Wednesday, November 26, 2014

11/26- STORM WARNING- A last minute shift?

Alright everyone, Winter Storm Ariana is here!!

Unfortunately, there are still a huge number of possibilities that could happen in today's storm. There was a bit of a trend towards more sleet last night, which could severely cut down snowfall totals to something like 3-6" or 2-5" if we are unlucky, whereas cooler areas in New Haven county, such as Meriden/Wallingford/North Haven, could easily pick up a half foot of snow today...or hardly anything, depending on where the sleet line sets up. This has been a storm that has been modeled absolutely pathetically by the models, and this should really ignite some tinkering with them because, quite honestly, I will have a hard time trusting them for quite a while. What a nightmare this week has been for me and prediction wise...a brutal forecast that still, I have to give the huge range of 3-10 inches of snow depending on how much sleet mixes in. Obviously, the most likely range is roughly 4-8" if you forced me to pick a smaller range. Either way, enjoy today if you get a snow day!

I'll update later tonight with my snowfall total as well as others from across CT.

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