Good Monday all-
All I can say is "wow" with regards to the forecast for the next several days- they are going to be the best days in a long time! We're going to struggle to reach the 80s today- something that you haven't heard me say in a very, very long time! I think most of us do get there...but some shoreline and higher elevation communities could indeed get stuck in the upper 70s! Even better, tomorrow looks fantastic as well, with only a degree or two warmer than today- and the rest of the week will be in the mid-80s. We can expect partly sunny skies at all times, except for Friday night and Saturday morning, when a cold front moves through the area and will bring the temperatures back down to where we are today. No matter what...this is the best weather week...by far...we have had this month...so enjoy it!
The Atlantic remains very active, as although Fiona died, it'll be replaced by Gaston today. The forecast for this one is pretty straightforward...it's heading for the central Atlantic where it will rapidly intensify into a pretty extreme major hurricane as it approaches but likely stays just barely east of Bermuda. It's far too close for comfort though- if Bermuda does get hit, let's just say it will be bad. We're talking a cat 4 potentially...yikes. Additionally, a wave is also pretty likely to develop near the Bahamas. That puts us in a vulnerable spot, but we're way too far out to know exactly what will transpire with this one. In the Pacific, Kay continues to spin harmlessly, but there will be no new development anytime in the near future.
Today in weather history- August 22, 1992- True history occurs, as category 5 Hurricane Andrew makes landfall in Homestead, FL, killing 65 people and doing $26.5 billion in damage, making this the 4th most damaging tropical system in US history. Also worth noting is that Andrew is one of only 3 category five hurricanes to ever make landfall in the United States. The others are the Labor Day Hurricane of 1935 in the Florida Keys...and of course, 1969's Hurricane Camille.
Monday, August 22, 2016
Friday, August 19, 2016
8/19- Heat Returns, Major Tropical Trouble?
Happy FRIDAY everyone!
It's another scorcher out there today! Highs will be approaching 90 once again, but thankfully the humidity won't be too high and there is no threat of precipitation. In fact, the only rain threat in the next week comes Sunday night into Monday with a cold front that will actually be powerful enough to send temps plummeting into the upper 70s or low 80s- yes, that's BELOW AVERAGE! The problem is getting there- we have several hot and humid days to get through to get there- upper 80s and low 90s will be prevalent accompanied by humid conditions over the weekend, with predominantly party to mostly sunny conditions.
The tropics are very complex today, so I'll divide them by basin
In the Pacific- Tropical Storm Kay has formed as expected, but it poses no threat to land and thus is of little concern.
In the Atlantic- Wow, where to start? Tropical Storm Fiona packs 45mph winds this morning, but it poses no threat to land as it weakens and harmless goes to the notorious hurricane graveyard that is the north central Atlantic. That said, there is one wave right now that has the potential to do something truly incredible and potentially be a devastating hurricane somewhere. We're up to a 50-50 chance of development- in actuality I think it's much higher- and the models are extraordinarily bullish on it. I don't mean to alarm people here, as all it is right now is potential, but...this could be a storm to remember. Additionally, another one will likely develop behind it, but that appears to be another one for the fishes. The next two names on the name list are Gaston and Hermine.
DISCLAIMER- I am about to post something that I probably shouldn't as it is maybe a 1% chance at best, but is still amazing to look at (I've never seen it before). PLEASE do not take this literally until I say otherwise...which is unlikely to ever happen.
That is very alarming and shows that the potential does exist for this to be one for the ages for someone. Do not focus on location- if you look at the date, it's still 13 days away!
Today in weather history- August 19, 1991- Hurricane Bob makes final landfall in Rhode Island, causing $1.5 billion in damage and killing 17. For some twenty years, this would be the last hurricane to have a direct impact on the region, prior to 2011's Hurricane Irene.
Thursday, August 18, 2016
8/18- Surprisingly Heavy Rain
Good Thursday all-
It's rather wet this morning, and frankly I am quite surprised. None of the models really picked up on these showers, but hey it happens. Fortunately, these should clear up fairly soon and the rest of the day should be dry except for a scattered PM storm or two- but the concern is limited and there is only a SEE TEXT risk. Otherwise, we can expect temperatures in the upper 80s and partly sunny conditions- that's not too bad, all things considered! Tomorrow will be better than today with similar conditions except for the rain threat. The upcoming weekend looks fairly awful, with highs in the low 90s, pretty good humidity, and thunderstorms in the afternoon hours. By next week, it appears we may actually dip to the low 80s a few times...that will be super refreshing!
Tropical Depression #6 has become Tropical Storm Fiona in the far eastern Atlantic near the Cape Verdes, but it appears to pose no threat to land at this time. Another tropical wave is going to try to develop over the weekend and into next week. It may take a bit of time to do so, but the next name on the list is Gaston. Additionally, a low in the East Pacific is probably about to become Tropical Storm Kay as it essentially parallels the Baja Peninsula.
Today in weather history- August 18, 1983- Hurricane Alicia strikes Texas, causing $3 billion in damage (1983USD) and killing 13, but injuring 2000. This is one of the costliest hurricanes in the history of the Atlantic basin when inflation is taken into account!
It's rather wet this morning, and frankly I am quite surprised. None of the models really picked up on these showers, but hey it happens. Fortunately, these should clear up fairly soon and the rest of the day should be dry except for a scattered PM storm or two- but the concern is limited and there is only a SEE TEXT risk. Otherwise, we can expect temperatures in the upper 80s and partly sunny conditions- that's not too bad, all things considered! Tomorrow will be better than today with similar conditions except for the rain threat. The upcoming weekend looks fairly awful, with highs in the low 90s, pretty good humidity, and thunderstorms in the afternoon hours. By next week, it appears we may actually dip to the low 80s a few times...that will be super refreshing!
Tropical Depression #6 has become Tropical Storm Fiona in the far eastern Atlantic near the Cape Verdes, but it appears to pose no threat to land at this time. Another tropical wave is going to try to develop over the weekend and into next week. It may take a bit of time to do so, but the next name on the list is Gaston. Additionally, a low in the East Pacific is probably about to become Tropical Storm Kay as it essentially parallels the Baja Peninsula.
Today in weather history- August 18, 1983- Hurricane Alicia strikes Texas, causing $3 billion in damage (1983USD) and killing 13, but injuring 2000. This is one of the costliest hurricanes in the history of the Atlantic basin when inflation is taken into account!
Wednesday, August 17, 2016
8/17- Growing Warmer again
Good Wednesday all-
Today is going to be pretty cool compared to previous days (although that really isn't saying much) with highs in the mid 80s but...the humidity will not be nearly as bad as this weekend, so that is a relief! The thunderstorms promised for yesterday didn't really materialize- I was quite surprised but we should really be grateful because had they formed...we could have had very strong tornadoes with the setup yesterday- it was the best for a major outbreak in years- but we dodged the bullet. Fortunately, nothing like that is likely over the next several days...the only threats of thunderstorms seem to lie tomorrow (a slim chance), Sunday, and Monday (better chances). The latter two threats though...are too early to know much about so we shall have to wait and see what happens.
Tropical Depression Six- and soon to be Tropical Storm Fiona- has formed in the far eastern Atlantic near the Cape Verde Islands, and it is generally heading for Bermuda, though whether or not it gets there is very debatable as a dip in the jet stream could well grab the system before it has much of an impact whatsoever.
Additionally, development is possible in the Pacific later this week as a low moves west of the Baja- if it does, the next name on the Pacific's list is Kay.
Today in weather history- August 17, 1969- Hurricane Camille makes its' final historic landfall along the Mississippi coast. The strongest ever US landfall, Camille and its' 170mph sustained winds cause $1.2 billion (1969USD) in damage, kills 256 people, and devastates coastal communities on its' way to becoming one of the worst hurricanes to ever strike the United States.
Today is going to be pretty cool compared to previous days (although that really isn't saying much) with highs in the mid 80s but...the humidity will not be nearly as bad as this weekend, so that is a relief! The thunderstorms promised for yesterday didn't really materialize- I was quite surprised but we should really be grateful because had they formed...we could have had very strong tornadoes with the setup yesterday- it was the best for a major outbreak in years- but we dodged the bullet. Fortunately, nothing like that is likely over the next several days...the only threats of thunderstorms seem to lie tomorrow (a slim chance), Sunday, and Monday (better chances). The latter two threats though...are too early to know much about so we shall have to wait and see what happens.
![[Image of 5-day forecast and coastal areas under a warning or a watch]](https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/blogger_img_proxy/AEn0k_s4VvrltWuJa9whviZEAW0YGrm-tk0j_7lISOxY_W5Bhtjio9vY9FwJI7u-bHj70_bUVBRt7YwnK5ysMIbRa0JFhAkA4wpSMQQuOniXSHh0EKWYLYjNB9gegQalnh9Qo68Huo45LjSdbapmQJGR1kQT0ALCcPoK_IGU=s0-d) |
| ^ Tropical Depression Six is generally heading for Bermuda |
Additionally, development is possible in the Pacific later this week as a low moves west of the Baja- if it does, the next name on the Pacific's list is Kay.
Today in weather history- August 17, 1969- Hurricane Camille makes its' final historic landfall along the Mississippi coast. The strongest ever US landfall, Camille and its' 170mph sustained winds cause $1.2 billion (1969USD) in damage, kills 256 people, and devastates coastal communities on its' way to becoming one of the worst hurricanes to ever strike the United States.
Tuesday, August 16, 2016
8/16- Extreme Weather Possible Today
Good Tuesday all-
There is a SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER for the entire state.
Well, this is going to be fun today...a warm front is stalled out to our west and there is strong wind shear present in the lower levels. What does that mean? Well, it means strong to severe thunderstorms are likely today...and they include the possibility of tornadoes. Actually, for the first time in a long time, I am more concerned about the risk of tornadoes than otherwise damaging winds...though hail is also quite likely in some of the stronger cells that develop throughout the day today. These showers will be possible at any time, but are especially likely during the afternoon and evening hours, beginning around 1 or 2. The good news is that after today...we have no threat of precipitation until Saturday. As for temperatures, they will remain in the mid to upper 80s throughout the next 7 days.
A low near the Cape Verde Islands is about to become Tropical Storm Fiona, but it does appear heading generally off to the dead zone that is the central Atlantic...but you never know, and given its' location it always pays to keep an eye on it as Cape Verde type storms tend to be the most powerful variety. The Pacific remains quiet at this time, though some development off Mexico is possible at the end of the week
Today in weather history- August 16, 1909- San Bernadino, CA begins a remarkable stretch of dry weather, as no rain falls on this day...or any other until May 6, 1912!! That's nearly 3 years without a single drop of rain...and you thought our drought was bad!
There is a SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER for the entire state.
Well, this is going to be fun today...a warm front is stalled out to our west and there is strong wind shear present in the lower levels. What does that mean? Well, it means strong to severe thunderstorms are likely today...and they include the possibility of tornadoes. Actually, for the first time in a long time, I am more concerned about the risk of tornadoes than otherwise damaging winds...though hail is also quite likely in some of the stronger cells that develop throughout the day today. These showers will be possible at any time, but are especially likely during the afternoon and evening hours, beginning around 1 or 2. The good news is that after today...we have no threat of precipitation until Saturday. As for temperatures, they will remain in the mid to upper 80s throughout the next 7 days.
A low near the Cape Verde Islands is about to become Tropical Storm Fiona, but it does appear heading generally off to the dead zone that is the central Atlantic...but you never know, and given its' location it always pays to keep an eye on it as Cape Verde type storms tend to be the most powerful variety. The Pacific remains quiet at this time, though some development off Mexico is possible at the end of the week
Today in weather history- August 16, 1909- San Bernadino, CA begins a remarkable stretch of dry weather, as no rain falls on this day...or any other until May 6, 1912!! That's nearly 3 years without a single drop of rain...and you thought our drought was bad!
Monday, August 15, 2016
8/15- Improvement at last!
Good Monday all-
It's finally over! The humidity has broken this morning and, while it will be hot...it won't feel anywhere near as bad as it has the last few days...thank goodness! In fact, after tomorrow...the rest of the week looks amazing! Another cold front will be passing through southern New England tomorrow, accompanied by thunderstorms, but other than that...the rest of the week will be partly sunny and feature temps in the mid-80s. The weekend does look a bit messy though, with showers and thunderstorms likely for both days, though temps should remain moderate as we start to really wind down the meteorological summer, which concludes at the end of this month.
A low near Cape Verde could develop slightly, but I do not believe it will be anything significant in the long run. No development is expected in the Pacific anytime in the near future.
Today in weather history- August 15, 1787- A tornado hits Wethersfield, CT, killing two people and damaging many other surrounding communities. This twister...estimated at EF4 intensity...is part of a massive tornado outbreak in New England, which featured 3 tornadoes in Connecticut...and is likely the biggest single day tornado outbreak in our state's history, especially when intensity is taken into account.
It's finally over! The humidity has broken this morning and, while it will be hot...it won't feel anywhere near as bad as it has the last few days...thank goodness! In fact, after tomorrow...the rest of the week looks amazing! Another cold front will be passing through southern New England tomorrow, accompanied by thunderstorms, but other than that...the rest of the week will be partly sunny and feature temps in the mid-80s. The weekend does look a bit messy though, with showers and thunderstorms likely for both days, though temps should remain moderate as we start to really wind down the meteorological summer, which concludes at the end of this month.
A low near Cape Verde could develop slightly, but I do not believe it will be anything significant in the long run. No development is expected in the Pacific anytime in the near future.
Today in weather history- August 15, 1787- A tornado hits Wethersfield, CT, killing two people and damaging many other surrounding communities. This twister...estimated at EF4 intensity...is part of a massive tornado outbreak in New England, which featured 3 tornadoes in Connecticut...and is likely the biggest single day tornado outbreak in our state's history, especially when intensity is taken into account.
Friday, August 12, 2016
8/12- Thank Gosh for AC!
Happy Friday everyone!
A HEAT ADVISORY is up for all of Connecticut, but a rare EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH is up for tomorrow and Sunday
Today is going to be like yesterday except...slightly worse! I mean it...we're going to the 90s today, but heat index values will likely be near 105 for pretty much everyone. Like yesterday, showers and thunderstorms are very likely this afternoon...and some of them could be strong as there is a MARGINAL risk of severe weather today and Sunday...with a see text risk tomorrow. The worst day of this nightmarish weather is likely tomorrow, when the heat index could be near 110. This is serious and potentially fatal heat if disrespected...so please do not make that mistake! Sunday looks better, but the heat fully comes to an end on Monday.
Both the Atlantic and Pacific basins remain quiet.
Today in weather history- August 12, 1955- Hurricane Connie makes its' final landfall in North Carolina, dropping prolific amounts of rain and causing extreme flooding, especially when Hurricane Diane follows less than a week later!
A HEAT ADVISORY is up for all of Connecticut, but a rare EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH is up for tomorrow and Sunday
Today is going to be like yesterday except...slightly worse! I mean it...we're going to the 90s today, but heat index values will likely be near 105 for pretty much everyone. Like yesterday, showers and thunderstorms are very likely this afternoon...and some of them could be strong as there is a MARGINAL risk of severe weather today and Sunday...with a see text risk tomorrow. The worst day of this nightmarish weather is likely tomorrow, when the heat index could be near 110. This is serious and potentially fatal heat if disrespected...so please do not make that mistake! Sunday looks better, but the heat fully comes to an end on Monday.
Both the Atlantic and Pacific basins remain quiet.
Today in weather history- August 12, 1955- Hurricane Connie makes its' final landfall in North Carolina, dropping prolific amounts of rain and causing extreme flooding, especially when Hurricane Diane follows less than a week later!
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