Friday, January 18, 2019

Major Winter Storm Likely This Weekend

Good FRIDAY everyone!

What a miserable day we have in store for Sunday. The entire state is under a WINTER STORM WATCH, which will be upgraded to a warning later today for the 2nd major winter storm of the 18-19 winter.

This is a very complicated forecast, I'm not going to lie to you. The difference of about 50-75 miles is going to be the difference between picking up 10-20" of snow or 0.4-1" of ice accretion. We all are hoping for the former, obviously, because that amount of ice would be absolutely ridiculous and cause numerous power outage issues and significant tree damage. Models do not agree on which is correct at the moment, so I'm going to play it safe and go with something in the middle of the road here, which most of our local TV stations seem to be doing as well. Therefore, my first call for central Connecticut is: 6-12" of snow, followed by 0.3-0.6" of ice accretion. The amount of either of these is highly variable, and should be monitored carefully over the next 24 hours to see if we trend in either direction. Monday is already a day off for the vast majority of school districts, but if you have school, you probably won't: I expect all districts that do have school in session to be closed completely on Monday to allow time to shovel and move the snow!

I'll update again after the mid-day model runs today. Let's see what happens!

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