Monday, June 30, 2014

6/30- Big tropical trouble

Good Monday all-

A fantastic day is on the way for us here! Low humidity and temperatures in the mid 80s should allow today to be a fabulous day to spend outside and play, so make sure to take advantage of it! Unfortunately, though, today is pretty much the last good day for a while as the next 3 days will feature high humidity and scattered thunderstorms with the intensity increasing each day until Thursday, which will likely feature severe weather for a large portion of our area, which could include hail and damaging winds.

Now for the real trouble...

In the Pacific- Tropical Storm Douglas formed yesterday 480 miles SSW of the southernmost tip of the Baja peninsula. It has 40 mph winds and some slight strengthening is likely, but I doubt that it will be a hurricane. Additionally, a low pressure system 180 miles SW of Manzanillo, Mexico is likely to become Tropical Storm Elida today or tomorrow as it moves off to the NW.

In the Atlantic- The low off the Carolinas is extremely likely now to become Tropical Storm Arthur today or tomorrow. It will then meander off the coast of Florida the next few days, then head north and eventually eastward. The location of the eastward turn is key, as models show everything from a storm hundreds of miles out to sea to a direct tropical storm hit in Connecticut. I'd favor something in between, with a track about 100 miles to our south...but don't take that to the bank as it is a week off, but it would come on the 4th of July if it hit! YIKES!

Today in weather history- June 30, 1968-  Sault Ste. Marie, MI, manages to go an entire month without a single sunny day as all days are recorded as overcast

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Is this coming to New England for the 4th?

Image source: hurricanes.gov

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