Oh boy, things are escalating big time. It's a battle of the computer models to be sure, but there are a few things we know for sure.
1- Matthew became a CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE overnight, the first one recorded in the Atlantic since Hurricane Felix in 2007.
2- It will be moving SLOWLY west and then north, eventually striking Jamaica and eastern Cuba, entering the Bahamas.
3- We have a serious battle of the models going on. The GFS, which has a nightmare scenario for the entire east coast, where the system stalls in the Bahamas, becomes a high end cat 5 just east of Florida, then gets captured by a front which sends it flying up the coast and strikes Connecticut directly as the strongest hurricane since 1635...yeah NOT good. The Euro, meanwhile, turns it more to the east and flies it out to sea, while the CMC is in between both options with a historically strong hurricane for central Maine.
4- If, and needless to say this is a big if, this would be worse than both Irene and Sandy, and Gloria, and be only able to be compared to the Great Hurricane of '38. This is a serious, serious risk folks, and we need to pay very, very close attention to this one. Keep your fingers crossed.
5- For those of you wondering, the threat is currently larger than it was at any point last year from Hurricane Joaquin.
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