Thursday, September 29, 2016

9/29- Showery Weekend

Good Thursday all-

Well, here comes the rain as we are entering an extremely wet pattern. My opinion is almost exactly the same as what it was yesterday- and that's rather bad news for places like the Berlin Fair and other activities that are going on through this weekend. It's one of those times where you just want to roll over and go back to sleep- rain is likely for much of the next four days as what we call a "cutoff" low (which describes an old and weak, but extremely slow moving low) will be plaguing us by sitting near Tennessee and spinning showers up from the south as time goes on. As for temperatures...we'll be in the mid to upper 60s for most of the forecast window.

I am still watching Tropical Storm Matthew, which was officially named yesterday morning in the Antilles. It's on a path that will impact Jamaica and Cuba, before moving into the Bahamas on a northward trajectory. If that gets your eyebrows raised, it should...that puts SNE in a vulnerable position indeed...so we need to watch closely. If it does decide to jog up the east coast, we could experience hurricane conditions a week from today or so.

Tropical Storm Matthew
^^ When computer models look like this, your eyebrows are raised.

Even more so when you look at the ensembles...

Tropical Storm Matthew
^^The GFS ensembles showing several members with a direct hit to Connecticut or the mid-Atlantic states.

This still is quite a ways out, but it is becoming more serious very quickly and, if trends continue, I will issue a severe storm watch tomorrow.

Today in weather history- September 29, 1959- Colorado Springs, CO picks up a whopping 28" of snow from a storm. This is extremely unusual for this early in the season, but it's far from unheard of- the town is situated at a very high elevation in the Rocky Mountains and averages 41", which is about the same as Connecticut, but it is more spread out over the season- the stormiest times of the year in the Rockies are late September to early November, and mid-March to late April.

On a happier note, congratulations to Red Sox Nation and all of those who have supported them throughout the season. It may be the most awkward way to clinch ever (a walk off grand slam, really?) but nevertheless it shows just how far you guys have come over the last year. Go celebrate!

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