Wednesday, September 30, 2015

SEVERE STORM WATCH

Good evening

This is my evening update on the current progress of Hurricane Joaquin as it approaches the Bahamas. I was all but ready to drop the severe storm watch for us when suddenly at 18z the models trended to the north and east significantly, with roughly one fourth of the models now showing a DelMarVa or New Jersey landfall. Thus, since the trend is your friend (though not in this case), I'll say that the storm is sufficiently more likely to come now than it was a few hours ago to maintain the watch. Note that a few miles is going to make a HUGE difference. The 0z model runs for New England are the most important in years. New data is coming in. Where currently modeled, NC/VA/DelMarVa would be a glancing blow with gusty wind and rain...a south trend could cause a total miss except for some showers....while a north trend could bring hurricane conditions to New England. To make matters worse, the Euro still shows an out to sea scenario, which, although highly unlikely, can't be fully ruled out.

As I said, watch the 0z runs tonight. They are key. Sadly, they come in at 11 or 12 midnight...so I'll be sleepin'!

I'll update you tomorrow morning. If models trend north, the watch will become a warning. If it stays where it is, it'll still be a watch, and if they trend south, I'll drop it. Let's see what happens tonight. Be ready!

9/30- SEVERE STORM WATCH- Direct hit a bit less likely

Good Wednesday all-

Today is going to be absolutely miserable, at least in the morning, as it's going to be pouring at the alarming rate of over 3"/hr in the heaviest bands as this cold front moves through. Yikes! Be safe out there!

Let's be honest, though, you care more about Joaquin. The trend this morning is to take it very near the North Carolina/Virginia border. What would that mean for us? A lot of rain, some wind...but not a horrible deal. I'm sure many of you remember 2003's Hurricane Isabel to some degree, and this would not be much different of an impact, and the top analogs for this storm have to be Isabel and Sandy based purely on track. That said, a tick to the north among the tracks could have a TREMENDOUS impact on us, so certainly the threat is still very, very real for New England. Let's leave it for another day or so and, by tomorrow, we'll likely have a pretty darned good idea as to where it's going to go and how it will effect us.

Tuesday, September 29, 2015

SEVERE STORM WATCH- Sandy Redux?

Good evening-

Final update is that the situation is getting more and more serious as the GFS has come on board slamming a major hurricane into the DelMarVa Peninsula and South Jersey. The CMC has put it into New Jersey, the GFDL brings it right over Connecticut...you get the point. Somewhere between Delaware and CT will be experiencing a strong hurricane this weekend. If it were to come up here...Sunday at about noon would be the most likely time. The threat is serious indeed. In fact, if we are still in this spot tomorrow, I'm going to have to upgrade the watch to a warning for us as Joaquin threatens to be a real monster for the east seaboard.

Everything and anything is still on the table with strength. It could be anything from tropical storm to the Great Hurricane of 1938.

Joaquin is about to join the list of the retired hurricane names it would appear. This is going to be a devastating blow for someone in the Northeast, and it may well be us.

I will see you tomorrow morning.

SEVERE STORM WATCH- Son of Sandy?

Hey everyone-

My mid day update is that it's a bit more concerning with each model run. The majority of the models are now divided into two camps. One takes it into the Carolinas, another take it somewhere between New Jersey and CONNECTICUT. Uh oh. To make matters worse, it's going to be tough to send this one to the Carolinas as another low should deflect it east. Ordinarily, this would send the system out to sea...but a high pressure system is blocking the path east. It's only path, then, is straight into New England. Yeah, not good. Not only that, but the Gulf Stream should significantly strengthen Joaquin into a hurricane. It's been 30 years almost exactly since our last direct hurricane hit, but that clock may be about to reset. It's now time to start thinking seriously about your hurricane plans if you haven't been. You have some time, probably until Sunday morning, to complete them, but still check your flashlights, take pictures for insurance, etc. is not a bad idea with the crap weather coming this week.

All I ask is to be ready and stay calm. There's still a chance this misses for sure, but don't be complacent. We need to be prepared for what could be an encore of Sandy, and we must do our best to minimize the casualties this time.

On a more personal note, can you believe that this may happen again after just 3 years of what people said was a once every thousand year storm? Pretty incredible. Here we go. More after evening models come in later on...but the picture (to me) is becoming a bit clearer.

9/29- SEVERE STORM WATCH- Joaquin Could be Big

Good Tuesday all-

A FLOOD WATCH has been issued for northern Connecticut. I expect this to be expanded to everyone shortly.

Today is going to be absolutely and utterly miserable I'm afraid, as it's going to pour, especially in the afternoon hours. As much as 4" of rain is very possible for someone in New England, the question is who it's going to be. The problem though is that that is NOT the big weather story of this week.

There is still tremendous uncertainty regarding the path of Tropical Storm Joaquin as it meanders off the east seaboard and generally moves north. Everything possible has been modeled in recent days, from a major hurricane clobbering Connecticut to dissipation to out to sea. What's going to happen? I think that most likely we will feel the impacts of Joaquin here in New England, but questions remain as to whether we get a moderate rainstorm...a windy and rainy day...or a fully fledged hurricane. The timing appears to be closer to Sunday at the moment, but let's just say that HUGE amounts of uncertainty remain. Nonetheless, please have your hurricane plans ready in case Joaquin comes our way. I'd say today is the day to make sure you have working flashlights and other items that could help you if you lose power.

Today is all about Joaquin. Please pay close attention. I'll update around 1 and 5 tonight, should conditions warrant (and they will unless we have no more risk at 1). Stay vigilant. That's all I can say. It's not out of the realm of possibility for this to be another Irene/Sandy...but it could also be relatively minor.

Monday, September 28, 2015

9/28- SEVERE STORM WATCH- Evening Update

Hey everyone-

We had a truly amazing summer of weather this year, amazingly dry, not all that hot, and pretty much amazing.

Unfortunately, as many people will tell you in meteorology, nature tends to balance out the extremes.

The good news is, we can really use the rain...but this is ridiculous.

Unfortunately, Tropical Depression #11 is seemingly determined to try to get mentioned in the same vein around here as the I word and the S word. I dare not say them yet, but the potential of the weekend storm is massive.

Models are all over the place. I'm the first to admit when I have no idea what will happen. This time, I have an idea, but it's a broad one. Someone along the east coast north of the Carolinas will likely experience a landfalling tropical cyclone this weekend. The concerning part is that the model consensus is focusing on Connecticut and New York.

How strong it is will largely depend on whether it can get its' act together over the Gulf Stream. The models are all over the place with this. Two tropical models, the HWRF and the GFDL, suggest the worst hurricane in the history of the northeast is just 4 days away, with a category 3 or 4 hitting somewhere between North Jersey and Connecticut. THIS IS NOT A FORECAST. Others, such as the GFS, take a minor tropical system into New York, while the Euro is a strong hurricane in the Carolinas, but most models are somewhere between the extremes. The problem is that, if you average a category 3 and a tropical storm, you get about a 95mph category 1.or 2...which I am sad to say is certainly within the realm of possibility.

I don't want to alarm you all, but I would certainly begin reviewing my hurricane plans and have something in place in the chance Joaquin comes our way. More updates will be on here tomorrow, but make no mistake this is BY FAR the biggest threat since Sandy.



[Image of 5-day forecast and coastal areas under a warning or a watch]

To say this is rather alarming is an understatement.


These may be flying in the northeast this weekend. Yikes!





SEVERE STORM WATCH- Joaquin Sets Sights on New England

Hey everyone, I have some bad news.


Seriously, this is NOT good. Remember that nor'easter I was talking about for Saturday? Yeah, it turns out TD#11 is showing signs of rapid intensification instead. A purely tropical storm is now a distinct possibility for this weekend. I don't mean to alarm anyone, but IF this happens, it could be one we're talking about for years...so keep your eyes open. Please.

There's no doubt we're getting a big storm of some kind. The question is whether it's just an abnormally strong rainstorm or one for the ages...or something in between, which is most likely, something like 1999's Tropical Storm Floyd is highly possible. Note that one concern is that the Gulf Stream waters are insanely warm for this time of year...so certainly let's hope for the best.

My hope is not to alarm you, but have your hurricane plans ready just in case it strengthens more than we think. It also doesn't take much- TS Irene had 60mph wind in Connecticut. This could easily do that...let's just wait and see.

9/28- A Horrible Week of Weather

Good Monday all-

Well, although we need the rain, we don't need it THIS badly, as most of this week is going to be just a nightmare. There are not one not two but THREE significant rain chances as we move forward. Today should not be too much of a problem (though scattered showers are certainly possible this afternoon). The first significant rain chance comes tomorrow night, with a cold front tapping into moisture from both the Atlantic and newly formed Tropical Depression #11, so at least 1-2" of rain are possible. Additionally, we may have to deal with the actual depression itself when it reaches New England, but the question is whether it will be fully absorbed by the cold front before it gets here. To make matters worse, models indicate a large nor'easter will develop this weekend, causing a chilly and wind-blown rain for Friday and Saturday. Geesh! We really will be glad when the sunshine returns for late Sunday and Monday of next week.

In the Atlantic- TD#11 formed, and it may become Tropical Storm Joaquin in the next day or so before moving generally northwest...directly at Connecticut and the rest of Southern New England! At this time, it's most likely to reach us as either a tropical depression or as part of the cold front...but I can't rule out tropical storm conditions either. It's certainly worth watching. Additionally, a low in the Gulf may develop as it generally heads towards the Florida Panhandle.

In the Pacific- Tropical Storm Marty formed this weekend and it's slowly meandering towards the Mexican coast, but it won't make it there before it takes a sharp turn northwest and dissipates. Another low in the middle of nowhere may develop, but it poses no threat to land whatsoever.

Today in weather history- September 28, 1836- Ashby, MA, on the far north border with New Hampshire, somehow receives 2" of snow. I would love to see the weather maps as to how that happened, alas there certainly are no upper level charts from then! Oh well, I can just imagine how hard it would be for that to happen, I'd wager a guess at a perfectly timed and powerful cold front moved through in the evening, alas, I'll never know.

Friday, September 25, 2015

9/25- Great weekend, model disagreement

HAPPY FRIDAY EVERYONE

Today and tomorrow are going to be identical to the last gajillion days, with highs in the 70s and bright sunshine pretty much the entire time, though a few high clouds are possible from that low spinning off the east coast. The million dollar question now becomes, though, exactly what happens to that surface low Sunday night. Our high pressure will be slowly moving out, and the low will be slowly, and I mean SLOWLY, coming up the coast. The question is whether the high will be gone in time to allow the rain to move in on Sunday night. The GFS says yes, the Euro says no. That means we'll just have to wait and see, but it's not really that big of a deal since I think many people would love to have the rain!

The Old Farmer's Almanac released their winter outlook today, and it said "snowy and extreme cold". Lovely!

Thoughts and prayers go out to those effected by the South Carolina tornadoes this morning.

In the Atlantic- Tropical Storm Ida has met its' demise in the central Atlantic, having basically sat in the same place for a week. Odd!

In the Pacific- A low will likely develop around Monday and then move into the west coast of Mexico...exactly how strong it will be when that happens remains to be seen, however.

Today in weather history- September 25, 2004- Hurricane Jeanne hits Florida, making landfall on Hutchinson Island, remarkably becoming the fourth MAJOR hurricane to hit Florida in just two months. This one causes $7.66 billion in damage, but most significantly kills more than 3,000 people in Haiti...as well as being notable for being the first storm to make a duplicate landfall in the same season, as Hurricane Frances had made landfall on Hutchinson Island just 3 weeks prior.

Thursday, September 24, 2015

9/24- Autumn is here, and so is some rain

Good Thursday all-

Today is going to be almost perfect, and identical to the last several. First off, my apologies for not updating yesterday, but I was a- in a rush and b- there was no point as the weather was the same as the last several with no end in sight. That has changed today, however, as rain is going to be the prominent feature of the next week or so several times. Exactly when remains to be seen, but know that there are probably 3 days next week that will be strongly impacted by wet weather. It's going to be a great day today and through the weekend as well, so get out there!

In the Atlantic- Tropical Storm Ida continues to sit and spin harmlessly in the same place as before, but it may get a bit more interesting as models are hinting it'll be blocked from going north and forced back to the west. That said, any US impacts remain very unlikely. Additionally, models have been hinting at Gulf development for several days next week, so let's keep an eye on it.

In the Pacific- A low off Mexico will likely develop this weekend, but its' path remains highly uncertain.

Today in weather history- September 24, 2005- Hurricane Rita makes its' final landfall on the border of Louisiana and Texas, doing $12 billion in damage and killing slightly over 100 people. This storm is particularly noteworthy in that it was, at one point, the strongest hurricane in the history of the Gulf of Mexico, a record that still stands (and, frankly, will be very hard to break as hurricanes rarely strengthen that far).


Tuesday, September 22, 2015

9/22- Adios summer--hello rain?

Good Tuesday all-

Well, not much has changed since I blogged yesterday. Today...and tomorrow...and Thursday...and Friday...and Saturday will all be the exact same thing from yesterday. The end of the weekend looks dry with increasing clouds but by Monday, it's entirely possible that we're dealing with a significant rainstorm from a subtropical or tropical low right over our heads. Of course, staying perfectly dry is also possible, but let's hope not. It's not a hurricane and we need the rain, so I (and probably most people) would say "bring it on!"

In the Atlantic- Tropical Storm Ida continues to sit and spin in the central Atlantic harmlessly, posing no threat to land. Additionally, that low off the Carolinas could become Subtropical Storm Joaquin as it moves west, then south, then north, potentially drenching the entire eastern seaboard.

In the Pacific- On a beautiful day like today, there are many things you could do. None are more boring, however, than sitting inside watching the Pacific for development. Just don't do it! (Tropical Development is not expected anytime soon



Monday, September 21, 2015

9/21- Chilly as Fall Approaches

Good Monday all-

The next week looks thoroughly boring for Connecticut, with absolutely nothing to look at in any way in terms of precipitation. Temperatures will be rather crisp and fall like- highs will be in the high 60s and low 70s the entire week. With any luck at all, rain will be around the corner, as we could really use the precipitation here in Connecticut!

In the Atlantic- Tropical Storm Ida, which formed over the weekend, is going to take its' jolly old time going anywhere as it sits and spins harmlessly in the central Atlantic, likely achieving hurricane status but posing no threat to land at all. Meanwhile, there are some hints of Gulf development at the end of the week, but only time will tell if anything comes of it.

In the Pacific- Tropical Depression 16-E formed practically right over the Baja Peninsula, making landfall as a TD, and not really doing much except dropping rain on the region. Otherwise , keep snoozing!

Today in weather history- September 21, 1938- The 'Long Island Express' or the 'Great Hurricane of 1938' becomes the most recent major hurricane to make landfall in New England. Formerly a category 5, the storm made landfall in Long Island and eventually near Milford, CT at category 3 intensity doing tremendous damage to the entire coastline. Roughly 750 people are killed by the devastating storm, and a total of $5 billion in damage is done in what is still considered the worst storm in the modern era for Connecticut and the rest of the northeast.

I have a Calculus exam today- wish me luck!

Friday, September 18, 2015

9/18- Another beauty

HAPPY FRIDAY!

Today is going to be really nice, but it'll probably be our last 80 degree day of the season as temps will reach the low to mid 80s, something like 83-85 will do for most of Connecticut today. The weekend looks dry except for a few extremely isolated showers on Saturday night that are barely even worth mentioning...so no concerns there or next week. There are some hints of a major storm for the area of the 28th/29th, but it's so far off I can't tell you anything more than that- we in the weather center yesterday spent the better part of an hour trying to figure out exactly what it was without much success.

In the Atlantic- TD#9 is on its' way to the grave, but Ida and Joaquin may soon follow with a tropical wave behind TD9 and a low off the southeast coast...the latter of which bears watching. Tuesday a front will move through which *should* spare us a hit from this one but it's weather, so never assume anything. Certainly it bears watching.

In the Pacific- A low well off Mexico has a small chance of development but even if it does do so, it poses no threat to land.

Today in weather history- September 18, 2003- Devastating Hurricane Isabel crushes the Outer Banks region killing 54 people and doing $5.4 billion in damage. Isabel is still very well remembered in that area as the worst storm they have ever had, and with good reason. The storm was a category 5 at one point and, despite making landfall at category 2 intensity, carried an extreme storm surge into the Outer Banks, wiping out a very large amount of structures!

Thursday, September 17, 2015

9/17- Nice but getting cooler

Good Thursday all-

First, I apologize for not updating as much as I should be this week. I honestly don't know what happened- I just forgot- and I'm super mad at myself for that!


Today is going to be perfect, and be rather summery- highs will reach the 80s today and tomorrow, and sunshine will be prevalent. Tomorrow looks much the same, while clouds increase and a cold front will pass through dry on Saturday but cloud the skies up between Sat PM/Sun. Next week, another cold front moves through Monday, knocking the temps down more, but most people will be glad, as the front probably saves us from a Tropical Storm next week...so it's a price most will be willing to pay. Otherwise, highs could be in the 60s or very low 70s for much of next week- autumn is finally here!

In the Atlantic- TD#9 is nearly Tropical Storm Ida, but it a- poses no threat to land and b- will struggle to attain that status as wind shear is rather strong. Another low to the east of it though will have no trouble becoming a tropical storm, nor will a low off the southeast coast next week. The second of those could be close by around Wednesday...we have to hope the second cold front comes through as expected and doesn't stall out somewhere to our west. The next 3 names on the Atlantic list are Ida, Joaquin, and Kate.

In the Pacific- Frankly, watching the Pacific right now is the least productive thing you could be doing. Do something more interesting. You won't regret it. (No development anytime soon)

Today in weather history- September 17, 1989- Hurricane Hugo makes landfall on Guadelope in the Lesser Antilles as a category 4 hurricane, causing the most damage and destruction of any storm in decades. Hugo's track would eventually take it straight into the Carolinas, where it would become the most devastating hurricane on record for the region, causing $10 billion in total damage


Monday, September 14, 2015

9/14- Perfection ahead!

Good Monday all-

Today is going to be a beautiful day with highs in the 80s and bright sunshine...in fact, I can say the same thing for every day this week! There's really no point in talking about the same weather all week, so I won't repeat myself--but sunny and 80-85 is really divine for this time of the year. Unfortunately, at least part of next weekend is going to be wet, but it's somewhat unclear which day will be effected more by the system.

In the Atlantic- A low midway between the Antilles and Cape Verde will probably become Tropical Storm Ida today, but it poses no threat whatsoever to land. Additionally, a low in the Gulf has about a 1 in 5 chance of development, but Joaquin is more likely to come from a tropical wave sometime later this week.

In the Pacific- Just one low has any chance of development, and its' not especially good in the near term. This is just about as quiet as the basin has been the entire season.

Today in weather history- September 14, 2014- Hurricane Odile makes a final landfall on the Baja Peninsula at category 3 intensity, the hardest hit ever recorded for the region. The storm kills 14 people, and causes $1.22 billion in damage!

Friday, September 11, 2015

9/11

The weather is not interesting today, so I'll go silent in memory of 9/11.

Thursday, September 10, 2015

9/10- Finally a wet one

Good Thursday all-

Today is going to be completely and totally miserable. In fact, I expect it to rain ALL DAY! It took long enough for us to get a total washout, but we've found one today. The heaviest of the rain will be coming in after about noon today, with on and off downpours through the evening tonight, and into tomorrow morning. The rain should finally stop around noon tomorrow, giving us about a 24 hour break, before it rains some more on Sunday, but not enough to totally washout the day on Sunday. Next week looks generally pleasant, albeit with a few chances of showers, and seasonable temperatures (70s)

In the Atlantic- As expected, TD Grace died yesterday east of the Antilles, but where one ends another begins, as TD#8 has become Tropical Storm Henri east of Bermuda, but it poses no threat to land. Additionally, a tropical wave moving off Africa today could develop as we move towards the weekend, and we're watching the SW Gulf early next week as well. The next two names on the list are Ida and Joaquin.

In the Pacific- Linda, formerly a major hurricane, is now a tropical storm, but another storm is likely to form in the coming days, the name of which would be Marty.

Today is the peak of the Atlantic Hurricane Season, but storms can, and will, form until the end of November.

Today in weather history- September 10, 1965- Hurricane Betsy makes its' final landfall near Grand Isle, LA, as a category 4 hurricane with 155mph sustained winds, just 1mph shy of cat 5 status. 81 people are killed, and $1.42 billion in damage is done...in 1965 money. Yikes!

Tuesday, September 8, 2015

9/8- Hot, Humid, Horrible...wet?

Good Tuesday all-

The heat is going to be on today! In fact, it may well end up being the hottest day of the year as temps attempt to climb into the mid-90s! Sunshine will be very prevalent today and tomorrow, but then comes Thursday. While it will start out nice, a cold front will stall right over our heads, and a low will ride along it in a nor'easter like setup. The result? 1-2" of rain are likely, which we desperately need, so the plants will be delighted! Beyond that, it looks like fall will really be here for good, and we'll likely be finished seeing 90 for the season.

In the Atlantic- Tropical Storm Grace developed near Cape Verde this weekend, but its' time has always been numbered, and it will die in the coming days. We may get a throwaway Tropical Storm Henri near Bermuda at some point this week but it would do nothing except knock another name off the list. The I and J names for this year are Ida and Joaquin (You may remember Ida as it became a strong nor'easter back in 2009).

In the Pacific- Tropical Storm Linda- and now Hurricane Linda- formed this weekend, and her winds are now at 90mph as it moves essentially parallel to the Mexican coastline. A new low in a similar place is also likely to become Tropical Storm Marty late in the week

Today in weather history- September 8, 1900- The single worst hurricane in US history absolutely demolishes Galveston, TX. The story begins when a Tropical Storm hits Cuba. Forecasters in the US expected the storm to hit west Florida and go out to the Atlantic, but Cuban forecasters expected a San Antonio landfall, and they were correct. The hurricane rapidly intensified into a category 4 in the Gulf and made a direct hit on Galveston, completely flooding the major city and killing almost 10,000 people. Afterwards, a 17 foot seawall was constructed to prevent future hurricane damage. It would not be truly tested until 2008's Hurricane Ike, and it did its' job for sure as it largely held the Gulf waters back.

Friday, September 4, 2015

9/4- A break

HAPPY FRIDAY EVERYONE!!!


Today is going to be significantly cooler than yesterday, to the relief of many people. Highs are going to struggle to reach 80 today, and in many cases they won't succeed, keeping many around 78-79 or so through the afternoon. Tomorrow also looks great with low 80s temperatures and bright sunshine...while we then turn the heat back on, gradually increasing a few degrees each day until we reach 90 on Monday leading into a heat wave through Wednesday. Fortunately, a cool front moves through overnight Wednesday and Thursday, knocking the temperatures back down a significant amount for Friday and next weekend.

In the Atlantic- Fred continues to weaken as it moves away from land, but we have a new system to worry about as a tropical wave has moved off Africa- and it will likely become Tropical Storm Grace as it moves west towards the Caribbean either this weekend or early next week. It's far too early for any details on this one, but most models seem to take it in the general direction of the Bahamas.

In the Pacific- Tropical Storm Kevin unexpectedly intensified rather quickly last night, increasing its' sustained winds to 60mph, but it poses no threat to land. Unfortunately, there are some signs that Jimena could approach Hawaii and, while it's far more likely to miss...I can't rule out a tropical storm hit for them at this time. Also, a low may develop this weekend into next week...and some indications are that it could be a rather significant hurricane eventually. The next name on the Pacific's name list is Linda.

Today in weather history- September 4, 2004- Hurricane Frances makes landfall in Hutchinson Island, Florida with 105mph winds, a category 2, killing 50 people and doing roughly $10 billion in damage. This was the second in a long line of hits for Florida that year- Charley, Frances, Ivan, and Jeanne are still well remembered for the devastation they brought to Florida at that time- and serve as a reminder that Florida's streak of 10 years without a hurricane is an abnormality instead of a commonality.

Thursday, September 3, 2015

9/3- A bit of a break- Summer's Last Hurrah?

Good Thursday all-

Today is going to be a tad cooler than the last few, but it comes at the price of some PM thunderstorms as a cold front moves through the region today from west to east. They won't be particularly strong--there's a mere SEE TEXT risk of severe weather--but it'll be enough to drive you inside, so keep your eyes to the skies this afternoon. Tomorrow we cool off a bit, with highs only in the low 80s before we turn the heat back on for Sunday and early next week...with another heat wave possible...but there are indications that that may be the end of the summertime weather for 2015. If so, I suspect we'll generally remember this summer as a good one with very pleasant temperatures throughout the entire summer for all intents and purposes.

In the Atlantic- Fred is still hanging on as a tropical storm as it moves generally towards the Azores, who may want to keep their eyes open on this one, but for the rest of us our focus shifts to a strong tropical wave that will probably become Tropical Storm Grace this weekend or early next week as it begins its' westward track to the Caribbean...but who knows what it will do beyond that

In the Pacific- Parts of the Pacific just offshore of Hawaii are under a Tropical Storm Warning for fringe effects of Hurricane Jimena, while TD 14-E finally managed to become Tropical Storm Kevin yesterday, but it poses no threat to land. A low behind it does have the potential to become the next system, but not until early next week as the conditions are not currently favorable.

Today in weather history- September 3, 1961- The people of Denver, CO are shocked by receiving 4.2" of snow, their earliest snowfall on record. Snow in September isn't unusual in Denver, especially later in the month, but it certainly doesn't usually accumulate to 4" this early in the season, so this is certainly an extreme event!

Wednesday, September 2, 2015

9/2- Humid again

Good Wednesday all-

An AIR QUALITY ALERT is up for the shoreline from 11AM-11PM

Today is going to be almost a carbon copy of yesterday, albeit a bit warmer and more humid as temps will enter the low 90s for most people today. Tomorrow afternoon, a cold front will be moving through with showers and thunderstorms that'll knock down the heat for Friday and Saturday, but not much further than that. Labor Day itself looks like an absolute scorcher, so be prepared for that!

In the Atlantic- Fred is spinning in no-mans land in the east central Atlantic, and poses no threat to land. Additionally, a storm may form early next week near the islands, but it'll be way out there and we'd have plenty of time to watch.

In the Pacific- TD 14-E remains the only game in town.

Today in weather history- September 2, 1935- The strongest hurricane to ever make a US landfall strikes the Florida Keys with 185mph winds, a remarkable feat indeed. This occurred before hurricanes were named, so it's generally referred to "the Labor Day Hurricane of '35"...so this is what people are referring to if you hear that.

Tuesday, September 1, 2015

9/1- Hot hot hot

Good Tuesday all-

Today is going to be, essentially, exactly the same as yesterday, and tomorrow will be the same as well. Our break finally comes on Thursday when a cold front moves through, sending temps plummeting to the low 80s for Friday, but then the weekend really heats up again and, by Labor Day, temps will probably be near 90 (to the dismay of many). The heat is giving us one final run it would appear before it gives way to autumn, which I assure you is just around the corner. For those of you going back to school this week, by the way, which I believe to be a large number of people, I wish you a fantastic school year and hope that it's enjoyable from start to finish!!!

In the Atlantic- Hurricane Fred became the first hurricane to ever make landfall in the Cape Verde Islands, doing so 35 miles south of Rabil, Cape Verde, packing winds of 85 mph. Fred now heads to the graveyard that is the east-central Atlantic, where it'll meet its' demise later in the week. That said, we may be dealing with Grace by then as another tropical wave could develop this weekend.

In the Pacific- Hurricane Jimena is down to a 140mph cat 4...if you can call that a decrease in strength. Fortunately though, it as well as what's left of Ignacio pose no threat to land. Tropical Depression 14-E formed yesterday, and it'll probably become Tropical Storm Kevin later today as it generally heads towards the Baja, so heads up to them!

Today in weather history- September 1, 2008- Hurricane Gustav makes landfall in Cocodrie, LA, packing 105mph winds, and becoming the strongest US hurricane strike since 2005's Hurricane Wilma hit Florida. Gustav causes over $6 billion in damage between Hispanola, Cuba, and the US and kills 112, earning itself a retired name, and being replaced by Gonzalo in 2014.




image source- http://www.lovethispic.com/uploaded_images/122523-Happy-September.jpg



I wish everyone a very pleasant month of September and welcome you to meteorological Autumn, which comprises September, October, and November!