Tuesday, June 21, 2016

6/21- Considerable Questions

Good Tuesday all-

I hate forecasts like this with a passion, and this is going to be, quite honestly, little more than guesswork for Thursday. The models are absolutely all over the place with some showing over an inch of rain and others suggesting partly cloudy conditions. Big help. Thankfully, today is easier to predict, as our rotating storms from earlier have moved out of the region (no tornadoes were reported, but they were rotating). Additionally, we can rely on some cool weather for late June. Now that summer is in full swing, we are looking at temps in the mid 80s today and getting progressively cooler as time goes on, bottoming out in the low 70s on Thursday. The good news though? There is no rain in the forecast except for Thursday. My gut says rain, but it's been wrong before, and certainly will be wrong again, so we kind of just have to wait and see. Note the differences below...

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016062106/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_11.png
^ GFS model showing heavy rain all day on Thursday

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2016062100/gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_12.png
 ^CMC showing no rain at all at the same time- greeeat

Today in weather history- June 21, 2005- Colorado Springs, CO picks up one foot of hail, causing the city to bring their snowplows out to clear the roads!

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