Good Thursday all-
Well today is the day that snow lovers have been waiting for for some 5 months- it's our first accumulating snow of 2014-15! Tonight will be quite interesting for most areas here. The models are now indicating a brief burst of moderate to even heavy snow later this evening. In fact- it's enough for me to issue my first snowfall and school impact prediction of the year. Here's how this will work this year:
Shoreline: Nothing to 1" of snow, no school impacts are likely since there may be a mix with rain. Subject to change if GFS computer model is correct.
Inland (I-91's exit 10 and north): The temps will be cold enough for all snow. 1-3" of snow is likely, and there will likely be some 90-minute delays in this region, depending on how late the snow stops in the morning. There is little risk of closures, since the storm will end early tomorrow.
There is a 40% chance of your district having a 90-minute delay north of exit 10
Anyway, the weekend looks dry, but then we get into the STORM WATCH time frame of Monday, and the GFS interestingly reverted back to a snowstorm last night. I did say that variations in track were likely, and there you go. I think that, for now, Importantly the in-between of the two is ice, but obviously the odds are literally 33-33-33 right now of all 3 kinds of precip, so let's not say anything. It is worth noting, of course, that if it's all snow it would be a very significant snowstorm, so I'll see what happens with the models today. We are not far from having a better idea on this, but I certainly will update over the weekend since we are under a storm watch.
In the Atlantic & Pacific- No development anytime soon.
Today in weather history- November 13, 1881- In Dry Pond, GA, hailstones from a severe storm on the 8th are still visible on this date. This is incredibly bizarre for an area that far south, and even in general since storms need at least some warm air to fuel themselves.
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