Monday, March 16, 2015

3/16- DOUBLE STORM WATCH- Don't shoot the messenger

Good Monday all-

Look at the bright side everyone- today is going to be beautiful with bright sunshine and high temperatures that will likely approach or even exceed 50 in some places, and be just a gorgeous day to spend outside playing, walking, or doing any other activities. Unfortunately, that won't last as tomorrow night, a cold front moves through with a brief wintry mix that I'm not too concerned about...but highs on Wednesday won't even reach the freezing mark!! Ouch. Thursday looks similar.

It's Friday, especially Friday afternoon, that I'm greatly concerned about. A nor'easter is going to develop after phasing with a clipper system over the center part of the country. There is some model disagreement on what will happen here. The CMC...and Euro...are forecasting a significant snowstorm for Connecticut (though mixing issues would occur on the CMC)...while the GFS is about 40 miles too far south. That said, the GFS has, thorough it's entire existence, had a southeast bias. Thus, the concern greatly exists for Friday. I think there is now about a 25-30% chance of 4"+ of snow...so a STORM WATCH is issued.

Saturday looks dry, Sunday not so much. A clipper system will move through and try to become a nor'easter off the coast, and again there's a 25% chance of 4+" of snow. Thus, a STORM WATCH is required for then too. This is the first double storm watch that I can remember!


Today in weather history- March 16, 1942- Two tornadoes manage to hit Baldwin, MS 24 minutes apart from each other, killing 65 people.

Also noteworthy- March 16, 1986- A tornado comes dangerously close to striking Disneyland in California!

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