Tuesday, March 10, 2015

3/10- Stormy pattern ahead

Good Tuesday all-

There is quite honestly not much to talk about until tonight. Undoubtedly, the big story today is that there may well be some black ice out there this morning after the melting yesterday followed by the sub-freezing lows we currently have. Today, we're going to reach the mid-40s again, so more melting will ensue, followed by a rather significant rainstorm tonight. It'll be almost exactly during the overnight hours, around 6PM to 4AM or so, and it'll drop 0.25-0.5" of rain tonight. The weather then dries out until Sunday...when a very complex storm hits us. There is certainly a threat for everything...but this is a rare situation with both a phase and a transfer of energy. Trying to guess one a week out is hard...guessing two is next to impossible...so I won't even try here. As currently modeled, the low is straight over the top of Connecticut. Such a result would be a mix...but a storm just 50-100 miles south would lead to a monster snowstorm, and 50-100 miles further north is a complete rainstorm. Tough call. The storm watch shall remain in place, as there is a 25% chance of getting either 4"+ of snow or 1"+ of rain...probably about a 15% chance or so for each of them.

Today in weather history- March 10, 1989- Hill City, KS, manages to warm from an overnight low of 30 to a high of 90, a 60 degree rise in temperature!!!

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