Wednesday, August 24, 2016

8/24- Hotter, Dry, Trouble for FL and Gulf

Good Wednesday all-

Well, there really isn't much to talk about this week...actually there is, but it's not here! Today...and tomorrow....and Friday...and Saturday...etc...will be partly sunny with highs in the 80s, with the only exception being on Friday, when I think most areas will hit 90, and there is a small chance of a PM pop up sprinkle. Otherwise...we look absolutely golden- the 80s next week will be the low 80s and feature quite a bit less humidity than the last few have. Remember, we are now one week away from meteorological autumn! I cannot believe it- time flies!

With that said, the potential of a really big weather story exists to our south, towards our friends living in Florida and the Gulf Coast. The development potential of 99L...which we have been watching for several days...has increased and now poses a moderate threat to east FL as a hurricane potentially. I have to say, though, that my biggest concern right now is Louisiana. Here is the Euro from yesterday afternoon-

         ^^^12z euro yesterday showing a category 4/5 landfall in Alabama

The concern here is that it is on a very dangerous path potentially. You hate to bring up the "K" word for obvious reasons, but there are similarities to both the meteorological pattern and especially the track indicated here- they are virtually identical. Of course, things can and will change between now and final landfall in the Gulf, but frankly I see a path where this kind of event shown above is possible...so it is worth noting...especially because this morning's run is quite similar...



             ^^^A very similar story is told by the 0z as the 12z...yikes

Today in weather history- August 24, 2005- Ironically, Tropical Storm Katrina forms in the far eastern Bahamas, and begins its' devastating path towards New Orleans. Katrina would make landfall in south Florida as a weak hurricane the next day, before emerging into the Gulf and the rest is, of course, historic and tragic. I could write an entire paper on this storm easily but...I'll leave it there

No comments:

Post a Comment