Thursday, February 13, 2014

Funky forecast for tonight...and Saturday trouble?

Good evening everyone! After most of central CT recieved between 5-10" of snow this morning, the second, more difficult to forecast round is set to begin shortly. The main problem, however, is where the heaviest axis of snow sets up. NOAA currently forecasts an additional 6-12" this evening, which would close all schools in central Connecticut. Most of the news forecasts, however, forecast very little. Personally, I would be more inclined to believe the low end of NOAA's forecast...and as such I expect 5-8" of additional snow tonight. Ordinarily, I would expect schools to be either delay 2 hours or close tomorrow (I would be right on the edge of forecasting) however...districts that have a half day tomorrow (Such as New Haven) will likely have to close regardless because, even if the snow falls in the lower end of the range and 2" fall...the roads will still be too slick to drive in since the day would be too short to count if the delay occurred. My forecast is that there is a high chance...90 percent...of districts with a half day closing tomorrow. For full day districts there is a high chance...60 percent...of another snow day tomorrow and a medium chance...40 percent...of having a delay. There is no way that any schools will be able to open on time.

Saturday's storm also is beginning to cause concern for Southern New England, as the GFS now forecasts a moderate (3-6") snowfall for Connecticut on Saturday...which could be disastrous on top of all this snow. I'll update in the morning!

Also, note that next week is February Break for New Haven Public Schools. It has already been announced this will not be effected even if school closes tomorrow. Despite this, I will continue to issue forecasts for school closings should storms come during that time period for viewers outside of the NHPS area.

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