Friday, September 16, 2016

9/16- Very chilly, Great Start to the Weekend but...

HAPPY FRIDAY EVERYONE-

Wow is today going to be beautiful. In fact, it may be among the best days of the year- temperatures will be extremely comfortable today- we can expect highs in the low to mid 70s- which is actually slightly below average for this date. It's really chilly this morning- we're in the mid to upper 40s as I type this, and we should experience something pretty similar tonight- it's great sleeping weather! Now for the rest of the weekend, tomorrow looks great, but Sunday...yeah not so much. Rain will be developing through the afternoon, and it should be of the steady, moderate variety as a warm front moves through Connecticut. This will set up temperatures in the mid-80s on Tuesday (a real scorcher for late September) before we drop things back to the mid 70s by midweek, which is very close to average.

The Atlantic is very active today, with Tropical Storm Julia off the southeast coast, Tropical Storm Ian- heading directly for Iceland- and newly upgraded Tropical Storm Karl just west of the Cape Verde Islands. Karl is expected to become a hurricane with time as it moves across the basin, but it is unlikely to reach the US mainland. Additionally, a tropical wave has a window of opportunity for development early this week- the next name on the Atlantic list is Lisa. With the formation of Karl...this is now the most active Atlantic season since 2013.

The Pacific continues to feature a weakening Tropical Storm Orlene, Tropical Storm Paine is likely to form early this week, but it appears to be no threat to land. When Paine does form, there will only be eight names left on the Pacific list. The record number of named storms in the Pacific is exactly enough to exhaust the list completely. Considering we are at the peak right now...we have a chance with still two full months of hurricane season to go. We are at roughly the same place as the Atlantic was in 2005 at this time on the name list

Today in weather history- September 16, 1881- Iowa records its' earliest snowfall on record, with up to six inches falling in the western portion of the area. Such an event is more possible in Iowa than in southern New England primarily due to the lack of influence from the warm Atlantic Ocean, leaving that part of the country far more vulnerable to oddly-timed snowfalls. Of course, a six inch snowfall on this date in Connecticut would be an absolute disaster, so let's hope that never happens!

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