Wednesday, February 12, 2014

Snow lovers rejoice!

Good morning everyone! It seems like this storm will be mostly snow after a few model run scares last night that indicated far more mixing than expected, and the eastward trends, if they continue through the day today, should yield a pretty gigantic snowstorm for Southern New England. The official forecast from NOAA is up to 8-12" and they are nearly always 3-5" too low with their numbers (Although interestingly, they are forecasting 10-16" in the local forecast). The Winter Storm Warning is posted below in full, and I stand by my 1-2 feet, mostly snow forecast and maintain my belief that schools close both Thursday and Friday, resulting in an extended February break- schools will likely start closing tonight for Thurs- and I am at least 60-70% sure that a delay will be necessary Friday. My school, however, has an early dismissal scheduled. With this option off the table, they will likely be forced to close. Either way, enjoy the major snowstorm!

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM
EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH
IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN FAIRFIELD...NORTHERN NEW HAVEN.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...8 TO 12 INCHES.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S.

* VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE DURING THE
  DAY THURSDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF THURSDAY NIGHT. SOME SLEET MAY
  MIX WITH THE SNOW.

* IMPACTS...SNOWFALL WILL MAKE TRAVEL TREACHEROUS. IN
  ADDITION...HEAVY...WET SNOW MAY CAUSE SOME WEAK...FLAT ROOF
  STRUCTURES TO COLLAPSE AND TREES WILL BE SUSCEPTIBLE TO FALLING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...
AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.


Final note here- note how it says mixing "may" occur, if it doesn't...big trouble for everyone and we end up on the higher end of my forecast



Today in weather history- Feb. 12, 2006- A major blizzard crushes Connecticut and the northeast region, bringing one to two feet of snow, breaking the all-time record for the biggest 24-hr snowfall in Hartford with 22.4" (This would later be broken in 2011)

No comments:

Post a Comment