Today is going to be a beautiful day- we're heading to the 80s with bright sunshine today- a true July-esque day...which will be occurring more frequently as June 1 is just a week away. For a statewide average...I'll go with an 83 and partly sunny skies. As we move ahead though...the weather will become downright hot...it'll be near 90 in parts of the region tomorrow. Unfortunately with these increased temperatures and high humidity...not only will it feel miserable...but those popup showers and storms are highly likely until at least Memorial Day and potentially even beyond. That said, there will be a great deal of enhancement over the first two days of the weekend from a low sitting off to our north.
High pressure will attempt to build in for the middle part of next week. Whether or not it does is very important to our weather. A tropical system is going to form to our south, and if the high is in place, we will be fine as it would deflect the system to our southeast. If it isn't, then the storm could attempt to climb the coast. At the moment...the first seems significantly more likely...so there is no need for any overreaction at this time. The models are still very much in disagreement...
^ CMC model showing a tropical storm in New England on Tuesday
^ 12z GFS showing the tropical system in the Carolinas and our area being shielded by a high pressure off to the northwest
Thoughts and prayers go out to those effected by the tornadoes in Kansas.
In the Atlantic- The NHC gives the area described above a 30% chance of development in the next 5 days. If I lived in coastal SC, GA, or FL, I would keep a very close eye on this one.
In the Pacific- No development is expected anytime soon.
There are a measly 7 days...or one week...until the Atlantic Hurricane Season.
Today in weather history- May 25, 1987- Someone on a boat in northwestern Louisiana is struck and killed by lightning while on a boat while standing up and begging for lightning to strike him. To say this is absolutely moronic is an understatement...DO NOT DO IT.
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