Tuesday, November 11, 2014

STORM ALERT update

Good evening everyone-

There is truly very little change in the situation for Sunday night. Sure, the GFS is a bit less robust tonight than it was this morning, but it's one of the more unreliable model runs. That, of course, is unsurprising given that we are still 5 days out, and forecasts can and will change in the coming days. My breakdown of odds are below-

Chances of any snow at all- 90%

Chance of 1+" of accumulation- 50%

Chance of 3+" of accumulation- 30%

Chance of 6+" of accumulation- 10%.

Thus, the storm watch will remain in effect this evening, since there is still a 20% chance of 3+", and I'd have given very similar odds to these in the morning. Essentially, consider today a wash- and I'll have an update tomorrow morning. Hope you enjoyed your day off!

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