Saturday, March 1, 2014

3.1.14- I HATE MODEL DISAGREEMENT!

Good Saturday everyone and Happy March!

The snowstorm for Monday is right on the brink, with some computer models forecasting 2 feet statewide and one forecasting about 5 inches. Either way, it does seem at least some snow is likely tomorrow night and a Winter Storm Watch will likely be issued later today. I was very concerned when the two most recent GFS models left the region high and dry during that time frame, but the 6 AM model run has shifted North and therefore I believe that the storm will continue trending that way- I don't think the high pressure is strong enough to deflect the storm out to sea in this instance. Also, I feel comfortable raising my totals to 10-15" with local 20" amounts...especially if current trends continue. If they do, then I'll feel comfortable making my final call later this evening on both schools and snowfall figures. When the area is placed under a Winter Storm Watch this afternoon, you'll see it here! (We have to be 36 hrs out, so around 4 PM or so is when we'll get them). Beyond this, cold weather and more storm chances do exist...we'll have to see!

Also worth noting- Today is the beginning of meteorological spring- which consists of March, April, and May. For central Connecticut- this is the 30th coldest winter on record in terms of average temperature...and featured well above average snowfall. In Bridgeport...the snowiest February on record was recorded...and the winter was the 8th  snowiest on record.

Today in weather history- March 1, 1910- The deadliest avalanche in US history kills 100 people in Wellington Station, WA.

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