Good Thursday all-
The four shoreline counties this morning are under a WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.
Well, a last-instant jog to the north nearly tripled or quadrupled the forecast last night, which I did blog about...but I doubt many read as it was around 6-7 PM. The bottom line is that I now expect a minimum snowfall of 3-6"...and it wouldn't shock me if it was 8-14" for the southern counties...a solution which is supported by the GFS. While I'm not sure I believe in that extreme situation...I will consider it and take the middle ground of 5-10"...which seems reasonable...but could change. Unfortunately, model disagreement on this storm is insane and for all the major snowstorms we've had this winter...this is by far the most difficult to forecast. Heavy snow is likely through at least noon today...but how long it lingers into the afternoon is likely what will decide whether we get a moderate snow event...or a fully fledged snowstorm. Many schools have wisely closed for today and others that have delayed will likely follow suit eventually...since the roads will actually be significantly worse in 90 minutes or 2 hours than they are now as the snow picks up in intensity through the morning.
Once we get through this storm though, the snow takes a break for a while, and we may reach the mid-40s by mid next week before we get another threat around a week from Friday that will knock the temps back to below normal once more.
If you MUST travel today from Meriden south, PLEASE BE CAREFUL!!!!
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