Sunday, November 23, 2014

STORM WATCH UPDATE- Thanksgiving Travel Nightmare Developing

Well everyone- the verdict is in...and it's probably the one that most of you were not hoping for.

Personally, I am delighted to announce that our first truly major snowfall is likely on the way for Wednesday evening. Exact amounts remain to be determined. The track still needs to be pinpointed because the timing of the cold air arriving will be a huge key for how much we get. If the Euro is right...I think most places get 3-6" followed by freezing rain, whereas if the GFS is right, we get mostly if not entirely snow...and some places would get over one foot. Thus, I hesitate to forecast amounts, but I'll do it just so you see the average. A decent place to start is 4-7" shoreline, and 6-12" inland, but these could certainly change (and probably will as we narrow down the track). Either way, the timing of the storm is also key, and here is a look at your week ahead to plan for the turkey day!

Tomorrow (Monday 11/24)- Heavy rain, 0.5-1" of accumulation, especially in the AM, but highs in the 60s!!

Tuesday- (Steve's pick of the week)- Mostly sunny and a bit cooler. Highs in the 50s.

Wednesday- (Steve's big time clunker of the week)- Increasing clouds, rain developing in the afternoon, changing to snow around 5-10 PM statewide. Near-blizzard or blizzard conditions develop around midnight. Major accumulations possible, stay tuned.

Thanksgiving- Heavy snow in the morning, tapering off by 9 or 10 AM. Early call is 6-12" north of I-91's exit 9, and 3-6" south of that. Subject to change. PM flurries possible as the storm pulls away. Highs in the low 40s

Friday- Much better, partly cloudy but somewhat cold.

Saturday- Watching a clipper for some light accumulating snow but way too early for details and it will not be as big as Wednesday's storm.

Please keep an eye on this blog in the coming days. This could be our biggest snowstorm since March 2013 if things play out right...I believe that the storm name would be Anna on Channel 3, and the Weather Channel's name would be Cato.

I expect NOAA to issue Winter Storm Watches tomorrow afternoon if nothing significant changes.

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