Monday, October 20, 2014

10/20- Wet wetter and wettest

Good Monday everyone-

Today is going to be the nicest day of the week, with primarily sunny skies and temps in the mid-60s...but that's where the good weather ends...until the weekend!!! A classic nor'easter will form, starting with showers late tomorrow afternoon and continuing with rain on Wednesday...and Thursday...and Friday. Temperatures will be consistently in the mid-50s as well...so it'll be a cold rain to add insult to injury.

Anyway, the snow season is nearly upon us. I attended the tri-state weather conference at WestConn on Saturday, and the majority of people there seemed to believe this would be a very cold and snowy winter. Based on the early tracks of the nor'easters this year...and the amount of snow pack in other parts of the world...I am inclined to agree with them...the year that compares the most is probably 1976-77, which was above average in this region.

In the Atlantic- Two systems, one in the Gulf of Mexico and one near the Azores, are in a race to become Tropical Storm Hannah, with the loser becoming Tropical Storm Isiah. The one near the Azores poses no threat to land, whereas the one in the Gulf has horrid model agreement, though the majority pose a threat, oddly, to the east coast of Florida- they have it actually moving southeast, which is ridiculously bizarre...then shifting due north parallel to the east coast of Florida...and then some actually take it to Southern New England around (unbelievably) October 29...the anniversary of Sandy. This is a very very very long shot, but it would be something else.

In the Pacific- No development anytime soon, and Ana is moving away from Hawaii, who was dealt primarily with heavy rain for impacts. Also, Tropical Storm Trudy hit Mexico this weekend, but with minimal impacts- just some rain and gusty wind.

Today in weather history- October 20, 1996- New England deals with a powerful four-day long nor'easter (sound familiar?), which drops as much as 18" of rain on Sanford, Maine. The one we deal with this week should not be nearly as strong as this one.

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