Sunday, June 29, 2014

WATCHING THE TROPICS

Good Sunday all-

I don't usually update on weekends, but there is a disturbing trend that must be addressed here to give everyone a heads up. The tropical low off the Carolinas appears likely now to become Tropical Storm Arthur this weekend and drift towards Florida. A bigger concern, however, is a dip in the jet stream that follows and drags the storm northward. Although it may well go out to sea to the south of our region, it could be very, very close. The 40-70 benchmark is certainly in play here, as is a pure direct TS hit (The European model was showing this last night). It wouldn't be as bad as, say, Hurricane Irene if it did come, but it could still cause some serious, serious trouble. One thing that I do not think will happen is a hurricane hit here as it would be weaker than that by the time it gets up here. You never know, however, so keep your eyes on it...

No comments:

Post a Comment