Tuesday, May 24, 2016

5/24- Close Encounters of the Wet Kind

Good Tuesday all-

Unfortunately, it appears today will be much wetter than originally expected, as it now appears as though we can expect a consistent light rain through much of the day today. By the afternoon, however, these showers will become thunderstorms, although they shouldn't be particularly strong- we only have a SEE TEXT risk of severe weather. As for temperatures...it's quite difficult to forecast today...but I will go with mid-60s and hope for the best. This is the medium solution of the models- one gives us low 70s, while another says high 50s. That 15 degree temperature difference is nasty for forecasters for sure! As the week progresses, we can surely expect a warmup as tomorrow we should reach the low 80s, followed by the mid 80s on Thursday. 80s can also be expected until Sunday. Thunderstorms cannot be ruled out any day from Thursday on.

In the Atlantic- I'm still concerned about that low off the southeastern coast of the US. Most models are less aggressive than they were yesterday...but the Canadian model shows a category 1 hurricane hitting North Carolina on Tuesday. This is an extreme (not to mention extremely unlikely) solution, but certainly shows that some kind of development remains possible. Models are also picking up on a second storm forming in the same place by the end of next week, but that's still way out there.

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2016052400/gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_eus_31.png
 ^ The extremely unlikely solution of a hurricane in North Carolina, as shown by the 00z CMC model



There are now just 8 days until the Atlantic Hurricane Season

In the Pacific- Development is not expected anytime soon

Today in weather history- May 24, 1990- In a perfect example of what not to do in a tornado, six people are injured in central Kansas whilst attempting to outrun a tornado in their cars. This strategy will not work...and is far too risky to even consider. A car is probably, in fact, the most dangerous place to be in a tornado...other than a mobile home...or standing outside. The lesson? If a tornado is coming...please go to the basement...not your car!








No comments:

Post a Comment