Good Thursday all-
A WIND CHILL ADVISORY has been issued from midnight tonight until noon tomorrow for everyone in Connecticut. It certainly is warranted, as record-breaking cold is likely both tonight and tomorrow night, when temps could approach or exceed -10 in parts of Connecticut, especially north. The storm for the weekend just got a lot more interesting overnight tonight with the model runs. The models are showing a storm system that is much weaker than before...which ordinarily would be good, however...it allows the cold air near the surface to win out...and would lead to a primarily snow result, perhaps mixed with some sleet/freezing rain, but not plain rain. If this were to play out, we're looking at perhaps a 7-14" snowfall if everything played out right, but I'm not going to forecast that yet- rather, that's the worst case scenario (or best case- depending on how you feel)- that is realistic...which it certainly is...though I'd say a 4-8" snowfall mixed with sleet is probably the most likely option at this time.
The early part of next week looks dry, but another major snowstorm is possible next Wednesday.
The next name on WFSB's name list is Gavin. It's very possible Sunday's storm is going to get this name.
The model runs this afternoon are huge, since the storm is only about 50 hours away. Let's see what they do.
Today in weather history- February 19, 1979- In the early stages of computer models, surprises happen. That's exactly what happened here, as a forecast for sunny skies turned into a monster nor'easter that dumped 2 feet of snow in Delaware and massive amounts through the mid-Atlantic and northeast. This has happened a few times in recent years too (I can remember a day in 2010 when we were expecting 2-3" and got 13"), but is increasingly rare as technology advances.
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