Good morning all!
As much as I hate to say it for snow haters, a moderate (3-6") to significant (6-12") snowfall is now a distinct possibility for Monday. The models overnight continued to trend north, and the two most reliable ones now show a solid 5" or so snowfall for our region. One model, the NAM (which is known for overdoing precipitation), is showing a classic nor'easter for the area. I would certainly not discount this idea entirely, as the major models are trending in this direction. On the other hand, however, I would also not rule out a complete miss, although this is highly unlikely at the present time and I would be very surprised if Southern New England escaped this one without seeing a flake. The Polar vortex that deflected the storm on 3/3 out to see is further north this time, and the only place it could deflect the storm is directly into Southern New England. I will become comfortable discussing accumulations tomorrow morning. Winds in this one will not reach blizzard criteria, but I could certainly see Winter Storm Watches being issued tomorrow afternoon. Also, the storm appears to be coming a tad later on recent runs...and may be more of a Monday at noon to Tuesday at noon deal. We'll see!
Today in weather history- March 14, 1870- The first recorded use of the term 'blizzard' is used to describe a windy snowstorm in Minnnesota and Iowa. The word appears in the Easterville, Iowa Vindicator
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