Good Thursday all-
I'm finally moved out for the most part, just a few little odds and ends left to go, so I have the time needed to update this blog. Today is going to be another boiler, as will much of the next week, with highs in the high 80s/low 90s on the majority of days. Today, though, the focus should be on the potential for strong to severe thunderstorms later tonight as a 'dry line'-esque cold front moves through- it will essentially cut down the humidity but not the temperatures as we move ahead. The weekend looks hot, but otherwise dry and quite nice...but you expect hot weather this time of year don't you? Don't worry though- the snowy season is now a mere three months away.
In the Atlantic- A tropical wave off Africa near the Cape Verdes is trying to develop, but there's high wind shear the further west it goes, so it better do so soon or it will not succeed. Another low off the southeast US coast may develop, but I really don't think so as the shear is just too strong there.
In the Pacific- A Tropical Depression- number 8-E- formed on Monday, but it probably won't strengthen as it moves into cooler waters. On the other hand...Tropical Storm Guillermo has formed to the south of it, and it's heading dangerously close to Hawaii, so they'll want to keep their eyes open as it will become a hurricane off to the east of the Big Island
Thursday, July 30, 2015
Monday, July 27, 2015
7/27- STORM WATCH dropped yesterday...hot weather now
Good Monday all-
The models have significantly backed off any tropical development in the Atlantic this week, and there is now less than a 25% chance of any storm having an impact in CT...so the storm watch was dropped yesterday afternoon or so in my mind...but I'm officially calling it now. As it is, the main story in the weather world this week is the heat, as it's going to get cooking up to 90 each of the next three days, with scattered thunderstorms each day, with today's and Thursday's looking the worst (Thursday's will probably be severe). Otherwise, I won't bore you--the forecast is pretty much identical for the forseeable future other than the rather rainy day today (on and off through pretty much the whole day)...sunny, 90s, PM thunderstorms.
In the Atlantic- Snooze...Snooze...hey did you say something about the tropical Atlantic? No development? Alright back to sleep...snooze (no development anytime soon)
In the Pacific- Two tropical depressions will likely form practically on top of each other by the end of the week, which proves to be an interesting phenomenon as, though neither are any threat to land, we get the chance to see how two tropical cyclones very near each other will effect each other. The next 2 names on the Pacific list are Guillermo and Hilda.
Today in weather history- July 27, 1943- On a whim, the first hurricane hunters fly into a hurricane off the east coast--beginning a program of regular flights that continues to this day providing key information about storms that pose a threat to life and property.
EXTRA NOTE-
I am moving this week, and going on vacation next week. I will try to update as usual...but there may be some days that I either post very late...or not at all. Please excuse this as my life is going to get very busy very quickly
The models have significantly backed off any tropical development in the Atlantic this week, and there is now less than a 25% chance of any storm having an impact in CT...so the storm watch was dropped yesterday afternoon or so in my mind...but I'm officially calling it now. As it is, the main story in the weather world this week is the heat, as it's going to get cooking up to 90 each of the next three days, with scattered thunderstorms each day, with today's and Thursday's looking the worst (Thursday's will probably be severe). Otherwise, I won't bore you--the forecast is pretty much identical for the forseeable future other than the rather rainy day today (on and off through pretty much the whole day)...sunny, 90s, PM thunderstorms.
In the Atlantic- Snooze...Snooze...hey did you say something about the tropical Atlantic? No development? Alright back to sleep...snooze (no development anytime soon)
In the Pacific- Two tropical depressions will likely form practically on top of each other by the end of the week, which proves to be an interesting phenomenon as, though neither are any threat to land, we get the chance to see how two tropical cyclones very near each other will effect each other. The next 2 names on the Pacific list are Guillermo and Hilda.
Today in weather history- July 27, 1943- On a whim, the first hurricane hunters fly into a hurricane off the east coast--beginning a program of regular flights that continues to this day providing key information about storms that pose a threat to life and property.
EXTRA NOTE-
I am moving this week, and going on vacation next week. I will try to update as usual...but there may be some days that I either post very late...or not at all. Please excuse this as my life is going to get very busy very quickly
Saturday, July 25, 2015
STORM WATCH UPDATE- Danny?
Hey everyone-
Simply put, it's a status quo, but I think the odds of a tropical storm or hurricane coming to New England have slightly increased as the Euro continues to show a very strong tropical storm or minimal hurricane in New England on Sunday 8/2 into the morning of Monday 8/3...so you can probably up the percents listed last night by about 2-3%...and decrease the percent of the "inland runner" by about that same amount...as the GFS is certainly showing more coastal development this evening than it did last night.
The general pattern is very favorable for a New England hurricane. Please watch- it's getting very real quickly here.
Simply put, it's a status quo, but I think the odds of a tropical storm or hurricane coming to New England have slightly increased as the Euro continues to show a very strong tropical storm or minimal hurricane in New England on Sunday 8/2 into the morning of Monday 8/3...so you can probably up the percents listed last night by about 2-3%...and decrease the percent of the "inland runner" by about that same amount...as the GFS is certainly showing more coastal development this evening than it did last night.
The general pattern is very favorable for a New England hurricane. Please watch- it's getting very real quickly here.
Friday, July 24, 2015
7/24- STORM WATCH- Trouble from the Southeast
Happy Friday-
First off, I am really sorry for the late update--but a- I forgot and b- I'm tracking something very important (potentially) to our weather for the end of next week or weekend. That would be somewhere in the 7/30-8/2 range...
First off, I expect some showers and storms today, but not too many as most should stay to the north. The forecast remains largely unchanged from yesterday. Here's where the fun starts--
In the Atlantic- The cold front that is moving through on Sunday is going to stall off the shoreline of the US and a low pressure area is likely to form along, and eventually seperate from, the parent front. Models are certainly hinting at this becoming Tropical Storm Danny, and the last few runs of the Euro are quite concerning for Connecticut. The 00z run literally put a category 2 right over our heads in 10 days, and the newer 12z run has it inside the 40/70 benchmark at hurricane intensity. Needless to say, that would have a significant impact on us anyway...and certainly could still become a direct hit just 8-10 days out from the storm. You'll hear some hype over this undoubtedly, but here's what I am going to say-
Odds of multiple inches of rain from a storm somewhere between 7/30 and 8/2- 85-90%
Odds of Tropical Storm Danny forming next week- 75%
Odds of Danny reaching hurricane intensity- 50%
Odds of Danny having some kind of impact on us- 30%
Odds of Danny being a redux of Irene and Sandy and causing hurricane conditions in CT- 10-15%
Obviously, those are quite high...but still hardly certain. The GFS, for one, doesn't even develop the storm (well, it does but over land, which is just a plain rainstorm).
When you hear the media mention it, the hype will be massive. I promise that I will continue to update these percentages as time goes on, but it's certainly worth watching- this is the most significant hurricane threat since Arthur last year.
Remember that under a storm watch I will update here even this weekend- so check back in daily as this situation unfolds. Naturally, I'll update if anything significant happens as needed.
Thursday, July 23, 2015
7/23- A Dry Spell
Good Thursday all-
This is going to be a brief post in the extreme as there is really nothing of interest to talk about in the weather world. Let's keep it to just nine words--"sunny and 80s until Sunday, then storms, then hotter". That's all you'll need for the next week. Really it is. No need to talk in depth and bore you.
In the Atlantic- Watching the video of Lindsey Graham destroying his phone after Trump gave his number out is a much better use of your time than waiting for Atlantic development (none anytime soon)
In the Pacific- Tropical Depression 7-E has finally formed, but it is really not going to do much, and is probably only 50-50 or even a little less of becoming Tropical Storm Felicia, and no further development is expected anywhere in the basin
Today in weather history- July 23, 1788- The eye of a hurricane passes directly over George Washington's Mt. Vernon home, according to his diary, and many houses are destroyed in the region
This is going to be a brief post in the extreme as there is really nothing of interest to talk about in the weather world. Let's keep it to just nine words--"sunny and 80s until Sunday, then storms, then hotter". That's all you'll need for the next week. Really it is. No need to talk in depth and bore you.
In the Atlantic- Watching the video of Lindsey Graham destroying his phone after Trump gave his number out is a much better use of your time than waiting for Atlantic development (none anytime soon)
In the Pacific- Tropical Depression 7-E has finally formed, but it is really not going to do much, and is probably only 50-50 or even a little less of becoming Tropical Storm Felicia, and no further development is expected anywhere in the basin
Today in weather history- July 23, 1788- The eye of a hurricane passes directly over George Washington's Mt. Vernon home, according to his diary, and many houses are destroyed in the region
Wednesday, July 22, 2015
7/22- The heat is broken
Good Wednesday all-
Today is the first in a week or more long cold spell that is going to feel so nice after our first heat wave of 2015 (3 days in a row with 90 degree heat). Highs during the next week will be hard pressed to exceed even the low 80s (though it'll be the mid-80s today and tomorrow), despite bright sunshine on the majority of days. There will likely be a few showers and storms around on Sunday, but even those will be scattered in nature and surely not everyone will get them. Otherwise, there really isn't much to discuss in the weather world on this day.
In the Atlantic- It's a beautiful summer day, made better by the fact that you won't miss anything tropical development by going outside (nothing anytime soon)
In the Pacific- Wind shear is still prohibiting the development of that low that has been monitored for several days now, but it is still likely to develop at any time over the next day or two. Regardless, it poses no threat to land whatsoever.
Today in weather history- July 22, 1918- Sheep often heard together during storms, but this time it comes back to bite them all as a single strike kills over 500 of them as the bolt passes from sheep to sheep in the heard in the Wasatch National Forest in Utah.
Today is the first in a week or more long cold spell that is going to feel so nice after our first heat wave of 2015 (3 days in a row with 90 degree heat). Highs during the next week will be hard pressed to exceed even the low 80s (though it'll be the mid-80s today and tomorrow), despite bright sunshine on the majority of days. There will likely be a few showers and storms around on Sunday, but even those will be scattered in nature and surely not everyone will get them. Otherwise, there really isn't much to discuss in the weather world on this day.
In the Atlantic- It's a beautiful summer day, made better by the fact that you won't miss anything tropical development by going outside (nothing anytime soon)
In the Pacific- Wind shear is still prohibiting the development of that low that has been monitored for several days now, but it is still likely to develop at any time over the next day or two. Regardless, it poses no threat to land whatsoever.
Today in weather history- July 22, 1918- Sheep often heard together during storms, but this time it comes back to bite them all as a single strike kills over 500 of them as the bolt passes from sheep to sheep in the heard in the Wasatch National Forest in Utah.
Tuesday, July 21, 2015
7/21- Say goodbye to the heat
Good Tuesday all-
Today is going to be rather miserable I'm afraid- temps will be in the high 80s/low 90s and very sunny and humid in the morning with thunderstorms developing in the afternoon--I think most people will get wet as it favors a line of storms today, but the conditions are only somewhat conducive for development, thus the SPC only has us under a SEE TEXT risk of severe weather...but I'd guess that it's probably close to MARGINAL, so we may see an upgrade at some point. That said, whether thunderstorms are severe or not is beside the point- they're all dangerous- so keep your eyes on the skies today after about 3 PM. After today, the heat breaks and sunshine with low humidity will be with us until Sunday, when the weather will be a tad hotter and thunderstorms are likely to develop.
In the Atlantic- If you woke up earlier than you had to today to check the tropics, go back to sleep- it's more productive for yourself! (no development anytime soon)
In the Pacific- Wind shear prevented the development of the low yesterday, but it has another chance today. Let's see how it does!
Today in weather history- July 21, 1934- Cincinnati, OH records their highest temperature ever at 109, and Gallipolis achieves the Ohio state record for heat with a whopping 113 displayed on the mercury.
Today is going to be rather miserable I'm afraid- temps will be in the high 80s/low 90s and very sunny and humid in the morning with thunderstorms developing in the afternoon--I think most people will get wet as it favors a line of storms today, but the conditions are only somewhat conducive for development, thus the SPC only has us under a SEE TEXT risk of severe weather...but I'd guess that it's probably close to MARGINAL, so we may see an upgrade at some point. That said, whether thunderstorms are severe or not is beside the point- they're all dangerous- so keep your eyes on the skies today after about 3 PM. After today, the heat breaks and sunshine with low humidity will be with us until Sunday, when the weather will be a tad hotter and thunderstorms are likely to develop.
In the Atlantic- If you woke up earlier than you had to today to check the tropics, go back to sleep- it's more productive for yourself! (no development anytime soon)
In the Pacific- Wind shear prevented the development of the low yesterday, but it has another chance today. Let's see how it does!
Today in weather history- July 21, 1934- Cincinnati, OH records their highest temperature ever at 109, and Gallipolis achieves the Ohio state record for heat with a whopping 113 displayed on the mercury.
Monday, July 20, 2015
7/20- Hot!!
Good Monday all-
Today is going to be absolutely miserable unless you like hot humid and hazy weather- temps will arrive in the low to mid 90s and feature mostly bright sunshine, but thunderstorms that are very isolated in nature are also possible this afternoon. This won't be severe (the SPC only has us under a SEE TEXT risk of severe weather) but they could be a minor pain if you don't keep your eyes on the skies. Tomorrow looks to be a bit cooler, but a cold front FINALLY moves through tomorrow night, finally breaking the heat, but it comes with the risk of thunderstorms, and some of these may be severe (but I'm not expecting a widespread outbreak at this time). On a positive note, the rest of the week looks just fine with temps in the low to mid 80s and bright sunshine. An early glimpse at next weekend shows highs in the high 70s/low 80s and bright sunshine.
It's also interesting to note that the Angels/Red Sox game in Anaheim got rained out last night- it's the first time a game in Anaheim has been postponed in over twenty years!
In the Atlantic- Watching your paint dry is probably going to be more interesting than watching the tropics for the foreseeable future (no development anytime soon)
In the Pacific- A low several hundred miles off the Mexican coast will probably become Tropical Storm Felicia later today, but it poses no threat to land whatsoever.
Today in weather history- July 20, 1953- Areas just outside of Dickinson, ND, pick up twenty-two inches of hail! It's not hard to get hail accumulating to an inch or so...but 22"? That's pretty much ridiculous.
Today is going to be absolutely miserable unless you like hot humid and hazy weather- temps will arrive in the low to mid 90s and feature mostly bright sunshine, but thunderstorms that are very isolated in nature are also possible this afternoon. This won't be severe (the SPC only has us under a SEE TEXT risk of severe weather) but they could be a minor pain if you don't keep your eyes on the skies. Tomorrow looks to be a bit cooler, but a cold front FINALLY moves through tomorrow night, finally breaking the heat, but it comes with the risk of thunderstorms, and some of these may be severe (but I'm not expecting a widespread outbreak at this time). On a positive note, the rest of the week looks just fine with temps in the low to mid 80s and bright sunshine. An early glimpse at next weekend shows highs in the high 70s/low 80s and bright sunshine.
It's also interesting to note that the Angels/Red Sox game in Anaheim got rained out last night- it's the first time a game in Anaheim has been postponed in over twenty years!
In the Atlantic- Watching your paint dry is probably going to be more interesting than watching the tropics for the foreseeable future (no development anytime soon)
In the Pacific- A low several hundred miles off the Mexican coast will probably become Tropical Storm Felicia later today, but it poses no threat to land whatsoever.
Today in weather history- July 20, 1953- Areas just outside of Dickinson, ND, pick up twenty-two inches of hail! It's not hard to get hail accumulating to an inch or so...but 22"? That's pretty much ridiculous.
Friday, July 17, 2015
7/17- Chance for 90?
HAPPY FRIDAY EVERYONE!!!
Today is going to be absolutely gorgeous with temps in the low 80s and bright sunshine. Additionally, it won't be humid either, so you can certainly enjoy these temps today. Tomorrow, unfortunately, could be somewhat stormy, but I think the main round holds off until the overnight tomorrow into Sunday as a warm front moves through New England. Sunday should be absolutely boiling, with temperatures potentially well over 90. Will we get there for the first time since May 11? Maybe...but only time will tell!
In the Atlantic- A tropical wave in the central Atlantic is going to try to develop...but the wind shear is highly unfavorable in the far north Caribbean, so it has to do it soon to have any chance at all of becoming Tropical Storm Danny.
In the Pacific- Dolores has weakened to just category 1 strength, and additional weakening is likely through the next day or so before complete dissapation. Enrique weakened to a tropical depression yesterday but then suddenly and inexplicably became a Tropical Storm again. Let's see if it's a good tropical cyclone and actually dissaptes this time
Today in weather history- July 17, 1987- The Guadelope River in Texas floods, overtaking a school bus and van returning from a summer camp, which get swept away along with the 43 people inside them. Fortunately, 33 of them are rescued from tree tops, but 10 tragically drowned in the nightmare scenario. This is why everyone needs to remember the old flood motto "Turn around--don't drown!"
Today is going to be absolutely gorgeous with temps in the low 80s and bright sunshine. Additionally, it won't be humid either, so you can certainly enjoy these temps today. Tomorrow, unfortunately, could be somewhat stormy, but I think the main round holds off until the overnight tomorrow into Sunday as a warm front moves through New England. Sunday should be absolutely boiling, with temperatures potentially well over 90. Will we get there for the first time since May 11? Maybe...but only time will tell!
In the Atlantic- A tropical wave in the central Atlantic is going to try to develop...but the wind shear is highly unfavorable in the far north Caribbean, so it has to do it soon to have any chance at all of becoming Tropical Storm Danny.
In the Pacific- Dolores has weakened to just category 1 strength, and additional weakening is likely through the next day or so before complete dissapation. Enrique weakened to a tropical depression yesterday but then suddenly and inexplicably became a Tropical Storm again. Let's see if it's a good tropical cyclone and actually dissaptes this time
Today in weather history- July 17, 1987- The Guadelope River in Texas floods, overtaking a school bus and van returning from a summer camp, which get swept away along with the 43 people inside them. Fortunately, 33 of them are rescued from tree tops, but 10 tragically drowned in the nightmare scenario. This is why everyone needs to remember the old flood motto "Turn around--don't drown!"
Thursday, July 16, 2015
7/16- Better
Good Thursday all-
Today is going to be almost perfect- highs will be struggling to even reach 80 in parts of the state today, humidity won't be too terrible, and bright sunshine is going to be predominant. In fact, tomorrow is going to be just as good as today, but Saturday has a chance of being a trouble spot as thunderstorms are highly possible...but they'll be scattered in nature and won't cause a washout, so don't be too concerned about them. Sunday also looks fine, but storms are possible Monday and Tuesday.
In the Atlantic- Tropical Storm Claudette dissipated yesterday afternoon as expected. Therefore, please don't waste a beautiful summer day watching the tropics for development (none is expected anytime soon)
In the Pacific- Hurricane Dolores has weakened into a category 3 storm, and additional weakening is forecasted as it moves north into much colder waters. Tropical Storm Enrique, meanwhile, has weakened to 40mph, just barely a tropical storm, and it will dissipate later this afternoon.
Today in weather history- July 16, 1987- Just three days after setting a record low of 37, Rapid City, SD establishes a record high of 106. You may be saying "that's not very impressive", and you'd be right- but it's the most interesting thing that's happened today, unfortunately. We need a hurricane to hit on this day or something! It won't be today though- it looks wholly unremarkable nationwide.
Today is going to be almost perfect- highs will be struggling to even reach 80 in parts of the state today, humidity won't be too terrible, and bright sunshine is going to be predominant. In fact, tomorrow is going to be just as good as today, but Saturday has a chance of being a trouble spot as thunderstorms are highly possible...but they'll be scattered in nature and won't cause a washout, so don't be too concerned about them. Sunday also looks fine, but storms are possible Monday and Tuesday.
In the Atlantic- Tropical Storm Claudette dissipated yesterday afternoon as expected. Therefore, please don't waste a beautiful summer day watching the tropics for development (none is expected anytime soon)
In the Pacific- Hurricane Dolores has weakened into a category 3 storm, and additional weakening is forecasted as it moves north into much colder waters. Tropical Storm Enrique, meanwhile, has weakened to 40mph, just barely a tropical storm, and it will dissipate later this afternoon.
Today in weather history- July 16, 1987- Just three days after setting a record low of 37, Rapid City, SD establishes a record high of 106. You may be saying "that's not very impressive", and you'd be right- but it's the most interesting thing that's happened today, unfortunately. We need a hurricane to hit on this day or something! It won't be today though- it looks wholly unremarkable nationwide.
Wednesday, July 15, 2015
7/15- More Storms
Good Wednesday all-
Today is going to be much the same as yesterday really, but the storms should hold off until the late afternoon hours. Temperatures should be more or less the same (mid 80s) and we could get some sunshine before the storms move through this evening, some of which could be rather strong, so keep your eyes to the skies (though by far the biggest threat from them is heavy rain). The rest of the week looks quiet with temps in the low to mid 80s. An early glimpse at next week shows many days in the 85 degree range with thunderstorms. There are still no 90 degree days in sight.
In the Atlantic- Tropical Storm Claudette dissipated overnight as expected in the far northern Atlantic near Canada. Otherwise...you'll wish that you had better things to do when you watch the tropics (no new development anytime soon)
In the Pacific- Hurricane Dolores has rapidly intensified into a category 4 hurricane with 130mph winds this morning, and further strengthening is possible as it parallels the Mexican coastline (though there will, fortunately, be no landfall). It's not impossible to think that Dolores could get to category 5 intensity briefly tonight or tomorrow but it's lifespan is rather limited beyond that as it moves into colder water. Enrique, meanwhile, strengthened into a 50mph tropical storm, but that's not that important as it poses no threat whatsoever to land
Today in weather history- July 15, 1983- Big Thompson Creek in Colorado floods for the second time in 7 years, and drenches the tourist town of Estes Park (located just outside Rocky Mountain National Park- I was on vacation there last year) with 8 to 10 feet of water.
Today is going to be much the same as yesterday really, but the storms should hold off until the late afternoon hours. Temperatures should be more or less the same (mid 80s) and we could get some sunshine before the storms move through this evening, some of which could be rather strong, so keep your eyes to the skies (though by far the biggest threat from them is heavy rain). The rest of the week looks quiet with temps in the low to mid 80s. An early glimpse at next week shows many days in the 85 degree range with thunderstorms. There are still no 90 degree days in sight.
In the Atlantic- Tropical Storm Claudette dissipated overnight as expected in the far northern Atlantic near Canada. Otherwise...you'll wish that you had better things to do when you watch the tropics (no new development anytime soon)
In the Pacific- Hurricane Dolores has rapidly intensified into a category 4 hurricane with 130mph winds this morning, and further strengthening is possible as it parallels the Mexican coastline (though there will, fortunately, be no landfall). It's not impossible to think that Dolores could get to category 5 intensity briefly tonight or tomorrow but it's lifespan is rather limited beyond that as it moves into colder water. Enrique, meanwhile, strengthened into a 50mph tropical storm, but that's not that important as it poses no threat whatsoever to land
Today in weather history- July 15, 1983- Big Thompson Creek in Colorado floods for the second time in 7 years, and drenches the tourist town of Estes Park (located just outside Rocky Mountain National Park- I was on vacation there last year) with 8 to 10 feet of water.
Tuesday, July 14, 2015
7/14- The Water returns
Good Tuesday all-
Today is going to be...rather unpleasant as temps will be stuck in the 80s once more today, with a few thunderstorms likely later this afternoon as a cold front moves through the region. The same can be said for tomorrow- and quite honestly the forecast for the week is basically the same as it was yesterday so I won't bore you except to say that Sunday looks a bit chillier than it did yesterday- we may only reach the mid-80s instead of the upper 80s. We will likely get to July 21st then without a 90 degree day in July. That's impressive!
In the Atlantic- That low that I briefly mentioned yesterday that had very little chance of development did in fact suddenly become Tropical Storm Claudette yesterday-- this morning it has 45mph winds in the far north Atlantic and is heading directly for Newfoundland, but poses no threat to the US despite it's fairly close proximity to New England.
In the Pacific- Enrique still packs rather paltry 40mph winds and poses no threat to land. Dolores, on the other hand, became a hurricane yesterday afternoon, and now packs 80mph winds. It's expected to become a major hurricane by tomorrow as it basically parallels the coast of Mexico, but it shouldn't have much impact on that area either.
Today in weather history- July 14, 1957- The town of Bath, NH is hit by a slow moving thunderstorm packing 1" diameter hail, which is able to accumulate to a 3" depth. That's tough to achieve in New England- usually you see totals like that in the midwest- but it can happen (it's hard to find a weather event that can't happen in New England)
Today is going to be...rather unpleasant as temps will be stuck in the 80s once more today, with a few thunderstorms likely later this afternoon as a cold front moves through the region. The same can be said for tomorrow- and quite honestly the forecast for the week is basically the same as it was yesterday so I won't bore you except to say that Sunday looks a bit chillier than it did yesterday- we may only reach the mid-80s instead of the upper 80s. We will likely get to July 21st then without a 90 degree day in July. That's impressive!
In the Atlantic- That low that I briefly mentioned yesterday that had very little chance of development did in fact suddenly become Tropical Storm Claudette yesterday-- this morning it has 45mph winds in the far north Atlantic and is heading directly for Newfoundland, but poses no threat to the US despite it's fairly close proximity to New England.
In the Pacific- Enrique still packs rather paltry 40mph winds and poses no threat to land. Dolores, on the other hand, became a hurricane yesterday afternoon, and now packs 80mph winds. It's expected to become a major hurricane by tomorrow as it basically parallels the coast of Mexico, but it shouldn't have much impact on that area either.
Today in weather history- July 14, 1957- The town of Bath, NH is hit by a slow moving thunderstorm packing 1" diameter hail, which is able to accumulate to a 3" depth. That's tough to achieve in New England- usually you see totals like that in the midwest- but it can happen (it's hard to find a weather event that can't happen in New England)
Monday, July 13, 2015
Uh Oh
Hey guys-
Remember how I said there was a low off the Carolinas that had a very slim chance of developng? Naturally, it's now Tropical Storm Claudette, but it poses no threat to land.
Remember how I said there was a low off the Carolinas that had a very slim chance of developng? Naturally, it's now Tropical Storm Claudette, but it poses no threat to land.
7/13- Beautiful but rain on the way
Good Monday all-
Well, for all the talk that BDL would reach 90 yesterday, it came one degree shy- it only reached 89! What makes this more remarkable is that we STILL have not had a 90 degree day since early MAY. Additionally, there's no 90s in sight as we're actually going to struggle to 85 many of the next few days. Today is going to be right around there with sunshine...but tomorrow is going to be rather unpleasant as showers and thunderstorms are going to develop in the afternoon and evening...and Wednesday will be a perfect duplicate. The rest of the week looks dry after that...but the weekend looks showery, I'm afraid.
Because of the fact that no 90s are likely anytime in the next week...which puts us near 7/20...it's not impossible that we actually go through all of July without ever hitting 90 degrees. I have no clue when that happened last, but it must have been a really long time ago- it's really tough to do here as 90s aren't at all unusual!
In the Atlantic- A low off the Carolinas tried to become Tropical Storm Claudette this weekend, but it did not (and will not) succeed. Otherwise, don't tell your boss you're watching the tropics as an excuse to call out of work- he'll know you're lying (no development anytime soon)
In the Pacific- Our two lows have indeed become Tropical Storm Dolores and Enrique, the more eastern of which- Dolores- is near hurricane intensity and is close enough to the Mexican coast that tropical storm warnings are up for portions of their shoreline.
Today in weather history- July 13, 1988- A remarkable day in it's unremarkableness- only three reports of severe weather occur in the entire country...and only one record high temperature is recorded...and no record lows. Normally, there are about 15-20 severe reports and about the same number of record temps, so this is highly awkward.
Well, for all the talk that BDL would reach 90 yesterday, it came one degree shy- it only reached 89! What makes this more remarkable is that we STILL have not had a 90 degree day since early MAY. Additionally, there's no 90s in sight as we're actually going to struggle to 85 many of the next few days. Today is going to be right around there with sunshine...but tomorrow is going to be rather unpleasant as showers and thunderstorms are going to develop in the afternoon and evening...and Wednesday will be a perfect duplicate. The rest of the week looks dry after that...but the weekend looks showery, I'm afraid.
Because of the fact that no 90s are likely anytime in the next week...which puts us near 7/20...it's not impossible that we actually go through all of July without ever hitting 90 degrees. I have no clue when that happened last, but it must have been a really long time ago- it's really tough to do here as 90s aren't at all unusual!
In the Atlantic- A low off the Carolinas tried to become Tropical Storm Claudette this weekend, but it did not (and will not) succeed. Otherwise, don't tell your boss you're watching the tropics as an excuse to call out of work- he'll know you're lying (no development anytime soon)
In the Pacific- Our two lows have indeed become Tropical Storm Dolores and Enrique, the more eastern of which- Dolores- is near hurricane intensity and is close enough to the Mexican coast that tropical storm warnings are up for portions of their shoreline.
Today in weather history- July 13, 1988- A remarkable day in it's unremarkableness- only three reports of severe weather occur in the entire country...and only one record high temperature is recorded...and no record lows. Normally, there are about 15-20 severe reports and about the same number of record temps, so this is highly awkward.
Friday, July 10, 2015
7/10- Hot weekend
HAPPY FRIDAY everyone-
Today is going to be a beautiful day once we get rid of the cloud cover- temps should be in the low 80s and feature bright sunshine. Tomorrow and Sunday look to be practically carbon copies of each other- bright sunshine and hot- temps will be in the very high 80s and near 90. Now, will BDL hit 90 for the first time since May 10th(!) on Sunday? It's certainly possible, but it's no guarantee either...we shall see. If it doesn't it could be quite some time before they get another chance, as next week looks to consistently feature low 80s temps and thunderstorms. By the way- if you think it's been chilly so far, you're right- this is currently the 5th coldest year on record in Connecticut.
In the Atlantic- If you woke up to see the development in the tropical Atlantic, go back to sleep. (no development anytime soon)
In the Pacific- The two lows that I'm watching haven't changed much at all overnight, but we'll probably be dealing with 2 tropical storms by the time we next talk on Monday. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Ela has weakened to a tropical depression, but in a highly unusual event, two lows just south of Hawaii have become Tropical Depressions, and both will likely achieve tropical storm intensity- their names will be Halola and Iune.
Today in weather history- July 10, 1989- A memorable day indeed for the people of Connecticut as an F4 tornado manages to strike downtown Hamden, injuring 42 people but somehow not killing anyone. Such strong tornadoes are very rare in Connecticut (there have been 3 in the last 150 years) but not impossible to achieve, so it just goes to show you should always be careful and take warnings seriously!
Thursday, July 9, 2015
7/9- Pouring Rain!!
Good Thursday all-
Unfortunately, to say that today is going to be a miserable day would be a fair understatement. Not only is it going to be hot, humid, and showery, but later tonight things really get rough. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH is up for all of Connecticut and for good reason- a widespread 1-3" rainfall is likely going to be upon us later this afternoon but especially in the overnight hours. On the bright side, tomorrow looks much dryer, while the weekend looks just plain hot (temps in the 90s on Sunday!). An early look at next week shows an interesting combination of heat and rain throughout.
In the Atlantic- It may feel like it's a tropical storm later tonight. You'll be disappointed if you check the NHC for advisories though- so please don't bother (no development anytime soon)
In the Pacific- Two tropical storms are developing off the coast of Mexico, but only one (the one further east) poses any threat to land. The next two names are Dolores and Enrique, but it's anyone's guess which one will be which. Additionally, TD #4-E has strengthened into Tropical Storm Ela in the Central Pacific- their first named storm of the year (they use 4 name lists in succession and don't reset it every year, thus the 'E' name). It'll likely pass just north of Hawaii, but they still may get some squally weather from it in two or three days.
Today in weather history- July 9, 1987- A tornado in Munising, MI, hits a dog kennel and sends a dog flying half a mile into a treetop- but leaving him totally unharmed! Thus the odd nature of tornadoes- they can giveth as well as taketh away.
Unfortunately, to say that today is going to be a miserable day would be a fair understatement. Not only is it going to be hot, humid, and showery, but later tonight things really get rough. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH is up for all of Connecticut and for good reason- a widespread 1-3" rainfall is likely going to be upon us later this afternoon but especially in the overnight hours. On the bright side, tomorrow looks much dryer, while the weekend looks just plain hot (temps in the 90s on Sunday!). An early look at next week shows an interesting combination of heat and rain throughout.
In the Atlantic- It may feel like it's a tropical storm later tonight. You'll be disappointed if you check the NHC for advisories though- so please don't bother (no development anytime soon)
In the Pacific- Two tropical storms are developing off the coast of Mexico, but only one (the one further east) poses any threat to land. The next two names are Dolores and Enrique, but it's anyone's guess which one will be which. Additionally, TD #4-E has strengthened into Tropical Storm Ela in the Central Pacific- their first named storm of the year (they use 4 name lists in succession and don't reset it every year, thus the 'E' name). It'll likely pass just north of Hawaii, but they still may get some squally weather from it in two or three days.
Today in weather history- July 9, 1987- A tornado in Munising, MI, hits a dog kennel and sends a dog flying half a mile into a treetop- but leaving him totally unharmed! Thus the odd nature of tornadoes- they can giveth as well as taketh away.
Wednesday, July 8, 2015
7/8- Stormy
Good Wednesday all-
Unfortunately, today looks more unpleasant than yesterday! Not only will it be significantly warmer, with temps falling just a few degrees short of 90, but there's certainly an enhanced risk of thunderstorms this afternoon as well. Fortunately, though, I don't really think they'll be severe- the SPC only has us under a SEE TEXT risk of severe weather- but we still should keep our eyes to the skies as NOBODY likes to be trapped outside in a thunderstorm (not to mention it's highly dangerous). Tomorrow looks similar to today, Friday looks a bit better, and the best news is that the weekend looks completely dry!
In the Atlantic- If you're given the choice between getting trapped outside in the pouring rain or watching the tropics for development--choose to get wet- at least it'll be interesting, unlike the tropical Atlantic (no development anytime soon)
In the Pacific- A few areas off the Mexican coast could develop by the end of the week, but let's cross that bridge when we get there. Perhaps a more serious problem is that Tropical Depression #4-E formed and is generally heading for Hawaii, and will strengthen into a Tropical Storm, but a high over the islands should spare them a direct hit
Today in weather history- July 8, 1816- In a remarkable feat, New England receives a freeze!! This is largely due to the eruption of Mt. Tambora, which occurred in April 1815- sending ash into the air and blocking sunlight, causing extremely cold temperatures in the Northern Hemisphere pretty much all summer of that year, killing a huge number of crops and causing very real food problems for the people living in our area during that time.
Unfortunately, today looks more unpleasant than yesterday! Not only will it be significantly warmer, with temps falling just a few degrees short of 90, but there's certainly an enhanced risk of thunderstorms this afternoon as well. Fortunately, though, I don't really think they'll be severe- the SPC only has us under a SEE TEXT risk of severe weather- but we still should keep our eyes to the skies as NOBODY likes to be trapped outside in a thunderstorm (not to mention it's highly dangerous). Tomorrow looks similar to today, Friday looks a bit better, and the best news is that the weekend looks completely dry!
In the Atlantic- If you're given the choice between getting trapped outside in the pouring rain or watching the tropics for development--choose to get wet- at least it'll be interesting, unlike the tropical Atlantic (no development anytime soon)
In the Pacific- A few areas off the Mexican coast could develop by the end of the week, but let's cross that bridge when we get there. Perhaps a more serious problem is that Tropical Depression #4-E formed and is generally heading for Hawaii, and will strengthen into a Tropical Storm, but a high over the islands should spare them a direct hit
Today in weather history- July 8, 1816- In a remarkable feat, New England receives a freeze!! This is largely due to the eruption of Mt. Tambora, which occurred in April 1815- sending ash into the air and blocking sunlight, causing extremely cold temperatures in the Northern Hemisphere pretty much all summer of that year, killing a huge number of crops and causing very real food problems for the people living in our area during that time.
Tuesday, July 7, 2015
7/7- Somewhat stormy
Good Tuesday all
Unfortunately, our spell of dry weather likely comes to an end today as some showers are possible tonight, though not nearly as many as we'll be dealing with tomorrow. All in all, though, today is going to be the least unpleasant of the week as temps will not climb much higher than the low 80s thanks to some cloud cover. Tomorrow looks both hotter and wetter, as we may reach the mid-to-upper 80s with showers and thunderstorms highly likely tomorrow evening as a front moves through the region. Otherwise, the forecast remains the same, but I'm a bit more concerned about the weekend forecast than I was yesterday...but there's not enough agreement to discuss in depth here.
In the Atlantic- It's humid enough where many people will be looking for things to do inside today. Please make sure that you don't waste this opportunity waiting for tropical development (No development anytime soon)
In the Pacific- A low very near the boundary between the Eastern and Central Pacific will likely become a tropical storm in the next few days, but what name it will get depends entirely on exactly where it does develop. Some development is also possible off the Mexican coast later this week, which would bear more watching than the current one
Today in weather history- July 7, 1981- Glacier National Park, MT, picks up 12" of snow and 90mph winds...ouch...although this isn't hugely unlikely in that area...even at this time of year.
Unfortunately, our spell of dry weather likely comes to an end today as some showers are possible tonight, though not nearly as many as we'll be dealing with tomorrow. All in all, though, today is going to be the least unpleasant of the week as temps will not climb much higher than the low 80s thanks to some cloud cover. Tomorrow looks both hotter and wetter, as we may reach the mid-to-upper 80s with showers and thunderstorms highly likely tomorrow evening as a front moves through the region. Otherwise, the forecast remains the same, but I'm a bit more concerned about the weekend forecast than I was yesterday...but there's not enough agreement to discuss in depth here.
In the Atlantic- It's humid enough where many people will be looking for things to do inside today. Please make sure that you don't waste this opportunity waiting for tropical development (No development anytime soon)
In the Pacific- A low very near the boundary between the Eastern and Central Pacific will likely become a tropical storm in the next few days, but what name it will get depends entirely on exactly where it does develop. Some development is also possible off the Mexican coast later this week, which would bear more watching than the current one
Today in weather history- July 7, 1981- Glacier National Park, MT, picks up 12" of snow and 90mph winds...ouch...although this isn't hugely unlikely in that area...even at this time of year.
Monday, July 6, 2015
7/6- Getting hotter
Good Monday all-
Today is going to be rather hot and humid, as temps should approach (but not quite reach) 90 and we're looking at bright sunshine through much of the day today. The weather won't be pleasant all week, though- thunderstorms are likely tomorrow...and Wednesday...and Thursday before finally drying out Friday and Saturday. None of these are particularly likely to be severe...but they'll still certainly be a nuisance. By Sunday, we may hit 90 for the first time in over a month, but there's plenty of time to watch that. Temperatures through the rest of this week should be about 88 all the time. I hope everyone is ready to have an absolutely fantastic week!!
In the Atlantic- Do yourself a favor and watch the end of the NASCAR race last night and not the Atlantic for development- you won't regret it! (No development anytime soon)
In the Pacific- A low about 1700 miles east of Hawaii will probably become Tropical Storm Dolores this week, but it poses no threat to land whatsoever.
Today in weather history- July 6, 1985- A bolt of lightning strikes a major transformer station in Salt Lake City, UT, taking out power to the entire state for up to five hours...doh!
Today is going to be rather hot and humid, as temps should approach (but not quite reach) 90 and we're looking at bright sunshine through much of the day today. The weather won't be pleasant all week, though- thunderstorms are likely tomorrow...and Wednesday...and Thursday before finally drying out Friday and Saturday. None of these are particularly likely to be severe...but they'll still certainly be a nuisance. By Sunday, we may hit 90 for the first time in over a month, but there's plenty of time to watch that. Temperatures through the rest of this week should be about 88 all the time. I hope everyone is ready to have an absolutely fantastic week!!
In the Atlantic- Do yourself a favor and watch the end of the NASCAR race last night and not the Atlantic for development- you won't regret it! (No development anytime soon)
In the Pacific- A low about 1700 miles east of Hawaii will probably become Tropical Storm Dolores this week, but it poses no threat to land whatsoever.
Today in weather history- July 6, 1985- A bolt of lightning strikes a major transformer station in Salt Lake City, UT, taking out power to the entire state for up to five hours...doh!
Friday, July 3, 2015
7/3- A turn for the worse
HAPPY FRIDAY EVERYONE-
It's going to be a beautiful day to celebrate the federal 4th of July holiday today as temperatures will be in the mid 80s and bright sunshine. Unfortunately, the day everyone really cares about, tomorrow, is going to be far from delightful, unlike what previous forecasts suggested. That rain I was concerned about has been creeping north the last few runs, and this time, unfortunately, it's made it all the way into southern New England...which means that- although tomorrow morning will be fine- tomorrow afternoon looks downright nasty with the potential of pouring rain washing out your barbecue plans. Let's hope not...but it's tough to get a significant forecast change just 24 hours out. At this point, I'd have your backup plan ready in case you can't have your party outdoors tomorrow. It's a very strange occurrence indeed to have a pure washout on the 4th (this is the first I can remember) but it's unfortunate!
In the Atlantic- I hope nobody would do this, but please don't waste your holiday on such a pointless activity as watching for development here (There's none expected anytime soon)
In the Pacific- Two lows far out there could develop later this week that will have a holiday impact on the fishes, but nobody else, really.
Today in weather history- July 3, 1987- Three golfers in Kingsport, TN are killed when lightning strikes a tree they had taken shelter under during a thunderstorm. In fairness, they were being very foolish, as they should NOT have been holding metal clubs, under the tallest object around...yeah that's asking for trouble.
Oddly, today has not had many significant weather events through the years at all.
It's going to be a beautiful day to celebrate the federal 4th of July holiday today as temperatures will be in the mid 80s and bright sunshine. Unfortunately, the day everyone really cares about, tomorrow, is going to be far from delightful, unlike what previous forecasts suggested. That rain I was concerned about has been creeping north the last few runs, and this time, unfortunately, it's made it all the way into southern New England...which means that- although tomorrow morning will be fine- tomorrow afternoon looks downright nasty with the potential of pouring rain washing out your barbecue plans. Let's hope not...but it's tough to get a significant forecast change just 24 hours out. At this point, I'd have your backup plan ready in case you can't have your party outdoors tomorrow. It's a very strange occurrence indeed to have a pure washout on the 4th (this is the first I can remember) but it's unfortunate!
In the Atlantic- I hope nobody would do this, but please don't waste your holiday on such a pointless activity as watching for development here (There's none expected anytime soon)
In the Pacific- Two lows far out there could develop later this week that will have a holiday impact on the fishes, but nobody else, really.
Today in weather history- July 3, 1987- Three golfers in Kingsport, TN are killed when lightning strikes a tree they had taken shelter under during a thunderstorm. In fairness, they were being very foolish, as they should NOT have been holding metal clubs, under the tallest object around...yeah that's asking for trouble.
Oddly, today has not had many significant weather events through the years at all.
Thursday, July 2, 2015
7/2- Nice indeed
Good Thursday all-
Today is going to be just fine, with temperatures in the low to maybe mid-80s and partly cloudy skies. In fact, the next week looks dry right through, with temps right around where they are today. You could copy today and forecast it for the next 7, and come pretty darn close to being right...though there may be a few more clouds around this weekend (especially Sunday). Interestingly, there's still no 90 degree days in sight...a very odd occurrence for July, especially since we have not hit 90 since mid-May.
In the Atlantic- If you woke up to see tropical development, a better use of your time would be to hit the snooze button and go back to sleep (no development anytime soon)
In the Pacific- A low way east of Hawaii has a moderate chance of developing this week, but the question, if it does, is whether it'll be in the east Pacific basin or the central Pacific...the name would be different depending on the longitude it forms at.
Today in weather history- July 2, 1843- People in Charleston, SC, are quite surprised when, during a thunderstorm, a large alligator falls from the sky! This, although rare, does happen from time to time, and is usually the result of a tornado or waterspout picking them up, then having strong enough updrafts to keep them suspended in the air until they drop (much like rain)
Today is going to be just fine, with temperatures in the low to maybe mid-80s and partly cloudy skies. In fact, the next week looks dry right through, with temps right around where they are today. You could copy today and forecast it for the next 7, and come pretty darn close to being right...though there may be a few more clouds around this weekend (especially Sunday). Interestingly, there's still no 90 degree days in sight...a very odd occurrence for July, especially since we have not hit 90 since mid-May.
In the Atlantic- If you woke up to see tropical development, a better use of your time would be to hit the snooze button and go back to sleep (no development anytime soon)
In the Pacific- A low way east of Hawaii has a moderate chance of developing this week, but the question, if it does, is whether it'll be in the east Pacific basin or the central Pacific...the name would be different depending on the longitude it forms at.
Today in weather history- July 2, 1843- People in Charleston, SC, are quite surprised when, during a thunderstorm, a large alligator falls from the sky! This, although rare, does happen from time to time, and is usually the result of a tornado or waterspout picking them up, then having strong enough updrafts to keep them suspended in the air until they drop (much like rain)
Wednesday, July 1, 2015
7/1- July starts wet
Good Wednesday all-
Today is, unfortunately, NOT going to be a good weather day. There are strong thunderstorms crossing the state, and that will continue much of the day today. In fact, it's going to be just nasty today as some storms may be severe...the SPC has placed us under a MARGINAL risk of severe weather...and that'll last pretty much all day today. Otherwise, the forecast remains largely the same as yesterday, so check and see what I wrote yesterday for that info- the Friday/Saturday forecast remains highly volatile!
In the Atlantic- Going to the Sahara Desert to see the dust that's blowing into the basin is far more fruitful than hoping for development.
In the Pacific- A low way offshore SW of Hawaii has a chance of developing, probably in the central Pacific basin, over the next 5 days, but the only place that needs to watch it is, in fact, Hawaii.
Today in weather history- July 1, 1979- Stampede Pass, Washington, is surprised with 6" of SNOW, breaking the July record for that location. Of course, this implies that it's snowed in July there more than one time before. Gah!
image credit: metacynth.com
Happy new month!!
Today is, unfortunately, NOT going to be a good weather day. There are strong thunderstorms crossing the state, and that will continue much of the day today. In fact, it's going to be just nasty today as some storms may be severe...the SPC has placed us under a MARGINAL risk of severe weather...and that'll last pretty much all day today. Otherwise, the forecast remains largely the same as yesterday, so check and see what I wrote yesterday for that info- the Friday/Saturday forecast remains highly volatile!
In the Atlantic- Going to the Sahara Desert to see the dust that's blowing into the basin is far more fruitful than hoping for development.
In the Pacific- A low way offshore SW of Hawaii has a chance of developing, probably in the central Pacific basin, over the next 5 days, but the only place that needs to watch it is, in fact, Hawaii.
Today in weather history- July 1, 1979- Stampede Pass, Washington, is surprised with 6" of SNOW, breaking the July record for that location. Of course, this implies that it's snowed in July there more than one time before. Gah!
image credit: metacynth.com
Happy new month!!
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