Friday, June 3, 2016

6/3- Friday is Moist

HAPPY FRIDAY ALL-

Today is going to be rather lousy, I'm afraid. It won't be too awful- highs will be in the 70s and we'll have some breaks of sunshine but...we'll also get a fair amount of rain as showers move through pretty much all day today. A rain shower at this exact moment is moving through the Danbury area and advancing towards the Route 8 corridor...and it's strong enough that it should completely cross the state in the next hour or two, getting everyone a bit wet. Additionally, thunderstorms are likely tonight, though they won't be too bad- it's just a SEE TEXT risk. Tomorrow looks good, but Sunday could be a very serious problem as we have a MARGINAL risk of severe weather but...a slight risk lies just to our south (and I mean just- NYC is in it). Just a touch further south of that (SW Jersey) lies in an ENHANCED risk for severe thunderstorms. As a result, I cannot rule out even tornadoes on Sunday, but the greatest threat (for now) looks to just barely miss us to the south. Regardless of the severity, there will be a period of heavy rain Sunday afternoon and evening, so go ahead and cancel those outdoor plans now. Thankfully, the majority of next week looks dry excepting scattered showers and storms on Wednesday and Friday. It also appears to feature mostly near to slightly below average temperatures.

In the Atlantic- Bonnie surprisingly regenerated yesterday morning off the coast of the Carolinas and, although it could somewhat strengthen, it poses no threat to land. However...the odds of development in the Gulf next week have increased since yesterday...and the target appears to be Western Florida on Tuesday. The NHC is giving this a 50/50 chance but quite honestly...I think that's conservative...it's more likely than not that TS Colin will form this weekend in my opinion.

In the Pacific- So much for that guaranteed development of Agatha as the system inexplicably weakened severely yesterday and is now moving into an area that is not very favorable for development. It still has a decent chance, but it's not nearly as likely as it was!

Today in weather history- June 3, 1959- Salden, KS manages to pick up 18" of hail, yes, 18"!! It hails for a whopping 85 minutes nonstop, causes $500 million in damage. The temperature plummets from 80 to 38 degrees as a result--that's probably a combination of a strong cold front and the hail itself cooling the environment that it's falling in!

If Sunday's severe threat increases, I will post here in the morning of that day. Enjoy the weekend regardless!!


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