Wednesday, September 24, 2014

9/24- Uh oh- what happened to our dry week?

Good Wednesday all-

Before anything else, I want to apologize for the forecast that wasn't so correct for Thursday, as it turns out. Tomorrow is going to be a massive rainstorm- I expect pouring rain all day, and as much as  1-3 or 2-4 inches of rain are possible. Otherwise, the big story is going to be record breaking heat on Sunday, as we may approach as high as 85! Thankfully, humidity will be low, but it will still be scorching for the Durham fair.

Just so everyone knows the quandary that I was put in by Thursday, allow me to explain. There was always going to be a massive storm, but until yesterday, the computer models were putting it offshore by such a great distance that it would be sunny here in Connecticut tomorrow. Instead, the models slowly started bringing it back to the west yesterday morning, and we are now highly confident that we are going to get a major rainstorm tomorrow. It is a truly winterlike system, and therefore should be treated like our giant snowstorms we don't know for sure about until 2-3 days out.


In the Atlantic- No tropical development is expected anytime soon.

In the Pacific- See yesterday's forecast here, there has been no change whatsoever.


Today in weather history- September 24, 1985- Hurricane Gloria reaches peak intensity in the western Atlantic of 919mb, which is among the most intense hurricanes on record at the time (I think it was 5th). The storm has the entire east coast in its' sightline, and remains the most recent hurricane to directly hit Connecticut (Yes, Irene was a Tropical Storm in Litchfield county, and Sandy hit North Jersey- which actually is a worse situation for us than a direct hit). This means we are still overdue for a hurricane, but I suspect that next year is more likely than this based on the horribly quiet season we have enjoyed so far.

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