Monday, July 21, 2014

7/21- Great week ahead...if you like heat

Good Monday all- Sorry that the work week is back!

Today is going to be the most pleasant of the next week, with only moderate humidity and temps in the mid 80s. Unfortunately, the next few days, the humidity climbs and the temperatures will approach or exceed 90 in most locations. By Wednesday, scattered storms are possible, but Thursday is probably going to be quite the severe outbreak I fear- the high humidity and an approaching cold front are generally the perfect setup for severe thunderstorms with large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes. Personally, I don't think the tornado threat is very high at all this time, but that is, quite honestly, a gut feeling more than anything else. Either way, the weekend is likely going to be fantastic, though a storm will be near on Sunday.

In the Atlantic- A low pressure system about 1000 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands has a 10% chance of becoming Tropical Storm Bertha in the next 5 days as it meanders west. I don't think it will succeed, however, largely because of unfavorable wind shear. It is in an area, however, that produces the large majority of the major hurricanes in the Atlantic, so one must keep an eye on it...

In the Pacific- An area 850 miles SW of Manzanillo is attempting to develop, and it may succeed, but it will be slow and is highly unlikely to occur today or tomorrow.

Today in weather history- July 21, 1947- Holt, Missouri somehow manages to pick up a foot of rain in...42 minutes, easily a world record. This is highly unusual for the US, as most of these records occur in east Asia. Another noteworthy rain event deserves mention, however...

July 21, 2008- Tropical Storm Cristobal drenches Nova Scotia with as much as 7 inches of rain as well. Interestingly, we will see another Cristobal this year, as it is the 'C' name on the list...

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