3/2/14- Discussion of the biggest bust in recent memory

Good morning and happy Sunday, though it probably isn't for snow lovers!

Looking ahead to the week, there really are no chances for any significant snow this week, not even tonight into tomorrow. What is undoubtedly going to very much annoy some snow lovers is that areas as close as South Jersey could well receive over a foot of snow. My thoughts for Connecticut? 1-3" for everyone. There will be very, very few impacts on school tomorrow, and I would anticipate having a full day even though there is a low chance...20 percent...of a delay if the storm is slightly more significant than we think. It is intriguing to note, however, that there was a northward trend on the models last night that should insure we don't stay totally dry tomorrow. The polar vortex here is going to keep us really, really cold this week and that is certainly the main weather headline of the coming week- nighttime lows will be below 0 in many areas. Beyond tonight, there are no really good snow opportunities until next weekend, and that one is very iffy to say the least. Before I go, I just want to apologize once again for the busted forecast- it happens to everyone! In fact, considering the storm hadn't even hit the US yet, the models did indeed handle this storm remarkably well and had it within 50 miles of it's current forecast five days ago. The problem is that even that minuscule difference in mileage is going to prove the difference between picking up 13-24" and 0-3" and we ended up on the low end this time. The forecast today is still quite fragile, but mostly between going south and fringe effecting us. I would say there is a 20% chance we get nothing at all, a 5% chance the models go so far north everyone busts again, and a 75% chance of my above forecast verifying. If either of the other options occur, however, you'll be the first to know!

Today in weather history- March 2, 2009- Winter Storm Demi, the final named storm of the 2008-09 winter, drops about 6-10" of snow on Connecticut, closing schools for the fourth time (for most districts), and establishing the mark for the most snow days in many years. This number later falls in four consecutive school years when Connecticut picks up 8, 5, 13, and 8 since 2010-11...