Good morning and happy weekend!
A Winter Storm Warning has been issued for Middlesex county, with which I agree. It would also not surprise me one bit to see these expanded westward through the morning as the nor'easter develops just off Cape Cod and pushes snow back into the area. The major problem, however, is that this forecast is extremely tough- a track 25 miles further west would bring a fully-fledged blizzard to Connecticut, while a track 25 miles east gives us very little. Further complicating things is the potential presence of what is known as a Norlun trough, a batch of heavy snow that detaches from the main storm and gives an area several times more snow than could be ordinarily expected from a certain storm track. Based on this...I upgrade to a significant snowfall for Connecticut. We are on the brink of naming this storm Franklin, and will do so if the 6" forecast comes even 10 miles west. Super fragile forecast! Beyond today, a smaller storm chance comes Tuesday, followed by a significant warmup in which temps may reach 50! Unfortunately, though, the polar vortex and several nor'easters lurk after this time, the first of which is Monday 2/24. Obviously, we are a week too far out for details on that. I'll keep you updated of course...enjoy your weekend!
Today in weather history- Feb 15, 1895- A record snowstorm buries the Gulf states as Brownsville, Texas (the southernmost town in Texas) picks up a record 6" of snow, and Galveston is buried in 16".
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