.
June has arrived, and with it the meteorological summer!
Congratulations to all teachers & students getting out of school this month- you made it! Well done!
As for the weather, unfortunately we do not look summer like at all the next week or more. Rain is possible to likely pretty much each and every day- in fact, the only day I think most of us stay dry all day is Saturday. The rain will thankfully be showery in nature today and tomorrow, but the big issues begin on Sunday. Rain should arrive by the afternoon, and unfortunately it looks like at least Monday and Tuesday are total washouts, with showers remaining until the end of next weekend. Ouch. To add insult to injury, I do not see a single 80 degree day in sight here in CT...and that is super odd for early June. In fact, I doubt we even get to 70 Monday or Tuesday. Not the greatest start to the summer for sure.
In the tropics- Tropical Storm Beatriz has struck the west coast of Mexico after attaining named storm status right at landfall. The leftover moisture will make its' way into the Gulf and although development is not overly likely, it should still be watched just in case.
Today...June 1, 2017...is the beginning of the 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season...which will last until November 30. This years' list of names is Bret, Cindy, Don, Emily, Franklin, Gert, Harvey, Irma, Jose, Katia, Lee, Maria, Nate, Ophelia, Philippe, Rina, Sean, Tammy, Vince, and Whitney, due to 'Arlene' being used in April. If these names look familiar, they were used in two very infamous hurricane seasons recently- 2005, when we used all the names and went deep into the greek alphabet- and 2011, when Irene clobbered Connecticut, becoming the first hurricane to have a severe impact on the state in twenty years. The season looks to be quite active, so I highly recommend you pay extra attention. The long term average for the Atlantic basin is 12 named storms...6 hurricanes...and 3 major hurricanes. My predictions for this year are 15-7-4, which is exactly the same as last year's actual results. Last year I was slightly too high, and I am hoping for a better result this year.
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