6/30- Say goodbye to June with perfection

Good Tuesday all-

Today is going to be almost a perfect day, with temperatures in the low 80s and partly cloudy skies. The cold front that I was concerned about moving through tonight last week will move through at about 6 AM tomorrow morning...and although it'll rain and maybe thunder a bit...there's only a SEE TEXT risk of severe weather, so I'm not that concerned about anything like that whatsoever. Beyond that...Thursday should be fine...but Friday and Saturday produce a real head-scratcher forecast as some models show a stalled front washing out the 4th of July...while others show partly cloudy skies all weekend. It's too early to call with any kind of certainty...but by tomorrow we hopefully should have a pretty good idea.

In the Atlantic & Pacific- You don't need to worry about your end of month parties being interrupted by having to announce tropical development (none is expected anytime soon)

Today in weather history- June 30, 1988- Flooding rains douse east Kansas, as Worden receives 12.21", and a 3 foot wall of water totally floods Lone Star, KS (literally- every home was flooded)



image credit:kylejlloyd.files.wordpress.com


Today also, if you can believe it, marks the halfway point of 2015. As of tomorrow, we'll be closer to 2016 than 2014.

6/29- Not bad

Good Monday all-

Today is going to be pretty nice, with temps in the upper 70s or lower 80s and partly cloudy skies dominating. Actually, that's the story tomorrow...and Thursday...and Friday as well. Wednesday is the one problem day this week as a cold front moves through, and bringing scattered showers and thunderstorms...especially in the overnight hours. The 4th of July is a very tricky forecast at the moment...as a large storm is going to be very near Connecticut. The question is whether it comes in or not. For now...most models are indicating a very narrow miss...but that doesn't mean much this far out...so keep your backup holiday plans ready, as a hit would result in a total washout.

In the Atlantic & Pacific- Monday is bad enough as it is. Don't make it worse for yourself by uselessly staring at the tropics hoping for development (no development is expected in the next 5 days)

Today in weather history- June 29, 1957- Hurricane Audrey finally becomes an extratropical cyclone over the US...however...it will go down in the record books as by far the strongest named storm that ever formed during the month of June with 145mph sustained winds...a category 4. Over 400 people are killed when the storm makes landfall in Louisiana. It's very hard to get intense hurricanes in June...because the water is still being primed by the sun for the summer months. Since the water takes longer to respond to heat than the land...the peak months of the hurricane season are the later summer months of August...September...and October.

6/26- Showery

HAPPY FRIDAY EVERYONE!

Today, unfortunately, won't be the most pleasant of days as it'll be mostly cloudy with occasional rain showers. The worst news, though, is that this is actually going to be the best day of the next three, as a nor'easter arrives tomorrow afternoon for a soaking rain lasting about noon Saturday to noon Sunday...naturally...so both days can be considered washouts. As for amounts...I expect widespread 1-2" totals...with a 3" total scattered around Connecticut. As for next week, Tuesday looks like it could feature severe weather, while Thursday there may be thunderstorm activity. Naturally, though, lots can change between now and then!

In the Atlantic & Pacific- If you don't feel like going to work today, look at the bright side- at least you're doing something productive instead of pointlessly watching the tropics for development (no development is expected in the next 5 days)

Today in weather history- June 26, 1977- Park ranger Roy C Sullivan is struck by lightning for the seventh time- somehow he manages to survive again!! This is easily the most times anyone has been struck by lightning- the odds of this occurring are 1x10^28.

6/25- Showers to a nor'easter

Good Thursday all-

Today, for the most part, is going to be just fine with bright sunshine and temps in the 70s, but the big weather story at the moment is a strong nor'easter coming into play this weekend. Yes, a winter-type nor'easter, which is highly unusual...but not unheard of...in mid summer. The result for us here? A real soaker on Saturday night, which may feature several inches of rain and rather strong northeasterly winds...as well as far below average temperatures as some may not get to 70! Oof. The verdict is in, by the way, on the storm from Tuesday- it was a very strong microburst that went through North Haven/Wallingford/Ridgefield/Durham that caused all the power outages and damage. A microburst is the cousin of a tornado caused by intense downdrafts that have extremely fast moving sinking air...causing extreme winds. The winds were estimated at 95mph...or the equivalent of an EF1 tornado. Speaking of which, there was a tornado Tuesday in Massachusetts...but it only reached winds of 65mph (an EF0). Thus, our storm was literally stronger than the tornado! It was quite the experience to go through, and I'll never forget it!

In the Atlantic & Pacific- Sleeping, watching your least favorite TV show, or reading a boring novel are all more interesting than looking for development (No development is expected in the next 5 days)

Today in weather history- June 25, 1953- Anchorage, AK hits 86 for a high temperature. What's remarkable about this? It's their highest temperature ever recorded. Sounds pretty nice, until you consider how cold it can get there in the winter (not to mention that an area nearby- Valdez- is believed to be the snowiest civilized area in North America, averaging 298" of snow a year- nearly 3 times what we had in 1995-96)

6/24- Much better

Good Wednesday all-

Well after I experienced the biggest storm of my lifetime yesterday, today is going to be a beautiful day with bright sunshine and no precipitation. Temperatures will be in the low to mid 80s, but there will be very little humidity thanks to the brutal storms that moved through last night. In fact, all of the next week looks great, with the only chance of precip coming in the overnight tomorrow into Friday, but certainly nothing like we did yesterday. Also, I should ask drivers...if they can...to avoid areas such as Wallingford, North Haven, and Durham, which were the hardest hit areas yesterday as crews continue the cleanup effort.


In the Atlantic & Pacific- Watch the video and think of your memories from yesterday rather than watch for development- it'll be a far more fruitful experience (no development anytime soon)

Today in weather history- June 24, 2010- A tornado...rated EF1 in intensity...strikes Bridgeport, causing minor damage. Despite this, it was a rather significant event in Connecticut, largely due to the dense population of the city.

That just happened.

Hey everyone-

Well, I'm certain everyone will hear about it on the news, but I was hit by either a microburst or a tornado on the Wallingford/North Haven line tonight at about 4:45 PM. I still have power (though I don't know how) but it was an absolutely surreal experience that I'll never forget. I have nearly been hit by a tornado twice before (once in Branford- we were driving under a rotating cell that we didn't know had a warning on it, and once in Missouri- one hit our hotel two days after we left). Was it a tornado? Maybe. What I will say is that branches and trees were flying everywhere and it was absolutely incredible to witness the power of nature. Earlier today, I said in my blog that today would be memorable for someone in New England, and it turned out to be me and the communities in my area. I send out my thoughts to those who do not have power or had their homes damaged by the devastating storms tonight. We've been told to remain in place tonight, which we will, all the while reflecting on the awesome power of mother nature. I never thought I would go through a tornado or microburst as you have to be in the exactly wrong place at the exactly wrong time. Regardless of what it was...it's been one incredible day.


May everyone that was hit by these storms stay safe tonight, and simply remember the day it was. Some of us will undoubtedly remember this day for years. I hope that nobody was injured, but it seems probable there were some, and I wish them a speedy recovery (if indeed there were).

I'll post whether this was a microburst or the first tornado to directly strike Wallingford since 1878. Personally, I think it was a tornado based on many eyewitness reports of a small funnel cloud in the region, and twisted trees.

6/23- STORM WARNING- Potentially devastating severe outbreak today

Good Tuesday all-

First off, my thoughts go out to those effected by the devastating tornadoes in Michigan last night

Unfortunately, my thoughts may need to go out to someone in New England tomorrow. For the first time in several years, the SPC has put CT under an ENHANCED risk of severe weather. This is highly, highly unusual...and means that we're in big trouble. The only question is how much sunshine we got this morning...and as we can see, it's really sunny out there...that's BAD. I am more concerned about the setup today than I have been on anything since 6/1/11- and perhaps more so- and that's the day that spawned the EF3 tornado in Springfield. PLEASE, PLEASE stay safe, as large hail, strong tornadoes, and very strong winds. Keep an eye on the skies at ALL times today, and be sure to be safe this afternoon. I have to hope that you're careful. Two different rounds are coming through today. One at 11 or so, and another at 5 PM or so...which round will be more severe? Play roulette! I don't know, and am perfectly willing to admit it. Just stay safe today...please?

In the Atlantic & Pacific- Watch the storms today, not the tropics. Not only is it not important, but it's not interesting at all as there's nothing to watch

Today in weather history- It's rare that I do this but I will. Today, June 23, 2015, could be historic in it's own right...so I'll leave it blank. Is it possible that we just get another average day of thunderstorms? Sure, but it's also possible that we get a horrible outbreak of severe weather. Since there's nothing that really happened today anyway...I can leave it like this.

6/22- Summery

Good Monday all-

For many, this is the last week of school as well, so congratulations on making it through 2014-15! Today, although there is some fog out there this morning, is going to be high and dry, with temps in the mid-80s and bright sunshine. Humidity will be quite high, however, so it may feel rather unpleasant, especially during the peak PM heating hours...but what do you expect in summers in Connecticut? Tomorrow will be a fun day for me...which means it's a bad day for you, probably...as severe thunderstorms are highly likely as a strong cold front moves through during the peak heating hours of the afternoon. The primary threats will be large hail and damaging winds...but I can't rule out tornadoes either...so it's important to watch the weather for updates tomorrow evening. The rest of the week looks decent, but some scattered showers are possible Friday.

In the Atlantic & Pacific- If you're looking to do something that will feel longer than the last day of school, watch the basins for development- you won't have any luck!

Today in weather history- June 22, 1947- Holt, MO experiences the world record for heaviest rain, as the town receives a foot of it...in just 42 minutes...can you imagine? That's slightly more than a quarter of an inch per MINUTE!

6/19- Some storms

HAPPY FRIDAY EVERYONE- WE MADE IT!!

Unfortunately, it won't be an ideal Friday as some thunderstorms are possible this afternoon. We did have some scattered showers overnight, but they're moving out and today should be mostly dry, so don't worry too much about the afternoon. The SPC has only placed us under a paltry SEE TEXT risk of severe weather, so that's really no big deal. The weekend is the tail of halves. Saturday looks delightful...but Sunday is a total washout thanks to Tropical Storm Bill's remnants. The storm is still classified as a tropical depression...and it would be rather interesting if it holds itself together to give us a direct hit from a tropical cyclone...though it's rather unlikely. The forecast for next week remains the same as yesterday.

In the Atlantic & Pacific- If you waste your weekend looking for tropical cyclone activity, let me know how long you make it before realizing that it's fruitless (no development is expected anytime soon)

Today in weather history- June 19, 1972- Hurricane Agnes makes landfall in the Florida panhandle, This, however, is just part of the long story of this one, as two days later, Agnes is helped along by a trough of low pressure...and becomes a tropical storm again while already over North Carolina. The storm then moves into the Atlantic, strengthens to a Tropical Storm again, then clobbers Long Island and New York with 70mph winds, flooding Elmira and other cities. In all, Agnes caused $3 billion in damage, and killed 128 people. The name was, predictably, retired the following spring, becoming the first category 1 hurricane to have it's name retired. There have been a few since then (and even a tropical storm) but this storm is still highly notable.

6/18- Nice, overall

Good Thursday all-

Today is going to be a very nice day as a whole with temperatures in the mid 80s and increasing cloudiness through the afternoon. There will be some rain today, but it'll hold off until quite late tonight and really shouldn't be a big deal. Tomorrow and Saturday look similar...except without the rain chances. Sunday, unfortunately, looks really bad as the remnants of Tropical Storm Bill find their way into Connecticut, causing a large rainstorm and washing out father's day. Next week looks like a typical summer week with temps in the 80s and scattered storms possible on most days.

In the Atlantic & Pacific- You'll get more joy out of watching your grass grow than watching the basins for any tropical development this week (there won't be any anytime soon)

Today in weather history- June 18, 1970- Oberlien, KS, picks up 7" of HAIL from a severe thunderstorm. That can be tough to deal with walking through, but at leas tit melts quickly in the summer months!

6/17- Perfect

Good Wednesday all-

Today is going to be absolutely beautiful, with temps in the 80s and bright sunshine. There is no threat of precipitation today. Tomorrow looks much the same, but there's a shower and storm threat in the afternoon, but that's the price you pay sometimes for beautiful weather. As for the weekend, Saturday is undoubtedly better...because by Sunday we'll be dealing with the remnants of Tropical Storm Bill, which means it'll be a total washout. At least we have quite some time before we get there!

In the Atlantic- Tropical Storm Bill made landfall yesterday very near Galveston, TX as a rapidly intensifying 60mph storm. Another 12 hours over water and we'd have been dealing with a hurricane...but that doesn't ease the pain for Texas, who have been dealing with flooding like crazy the last few weeks anyway.

In the Pacific- Tropical Storm Carlos is approaching landfall as a 65mph tropical storm just north of Manzanillo, MX...but that's not all that strong for that region. The active period in the Pacific does seem to be ending, however, for the time.

Today in weather history- June 17, 1859- In Santa Barbara, CA, hot Santa Ana winds actually roast some crops on the side facing the wind...while leaving the other side totally normal. Strange indeed!

6/15+6/16- Two awful days

Good Monday all-

Unfortunately, I won't be able to blog tomorrow as it's my orientation day in Danbury. Therefore, this post will discuss both today and tomorrow. Unfortunately for you, the weather looks fun to track for me the next few days. First, it's really going to pour all day today, which is rather unfortunate, especially since it means temps won't even get anywhere near 70, and in fact it wouldn't floor me if places like Norfolk didn't even reach 60. Yikes. Anywhere from an additional 0.5 to 1.5" of rain is possible...with locally higher amounts. Tomorrow, although it will be warmer, could be the bearer of worse news, as very severe thunderstorms are possible. We're officially only under a slight risk of severe weather, however, it wouldn't surprise me to see that upgraded to an enhanced risk. These storms will produce large hail and damaging winds, and maybe even tornadoes if everything comes together. Thankfully, these are the worst two days of the week, as the last three look much quieter (though a few storms could be around Thursday).

In the Atlantic- A low that developed in the Bay of Campeche is probably about to become Tropical Storm Bill and head straight for the TX/LA border...watch out if you know anyone that lives there, as they'll be getting tropical storm conditions tonight and tomorrow.

In the Pacific- Tropical Storm Carlos' 70mph winds are paralleling the Mexican coast and it may briefly re-attain hurricane intensity before basically shooting straight up the Gulf of California and weakening.

Today in weather history- June 15, 1662- A religious fast was held in Salem, MA, which had been undergoing a big drought, and featured prayers for rain...which was then fully answered and then some as they then experience a torrential deluge.

Today in weather history- June 16, 1944- A very odd tornado in Sioux City, IA, first sits there for 20 minutes...then makes a u-turn, travels that way for 3 miles...then turns again and moves...in a complete circle! It finally lifts up shortly thereafter.

6/12- Storms again

HAPPY FRIDAY EVERYONE!!

Today is going to be a virtual repeat of yesterday in all but the fact that there really will be storms today. The front that we thought would cause them yesterday slipped further south than we thought, but another one is coming through from the west tonight (and tomorrow morning), which will likely cause several storms tonight...some of which could be rather nasty, and we're under a MARGINAL risk of severe weather today. The better day of the weekend is undoubtedly Sunday...while it's back to the storms for Monday and Tuesday.

In the Atlantic- There are only a few things certain in life. Good examples include: The sun will rise today. Tomorrow will be Saturday. There's an El Nino in the Pacific. Tropical development will not occur anytime soon.

In the Pacific- Tropical Storm Carlos formed yesterday morning as expected, and now contains 60mph winds. The storm should stay just barely offshore of Acapulco, but it's close enough that they'll likely experience strong tropical storm conditions as Carlos will likely be a hurricane by then.

Today in weather history- June 12, 1983- Thistle, UT is completely destroyed by a mudslide after a heavy rainstorm in the area. Devastating slides like this are, fortunately, relatively rare in the US, and are much more common in the tropical countries like Mexico and Haiti, but they do happen, like in Oso, WA last year.

6/11- The first 'triple H' day

Good Thursday all-

If you don't like heat, today is going to be your least favorite day of the year so far. Temperatures today should soar towards 90 by this afternoon, along with very high humidity and mostly sunny (albeit quite hazy) skies. Thus the 'triple h' as referred to in the meteorological world- hot, humid, hazy (though I like to substitute 'hazy' for 'horrible'). Fortunately, showers and storms are likely this afternoon (some of which could be severe), and we are under a MARGINAL risk of severe weather along the shoreline, while northern CT is under just a SEE TEXT risk. Tomorrow looks a bit cooler, fortunately, as well as less humid. Showers and storms return for Saturday, Monday, and Wednesday...yeah you get the point. It's basically every other day.

In the Atlantic- Waiting for tropical development will feel like waiting for a vacation that's long off- either way, it'll feel like forever (no development anytime soon)

In the Pacific- Tropical Depression 3-E formed last night as expected, and will likely become Tropical Storm Carlos very soon. It's generally heading toward the coast of Mexico, but it's more likely to just barely stay offshore, but they'll still feel the impacts, so if you know anyone going to the west Mexican coast, they should be aware of the situation.

Today in weather history- June 11, 1842- Somehow, parts of Vermont and New Hampshire recieve one foot of SNOW. Ouch! That's really painful at this time of year, and is almost undoubtedly the latest snowfall in many locations, though official records were not kept yet.

Also, it's fun to note June 11, 1877- LA reaches a high temperature of 112, which would be the all time record high...but records there would begin just 20 days later, so it wasn't recorded officially, so it is not actually on record!

6/10- A broken record

Good Wednesday all-

Today is an off-day in our alternating shower and thunderstorm days, so I expect today to be completely dry and sunny, with the only real negative that it is going to be at times unbearably hot with temperatures very near, or perhaps eclipsing, 90. Tomorrow looks much the same as today but with higher humidity and scattered PM thunderstorms. The funny thing is that, through at least the middle of next week, we are stuck in this pattern. One day hot and dry, the next humid and thunderstorms, etc. It really is just like a broken record of the weather now!

In the Atlantic- Baseball fans' wait for a no-hitter ended last night thanks to Chris Heston. That doesn't mean your wait for tropical development is going to end soon (no development is expected)

In the Pacific- The same area I've been watching for several days now is probably going to become Tropical Storm Carlos tonight, and then generally head for mainland Mexico...so let's see exactly what that does.

Today in weather history- June 10, 1958- A woman is sucked out of her house in El Dorado, KS by a strong tornado, which flings her 60 feet. She survives, but what's interesting is that when authorities found her, she was beside a broken record titled 'Stormy Weather'. You really can't make this stuff up.

6/9- Stormy

Good Tuesday all-

Is today going to be nice?...NO, not at all. Not only will it be mostly cloudy for most of the day today, as well as warm (mid-80s) and oppressively humid...but thunderstorms are likely in the afternoon. Some of these could be very severe with large hail! The SPC has put us under a SLIGHT risk of severe weather...which is about where I'd put it too...but it's insanely hard to get anything higher than that here. The next level, MODERATE...I have only seen in New England once or twice in my lifetime...so SLIGHT is pretty significant here. Otherwise, showers and storms now look likely on Thursday, and Saturday could now be a total washout...but it may only be scattered storms too as the models disagree on this at the moment.

In the Atlantic- Waiting for tropical development is akin to waiting for the Cubs to win the World Series (no development anytime soon)

In the Pacific- A low off Mexico is probably going to become Tropical Storm Carlos either tonight or tomorrow...and then head straight for Mexico...where it will likely make a direct landfall. How strong it will be at that time remains to be seen, however.

Today in weather history- June 9, 1953- A historic moment in New England weather history, and North American weather history. A strong cold front...coupled with unstable weather...prompts the first Severe Thunderstorm Watch in New England history. That's not why I'm mentioning this though...late in the afternoon, the most powerful tornado in New England history absolutely CLOBBERS Worcester, killing 94 people. The tornado was a full out wedge tornado (1 mile wide) and is very, very near F5 intensity, though is officially an F4, despite strong evidence that F5 damage occured in Worcester and other communities...because the structures were not built as strongly as they were today. In all fairness, we will likely never know just how strong this tornado was. Regardless of whether it was an F4 or F5, it is undoubtedly the worst tornado in New England history.

6/8- Rather wet

Good Monday all-

Unfortunately, today won't be the best as scattered showers are about to move in, and they'll be with us all day today and most of tomorrow as well. It won't be a total washout, but certainly raindrops will fly from time to time in the next few days. The middle of the week looks dry, mercifully, except for  a few showers/storms on Thursday. Saturday looks quite wet at the moment, but Sunday should be just fine as well. Temps will be in the 80s pretty consistently, ranging from 78-84 today and as high as 87-90 on Wednesday.

In the Atlantic- Watching the basin is worse than watching paint dry right now (no development is expected anytime soon)

In the Pacific- Tropical Storm Blanca will make landfall today in the Baja California peninsula as a very weak storm that likely won't have much impact at all on the area...but Tropical Storm Carlos will likely form by this weekend and this one could be very interesting indeed for the west coast of Mexico

Today in weather history- June 8, 1966- A strong tornado manages to go right through downtown Topeka, killing 16 people and doing $100 million in damage, the worst tornado on record up to that point. There's a legend that tornadoes don't hit populated downtown areas...they do, but it's hard for them to do so simply because there are far more rural areas in the midwest than populated towns!

6/5- Scattered shoreline showers

HAPPY FRIDAY all-

There are going to be, unfortunately, some isolated showers on the shoreline today, but otherwise it's going to be just fine. Highs will be in the low-to-mid 70s with partly to mostly cloudy skies at some point likely to develop today. That said, the sunshine is bright at the moment...so I hope I'm not wrong...but I'm pretty confident. Happily, the weekend looks truly special with temps near 80 tomorrow...and 75 with bright sunshine on Sunday! Despite that, early next week could feature severe weather as a front moves through...but we'll cross that bridge when we get there. In the meantime, enjoy this truly spectacular weekend!

In the Atlantic- Don't hold your breath on Bill, or you'll suffocate (no development anytime soon)

In the Pacific- Hurricane Blanca inexplicably rapidly weakened during the day yesterday, and is now only just barely a category 2, featuring 105mph sustained winds. This allows the Baja to breathe a sigh of relief, as they are now going to be facing a tropical storm, instead of an ex-category 5 storm like we had feared at one point they would be.

Today in weather history- June 5, 1859- A stunning cold spell plunges temperatures in New York to just 25! degrees, causing a massive freeze. The biggest surprise of all, though, came to the people of Ohio, who woke up to see the ground blanketed with two inches of snow! Yes, in June!! Oof, that's brutal.

6/4- Beautiful again

Good Thursday all-

Well, I'm going to keep this short and sweet today. It's going to be beautiful today (actually, it may as well be yesterday's weather again), so go out there and enjoy it. Really, I could just type yesterday's outlook here again, but I won't waste both of our times. :)

In the Atlantic- No development anytime soon

In the Pacific- Tropical Storm Andres has died out...Hurricane Blanca is a category 3- though it was a category 4 at one point last night- as it basically just sits and spins...and development is possible off the Mexican coast early next week.

Today in weather history- June 4, 1825- A hurricane (ridiculously early in the season) does the classic Atlantic seaboard track, ultimately crushing New England, and causing severe damage from Charleston, SC north...and killing many in ships off the east coast.

6/3- Finally a nice one

Good Wednesday all-

Finally, the weather isn't going to be bad at all today! Highs will be in the high 70s and contain mostly sunny skies as the rain FINALLY has moved on out for good. The UV index is 8 today though so make sure you use sunscreen if you go outside today! Tomorrow looks rather nice too...but there should be mostly cloudy with occasional rain showers, and the same can be said Friday. The weekend looks great with sunny skies and high 70s weather on both days...but the start of next week looks rather wet, so let's see what happens there when it becomes more clear.

In the Atlantic- No development anytime soon.

In the Pacific- Andres has weakened to a tropical storm, with 70mph wind and will not survive much longer. On the other hand, remember that weak 50mph tropical storm yesterday? It's now nearly a major hurricane. Blanca now has 110mph sustained winds, which is just 4mph shy of major hurricane strength. The storm, which is in the process of rapid intensification, will almost certainly achieve this today- and will likely be near category 5 intensity by the next time I update this blog. Even worse, this storm likely poses a threat to the Baja Peninsula- but at least it'll weaken before any landfall.


Today in weather history- June 3, 1921- Colorado is dumped by extreme rain, as Boggs Flat picks up a whopping 14" in just one day. The Arkansas River completely floods Boulder, killing 70. An additional 120 are killed in Pikes Peak in a similar event

6/2- One more crappy day

Good Tuesday all-

Sadly, guess what today's forecast is? If you guessed pouring rain, you're a winner! Thankfully, though, this is the final day of this consistent rain before we get a two day long break...then showers are possible Friday. The weekend, fortunately, looks quite nice, which is different from the forecast yesterday as it seems the system we expected is going to miss us. That would be nice...but let's not be too optimistic yet as things can certainly change. Most of the temperatures this week will be at or very near 80...except today, where I doubt many people even get out of the 50s.


In the Atlantic- Officially, tropical development is not expected in the next five days. However, one model in particular (the CMC) has been insistent on developing a tropical storm in the Bahamas this weekend. That said, it's often one that spins up too many tropical systems, so it's not particularly likely, so I'd give it a 20% development chance.

In the Pacific- Hurricane Andres has weakened to a 105mph category 2 storm, far weaker than it was yesterday. However, Tropical Depression 2-E has strengthened into Tropical Storm Blanca with 50mph wind...and it's expected to be very near category 5 intensity at some point in the next week. Horrifyingly, it could come very, very close to the Baja Peninsula as a category 2 by early next week


Today in weather history- June 2, 1985- Lightning strikes a metal bed through a window, killing the man in it...but letting his wife walk away completely uninjured. It's really something the way lightning can behave.

6/1- In the middle of a three day soaker

Good Monday all-

First things first- welcome to June, and the first day of meteorological summer, which comprises the months of June, July, and August. Unfortunately...it won't be feeling summery today or tomorrow as it's going to pour all day on both days...granted, it won't be raining all the time, but it probably will about 65% of the time, and it'll really come down at times. In fact, in a span of 4 hours yesterday...I picked up nearly five inches of rain. It likely will be less extreme, but still another 2-3" of rain are certainly possible in the remaining two days of wetness. Wednesday and Thursday look great with temps around 80...but then it pours again Friday and Saturday as a stalled cold front dumps us once again.

Also noteworthy-

Today, June 1, 2015...begins the Atlantic hurricane season...which runs until November 30. This year's list of names is Ana (which was used in mid-May), Bill, Claudette, Danny, Erika, Fred, Grace, Henri, Ida, Joaquin, Kate, Larry, Mindy, Nicholas, Odette, Peter, Rose, Sam, Teresa, Victor, and Wanda. Most meteorologists do not believe it is going to be particularly active...but it only takes one...and you never know for sure. Be ready!

On that note...

In the Atlantic- For now, tropical development is not expected in the next 5 days. However...a low in the Caribbean is likely going to develop just beyond this timeframe, and will likely be mentioned in the outlook in the next day.

In the Pacific- Hurricane Andres unexpectedly rapidly intensified overnight and is now a category 4 with winds of 145 mph. It was originally believed to have peaked at 110mph on Saturday morning. Also, Tropical Depression 2-E has formed, and is likely to become major Hurricane Blanca by this weekend. The Pacific is awake!

Today in weather history- June 1, 1971- Mt Rainier, Washington, receives 8" of snow, their final snowfall of the winter...but it brings their total to 1,027" for the season, establishing the new record for seasonal US snowfall. Incredibly, though, it was very short lived, as the same area picked up more the following year.

Also, June 1, 1980- A main from Falmouth, ME, is struck by lightning...but it turns out to be a blessing, as it restores his eyesight after he was totally blind! Please don't try this at home!

                                            image credits: blacksatino.com  ,baynews9.com