Good Monday all-
Well, this week is the tale of 4 storms, each presenting its' own forecast challenges, and of increasing significance through the week. Today's 'storm' is not that significant, but the roads may take a bit of a hit this morning as a light to occasionally moderate snow falls this morning. No accumulation is expected, but the roads may be a tad compromised though it shouldn't really be too big of a deal.
Next, we focus on tomorrow night. A clipper system (actually a rather strong one), is likely to drop as much as 3" of snow on parts of CT (this would happen if you're unlucky enough to be under the heaviest band) as it intensifies off the coast. Note that this is the kind of path that can produce a few surprises, so let's see what happens. For now...I expect 0.5-3" of snow for all of CT.
Third is Thursday/Friday. A cold front will move through, dropping the temps like a rock...but also delivering a total washout on Friday. It's far too early for start times and rain accumulation amounts...but I'm keeping my eye on it.
Finally, Saturday- this is the one the STORM WATCH is for- the GFS model has been consistently developing a nor'easter offshore and putting out to the 40/70 benchmark (which would yield a nastily big snowstorm, especially for April- in a worst case scenario, 6"+ would be possible!) while the Euro has consistently been putting the storm to our west...which would be a 65 degree rainstorm...so the uncertainty is high. That said...even though there is probably only a 15-20% chance of receiving 4" of snow...I'm going to issue a storm watch due to the uncertainty and the absolutely dreadful timing on the day before Easter Sunday.
Note that, as incredible as it seems...62 days until the beginning of the Atlantic hurricane season.
Today in weather history- March 30, 1977- Hartford reaches 87, the all time record high for March. Needless to say, we haven't been even remotely close to that this year.
No comments:
Post a Comment