Monday, September 19, 2016

9/19- Finally, a total washout

Good Monday all-

Oh boy will this be fun, especially on a Monday. Rain is moving into the region from west to east, and it is going to pour for much of the day today as a warm front moves from west to east across our area. We can expect one to two inches of much-needed rain today and that will be very, very helpful...but not nearly enough to totally bust us out of our drought. Unfortunately, after today, we have a long stretch of dry and exceptionally warm weather- highs will be in the mid-80s tomorrow...which is absolutely unbelievable for late September. We should be a bit cooler on Wednesday, but we're back to the 80s on Thursday and Friday. A cold front will finally move through on Saturday, and this will send temperatures plummeting all the way to significantly below average- some areas could have a hard time even reaching 60 on Sunday if some models are accurate.

The Atlantic remains active, as Tropical Storm Karl formed on Saturday and is generally expected to strengthen and head directly for Bermuda as a hurricane...they'll certainly need to watch this one. Additionally, a tropical wave behind it is probably going to briefly become Tropical Storm Lisa early this week, but conditions are not overly favorable by about Thursday. As for the Pacific, Hurricane Paine is taking a very bizarre path, and is generally heading for San Diego. Although it won't get there at anywhere near hurricane intensity, it is quite odd to get a landfall in the Northern Baja Peninsula indeed. In fact, in recorded history, only two tropical storms have ever made landfall in southern California. This will not be the third, but it shows how it could be possible for sure
[Image of 5-day forecast and coastal areas under a warning or a watch]
^ The rather odd path being taken by Hurricane Paine

Additionally, a low off Mexico could develop towards the end of the week or the weekend, but it is unlikely to pose any threat to land.

Today in weather history- September 19, 1967- Category 3 Hurricane Beulah makes final landfall at the mouth of the Rio Grande River, just south of Brownsville, which gets drenched with over a foot of rain, easily their single event record. Additionally, a ship in the river records winds gusting to 135mph- category 4 intensity!

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