First off, I flat out blew a high-stakes forecast yesterday and I sincerely apologize, the reason being that the afternoon batch of storms stayed well off to our north and west, a solution which was literally not indicated by even one computer model. The end result was that we had very little (if any) precip after 10 or 11, so I hope that you didn't cancel your outdoor plans based on my forecast. It just goes to show that even in a world with all the technology we have available to us...we can still be surprised, and that's exactly what we did yesterday. The next few days will be partly sunny and progressively cooler, as highs will range from the mid-80s today to the low 70s on Thursday. Showers look to move in by Friday night with a warm front. Saturday looks fine...but unfortunately Sunday afternoon and Monday look to include a significant rain event at this time. Take that with a grain of salt though- we all know what can happen now :( (shakes head)
In the Atlantic- Tropical Depression Bonnie has died over the Carolinas as of yesterday afternoon, but it will continue to produce rain over the region as a non-tropical low pressure system. Wind effects, however, will be extremely minimal. The Atlantic Hurricane Season officially begins tomorrow.
In the Pacific- The low I was talking about yesterday now has an 80% chance of becoming Tropical Storm Agatha by the weekend, but even if it does it poses no threat to land whatsoever and the rest of the basin is quiet.
Today in weather history- May 31, 1889- The greatest flood disaster in American history occurs as a dam 22 miles north of Johnstown, PA bursts...unleashing a 22-foot wall of water onto the city, sweeping away everything in its' path. The flood kills 2,209 people and causes half a billion dollars (2016 USD) in damage. By comparison, Hurricane Katrina killed about 700 fewer people, but caused significantly more damage. Had Katrina occurred back in 1889...let's really not think about what would have happened.
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