The snow event for tonight continues to appear minimal- light snow is breaking out from West to East and it will continue to do so, likely dropping between 1 and 3 inches of snow this evening. This is a medium chance of a delay, but I wouldn't bet on it, as it likely stops too soon to be major trouble. BIG trouble is possible late week though. I really got burned by making bold predictions last week, so I will refrain from doing that except from stating that we might hear the "b" word tossed around in the next few days and that a major (12"+) snow event has a solid 50-50 chance of occuring, and there is about a 20% chance, for now, that it could be a historic (2 ft+) snowstorm for Connecticut.
Further information that I want to throw out there...I will follow the WFSB names instead of the Weather Channel's, as WFSB is more local and more indicative as to how severe the Connecticut winter has been. So far, Ashford, Bethany, Chester, and Derby have all been used, and Thursday's storm, if it delivers 6"+ of snow, would be named Easton. Additionally, I have decided to classify snowfalls as follows:
Non-event- Less than 1"
Nuisance- Less than 3" but more than 1"
Moderate event- Between 3 and 6"
Significant event- Between 6 and 12"
Major event- Between one and two feet
Historic event- Greater than two feet, or potentially a record breaking storm for other purposes (Wind, Odd timing). Reserved for the "big ones" such as the Blizzards of '78, '93, '06, and '13, and the 2011 October nor'easter
I hereby classify tonight's event as nusiance. Thursday's storm has a 40% chance of being a non-event, a 20% chance each of being a significant, major, and historic event at this time. I'll update in the morning- have a great evening!
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