Good Thursday all-
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY has been issued for the southern four counties from 6 AM tomorrow to 2 AM Saturday, for 2-4" of snow, which is too low of a figure for many (and NOAA agrees, so I think we'll see this getting bumped up today to 4-6", which is far more reasonable).
Anyway, today won't be bad except for the temperatures, which will get no further than the mid-30s. Unfortunately, a significant snowstorm is likely tomorrow, at least considering the time of year. I've always said the true snow season is 11/15 to 3/15 here in CT, and this falls outside of that. In fact, this looks like the most significant snowstorm after that date (most of CT experienced near blizzard conditions and 6-12" of snow). Anyway, I expect 3-6" of snow to fall tomorrow, with the 6" being isolated in unluckier areas...and 4 and 5 inch totals being very commonplace. In fact, if I had to guess for one specific town...I'd put the guess down at four inches. Unfortunately for children...the storm comes late enough tomorrow that I think schools would only dismiss early...if anything...and the height of the storm comes tomorrow evening between about 5-8 PM.
Note that this forecast is quite volatile. Any jog further north would lead to a widespread 5-10" event...a possibility that I would put at 25% or so (and NOAA agrees, putting most of CT in a 25% chance of more than 6-8"). In any event, there is certainly now a >50% chance of 4" of snow (it's probably somewhere around 80%), so the storm watch becomes a storm warning. Next week looks quiet before a storm threat on Thursday.
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