Tuesday, February 23, 2016

2/23- STORM WARNING- Issues this afternoon

Good Tuesday all-

Aside from the immediate shoreline and Middlesex/New London counties, all of Connecticut is under a WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

Let's get one thing out of the way first...



There we go. I am pretty confident in these numbers, though there is probably a 30% chance or so that someone in Connecticut gets a 5 or 6" total, but these will be isolated in nature. If it's you...you just got really unlucky. The snow will begin at around 2 or 3 this afternoon, and will come down pretty heavily at times as we head towards the evening hours. That said...it won't take all that long to change over to sleet and freezing rain. The problem? It will take quite a bit of time to go from ice to rain and a glaze of ice is very likely, especially areas along and north of 84. With that in mind, my best guess is that tomorrow's schools will be delayed inland, but no impact will occur on the shoreline as there won't be enough icing left due to the earlier changeover. Tomorrow itself looks wet, but Thursday is the real loser of the week- as the odds of an inch or more of rain are now >75%, I have changed the storm watch to a warning. Thunderstorms and strong southwesterly winds will also be a big concern...though with the mild temps (mid 50s), I doubt many will complain about all aspects of the weather. That said, I can pretty much guarantee it will be miserable. Fortunately, the rest of the foreseeable future appears dry with a few flurries or showers possible in the Monday-ish timeframe.

Today in weather history- February 23, 1802- One of the all time great snowstorms strikes New England, dropping 48" of snow in areas just north of Boston. This storm, for whatever reason, is largely forgotten by history thanks to the great snowstorms of 1717, 1888, and 2013...but this is just as severe as them for areas just barely north of us.

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