Wednesday, November 12, 2014

11/12- The last good day of the year?

Good Wednesday all-

I'll start by talking about the nor'easter that was scheduled for Sunday night and Monday. It now appears that the threat is more Monday into Tuesday, since the models have delayed its' arrival by a day or so. Thus, I will oblige them by changing the storm watch to noon Monday to noon Tuesday. Otherwise, we pretty much have the same story as last night. The Euro is far enough inland to give us nothing but a torrential downpour of rain, while the GFS is taking a snow track (but recently has been almost too far out to sea to give us much of anything). Since the compromise solution would be pretty much right over us, or just to our southeast (the perfect snow track), the storm watch will remain- as well as the fact that the Euro track may give us 2+" of rain in its' own right. It's interesting that the two models are literally trending in completely opposite directions. I can't tell you how frustrating that is, though not unexpected this far out. Anyway, I hope everyone gets out and enjoys today's mostly cloudy skies and temps in the high 50s or low 60s, since we may not see these temps again this year. Next week, if you can believe it, looks much colder than this week, and some days we won't reach 40! The only confidence we have in any precipitation, at the moment, is tomorrow night into Friday, when some light snow is likely for pretty much everybody as a nor'easter goes far out to sea to our southeast, sparing us any significant impacts. Also, note that a DENSE FOG ADVISORY has been issued until 9 AM this morning.

In the Atlantic and Pacific- No development anytime soon. The seasons here end in 18 days, on November 30.

Today in weather history- November 12, 1987- A nor'easter deposits a large early season snowfall on New England. Snowfall totals were impressive for so early in the season, with as much as 14" of snow falling in Plymouth County, MA. Providence, RI sets the monthly 24-hour record by recording 9.7" of the white stuff.

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