Friday, February 10, 2017

STORM WATCH- Here we Go Again?

Oh boy everyone-

The new models are suggesting a colder solution for the storm Sunday night. Since the European model is producing a roughly ten to fifteen inch snowfall for all of Connecticut except the immediate shoreline and with a fairly obvious trend towards cooler conditions, I believe the threat of 6 or more inches has now reached 25%, and thus I am issuing a STORM WATCH for Sunday afternoon through Monday morning. If the Euro verifies literally, we can expect near-blizzard conditions here in Connecticut, with intense mesoscale banding again. Although the storm has completely different origins from Chris...I would not be surprised to see a similar solution play out. If so...then the snow depth would be approaching record levels through much of our state. After 15" dropped yesterday on average, and another 15" or so potentially in the next 3 days (assuming a 2" snowfall tonight), then well, that would give you a 30" snowpack, an extraordinary rarity here. The next name on the list is Diana...and we may well have found her.

For what it's worth, only once in recorded history has Connecticut had two blizzard warnings in a single winter- and that was in 2014-15. There's a chance, folks. Let's see what happens through the day. This forecast is much tougher than WS Chris, and much can change, but...let's be prudent!

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