Greetings-
I'm back and college is over, so my life got a whole lot simpler. I again apologize for my long absense, but I am ready to once more discuss the weather with everyone. The big story this week is the rapidly increasing temperatures our area will experience. With highs heading for the 70s tomorrow, 80s Wednesday, and 90s Thursday! That's about as big a trend as it gets...only to get promptly knocked back to earth. Next week, unfortunately, looks kinda similar to what we had last week, with temperatures very unlikely to reach 70 on most days. Thus far, May has been exceptionally cool, featuring miles below average temperatures and even some snowflakes in Norfolk on the 8th!
Today...May 15th, 2017...marks the beginning of the Pacific Hurricane Season, which will last until November 30. This years list of names is Adrian (which was used about a week ago), Beatriz, Calvin, Dora, Eugene, Fernanda, Greg, Hilary, Irwin, Jova, Kenneth, Lydia, Max, Norma, Otis, Pilar, Ramon, Selma, Todd, Veronica, Wiley, Xina, York, and Zelda. This season will likely be above average for the Pacific basin as an El Nino develops over the summer months, so keep your eyes on this side of the world for some big ones!
There are now just 16 days until the Atlantic hurricane season begins on June 1.
Additionally, I will be in Florida from Thursday May 18 to Friday May 26, and will likely not be able to update at that time. I hope to be here every day between now and then, however, and expect to be back on Monday, May 29 (memorial day)
Monday, May 15, 2017
Monday, May 1, 2017
5/1- May Starts Wet
Good Monday all
Ready for more rain? No? Too bad, unfortunately, as wet weather has arrived over the region, with showers and thunderstorms likely during the overnight hours tonight. This is associated with the devastating storm system that has killed around 20 people across the midsection of the country with tornadoes and flooding. Fortunately, I do not expect anything like that, but it still will not be pleasant, and the umbrella will be needed later tonight, primarily in the overnight hours. After this, we dry things out for at least the next three days before we get stuck with a total washout on Friday.
^^^Current GFS showing pouring rain on Friday afternoon
Temperatures should be in the upper 60s to low 70s, which is very near the average for early May.
Today in weather history- May 1, 1854- The Connecticut River in Hartford records a depth of 29 feet, the highest level ever recorded at that time. This occurs after a 66-hour long rainstorm floods pretty much the entire northeast region. Our weather has been bad lately, but not THAT bad!
It has been that bad in Texas & Missouri, however, and my thoughts & prayers go out to those impacted by the extreme flooding and strong tornadoes.
Ready for more rain? No? Too bad, unfortunately, as wet weather has arrived over the region, with showers and thunderstorms likely during the overnight hours tonight. This is associated with the devastating storm system that has killed around 20 people across the midsection of the country with tornadoes and flooding. Fortunately, I do not expect anything like that, but it still will not be pleasant, and the umbrella will be needed later tonight, primarily in the overnight hours. After this, we dry things out for at least the next three days before we get stuck with a total washout on Friday.
^^^Current GFS showing pouring rain on Friday afternoon
Temperatures should be in the upper 60s to low 70s, which is very near the average for early May.
Today in weather history- May 1, 1854- The Connecticut River in Hartford records a depth of 29 feet, the highest level ever recorded at that time. This occurs after a 66-hour long rainstorm floods pretty much the entire northeast region. Our weather has been bad lately, but not THAT bad!
It has been that bad in Texas & Missouri, however, and my thoughts & prayers go out to those impacted by the extreme flooding and strong tornadoes.
Monday, April 24, 2017
4/24- Rainy Week
Good Monday all-
We have quite a bit of rain in store for us over the coming days, but fortunately not today! The day today should be delightful, with highs in the low 70s likely for much of the state (with lower temps likely along the shoreline). Tomorrow is the day we have a big problem, and it will be pouring pretty much all day with highs only in the mid 50s. The rain could last into Wednesday morning before we clear things out for the afternoon. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible both Thursday and Friday afternoon as we have hot and humid weather in the works. The weekend looks a touch cooler, with highs generally in the mid 70s and some passing showers on Sunday.
Today in weather history- April 24, 2010- A massive long track tornado, with a width of up to 1.75 miles and a path length of 149.25 miles, strikes Mississippi. The hardest hit area was Yazoo City, MS where four people were killed. In all, ten people are killed. This is the widest tornado ever recorded in the state of Mississippi.
We have quite a bit of rain in store for us over the coming days, but fortunately not today! The day today should be delightful, with highs in the low 70s likely for much of the state (with lower temps likely along the shoreline). Tomorrow is the day we have a big problem, and it will be pouring pretty much all day with highs only in the mid 50s. The rain could last into Wednesday morning before we clear things out for the afternoon. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible both Thursday and Friday afternoon as we have hot and humid weather in the works. The weekend looks a touch cooler, with highs generally in the mid 70s and some passing showers on Sunday.
Today in weather history- April 24, 2010- A massive long track tornado, with a width of up to 1.75 miles and a path length of 149.25 miles, strikes Mississippi. The hardest hit area was Yazoo City, MS where four people were killed. In all, ten people are killed. This is the widest tornado ever recorded in the state of Mississippi.
Wednesday, April 19, 2017
4/19- Stormy Times
Good Wednesday all-
First off, I cannot begin to apologize for missing this long. Totally my fault as I had other things taking my time...and the weather has been rather uninteresting lately. With finals coming up...I cannot promise updates as frequently as I would like. I should be back to a regular update schedule by mid-May.
Today is going to be a miserable day at least in terms of temperature, with highs only in the low 50s, but at last any precipitation should hold off until later tonight, as a cold front moves through. It's a pretty weak one, but some showers are still likely overnight tonight. Tomorrow morning, some showers are possible in the morning, but the bigger story is tomorrow evening, when a far more significant rainfall event is possible with generally .5" to 1" of rain likely. As for the weekend, Saturday is the better of the weekend days, as rain appears likely for Sunday, and that could potentially be pretty significant, so I'll be watching.
In the Atlantic, a subtropical low is trying hard to become Subtropical Storm Arlene over the far eastern side of the basin, and it may succeed today as it drifts slowly east, but it poses no threat to land and will be dead by tomorrow whether it develops or not
First off, I cannot begin to apologize for missing this long. Totally my fault as I had other things taking my time...and the weather has been rather uninteresting lately. With finals coming up...I cannot promise updates as frequently as I would like. I should be back to a regular update schedule by mid-May.
Today is going to be a miserable day at least in terms of temperature, with highs only in the low 50s, but at last any precipitation should hold off until later tonight, as a cold front moves through. It's a pretty weak one, but some showers are still likely overnight tonight. Tomorrow morning, some showers are possible in the morning, but the bigger story is tomorrow evening, when a far more significant rainfall event is possible with generally .5" to 1" of rain likely. As for the weekend, Saturday is the better of the weekend days, as rain appears likely for Sunday, and that could potentially be pretty significant, so I'll be watching.
In the Atlantic, a subtropical low is trying hard to become Subtropical Storm Arlene over the far eastern side of the basin, and it may succeed today as it drifts slowly east, but it poses no threat to land and will be dead by tomorrow whether it develops or not
Wednesday, April 5, 2017
4/4- Get Ready for RAIN
Good Wednesday all-
A FLOOD WATCH is up for all of Connecticut.
Oh boy, tomorrow going to be a wet one! Thankfully though, we do get a one day break in the weather with partly cloudy skies during the day today as we get into a lull in the activity between the two systems. Highs will finally actually be a bit above normal, perhaps reaching the lower 60s, but tomorrow looks horrendous, with torrential rains all day and highs in the low 50s. This could be accompanied by some thunderstorms as well, and we likely will be stuck with some showers through both Friday and Saturday. All in all, I believe that most of Connecticut will see 1-2" of rain, with locally higher amounts. That's not great...but what is great is the weather early next week, when it looks as though temperatures could approach not 70 but 80 degrees!
There is likely to be a major tornado outbreak today in the area called 'Dixie Alley', which is northern sections of Alabama, Mississippi, and Georgia. Keep them in your thoughts today.
With no snow in sight, I am ready to conclude the 2016-17 winter with a snowfall review. The winter was a strange one, because we would get a fair amount of snow, it would melt, we'd get more, etc. So where did we end up? Well, BDL's total snowfall was 60", which is 20" above average and is close to the all-time top 10. It doesn't necessarily feel like it right? When you think about it though, any time we get five named storms in a winter is likely to be above average in terms of snowfall, and we had two storms that dropped a foot or two of snow on the state (Chris and Eugene).
A FLOOD WATCH is up for all of Connecticut.
Oh boy, tomorrow going to be a wet one! Thankfully though, we do get a one day break in the weather with partly cloudy skies during the day today as we get into a lull in the activity between the two systems. Highs will finally actually be a bit above normal, perhaps reaching the lower 60s, but tomorrow looks horrendous, with torrential rains all day and highs in the low 50s. This could be accompanied by some thunderstorms as well, and we likely will be stuck with some showers through both Friday and Saturday. All in all, I believe that most of Connecticut will see 1-2" of rain, with locally higher amounts. That's not great...but what is great is the weather early next week, when it looks as though temperatures could approach not 70 but 80 degrees!
There is likely to be a major tornado outbreak today in the area called 'Dixie Alley', which is northern sections of Alabama, Mississippi, and Georgia. Keep them in your thoughts today.
With no snow in sight, I am ready to conclude the 2016-17 winter with a snowfall review. The winter was a strange one, because we would get a fair amount of snow, it would melt, we'd get more, etc. So where did we end up? Well, BDL's total snowfall was 60", which is 20" above average and is close to the all-time top 10. It doesn't necessarily feel like it right? When you think about it though, any time we get five named storms in a winter is likely to be above average in terms of snowfall, and we had two storms that dropped a foot or two of snow on the state (Chris and Eugene).
Monday, April 3, 2017
4/3- April starts wet
Good Monday all-
Happy Opening Day, Red Sox Nation and Mets fans! And a belated one to Yankee fans (though yesterday was NOT fun).
The first week of April looks to be delivering on the promise of April showers...with total washouts likely tomorrow, Thursday, and Friday. Today, however, will feature variable cloudiness with highs a seasonable 55 or so. Tomorrow will be much colder than normal with 1-2" of rain expected...ouch...but we're nearly out of our drought- and that may really be the case by the weekend as a storm system stalls out directly over us, washing out Thursday and Friday, whilst bothering us with showers even into Saturday. All of this precip appears to be rain instead of snow, thankfully, but I will hold off on writing my winter recap yet as there does appear to be one last cold shot possible with precip in the vicinity somewhere around mid-month. I'll keep you updated!
Prayers to the victims of the tornadoes in Louisiana yesterday.
Happy Opening Day, Red Sox Nation and Mets fans! And a belated one to Yankee fans (though yesterday was NOT fun).
The first week of April looks to be delivering on the promise of April showers...with total washouts likely tomorrow, Thursday, and Friday. Today, however, will feature variable cloudiness with highs a seasonable 55 or so. Tomorrow will be much colder than normal with 1-2" of rain expected...ouch...but we're nearly out of our drought- and that may really be the case by the weekend as a storm system stalls out directly over us, washing out Thursday and Friday, whilst bothering us with showers even into Saturday. All of this precip appears to be rain instead of snow, thankfully, but I will hold off on writing my winter recap yet as there does appear to be one last cold shot possible with precip in the vicinity somewhere around mid-month. I'll keep you updated!
Prayers to the victims of the tornadoes in Louisiana yesterday.
Thursday, March 30, 2017
3/30- VERY Tricky Forecast
Greetings everyone-
Wow, this is going to be an adventure. First, a WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY is up for the northern 4 counties, but just to the north of that there is a WINTER STORM WARNING.
This is one of the toughest calls you can have as a meteorologist. Right now...the best guess is a 34 degree rain. That is insanely painful to see...because just 2 degrees colder would yield an ice storm for the ages...but that seems rather unlikely for now. The bottom line is that we can expect about 1.5" of rain/snow/sleet/fzg rain out of this. How much of each is very up in the air. For snow, anything from rain to a double-digit snowfall in northern CT is on the table. For ice, anything from nothing to up to 0.25-0.75" is on the table as well.
Thus, all I can say is to remain very aware of conditions tomorrow. As of the moment, the most likely scenario is a very, very cold rain, with temperatures just barely above the freezing mark. A two degree drop in temperature would dramatically change the ballgame, so stay tuned..
I will have an update in the morning. It's a fitting end to what has been a remarkable month of weather.
Wow, this is going to be an adventure. First, a WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY is up for the northern 4 counties, but just to the north of that there is a WINTER STORM WARNING.
This is one of the toughest calls you can have as a meteorologist. Right now...the best guess is a 34 degree rain. That is insanely painful to see...because just 2 degrees colder would yield an ice storm for the ages...but that seems rather unlikely for now. The bottom line is that we can expect about 1.5" of rain/snow/sleet/fzg rain out of this. How much of each is very up in the air. For snow, anything from rain to a double-digit snowfall in northern CT is on the table. For ice, anything from nothing to up to 0.25-0.75" is on the table as well.
Thus, all I can say is to remain very aware of conditions tomorrow. As of the moment, the most likely scenario is a very, very cold rain, with temperatures just barely above the freezing mark. A two degree drop in temperature would dramatically change the ballgame, so stay tuned..
I will have an update in the morning. It's a fitting end to what has been a remarkable month of weather.
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