Wednesday, March 18, 2015

3/17-STORM WATCH- Another tricky forecast

Good Wednesday all-

A WIND ADVISORY is up for Windham, Tolland, and Hartford counties until 5PM tonight.

Well, it's really windy right now, and that, along with the frigid temperatures, will undoubtedly be the top story of the weather today. Unfortunately, Friday afternoon looks to be a bit of trouble, but the model runs came in far less impressive overnight last night, with the CMC showing rain, the GFS showing a glancing blow, and the Euro ramping way down after dropping 2 feet of snow on New Jersey in yesterday's model run, as it now shows a far-more-realistic 4-8" or so. I think that's the most believable scenario for the moment...but it could certainly change. Based on that, I'll begin with forecasting 3 to 6 inches of snow Friday afternoon...and we will go from there. There is certainly a chance it could be more...or less...than that, so we are just going to have to wait and see. In the end, there is still a >25% chance of 4" of snow, so a STORM WATCH will stay up, at least for today. The mid-day model runs today are absolutely critical- I'll likely post later tonight with an update to this forecast.

In the meantime, stay warm!

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