Thursday, December 4, 2014

12/4- STORM WATCH for Monday

Good Thursday all-

Well, here comes the vacillating models on a nor'easter. The GFS is so far out to sea that the weather would be sunny, whereas the Euro is forecasting a significant snowstorm, but not nearly as significant as last night (I'd say it's in the 5-10" ballpark now, which certainly seems possible and more likely than the extreme solution from yesterday. To boot, it was literally showing hurricane conditions...that won't happen, ever!) and is significantly further out to sea, but not far out enough for a miss, passing about 20-30 miles east of that oh-so-important 40/70 benchmark. Either way, the storm watch will stay in place today as we try to figure out the computer models. Meanwhile, the weekend looks like a nightmarish total washout for both days, I'm afraid. It may start as a wintry mix for literally an hour or two tomorrow night, but no accumulation will happen before it turns into a massive rainstorm for Saturday, which is associated with the same low that will spawn the nor'easter for Monday.

I'll have more on the potential winter storm later tonight around 6 when all of today's model runs are finished.

Today in weather history- December 4, 1964- A major ice storm strikes the northeast, as one and a half inches of freezing rain accumulates in portions of Massachusetts and New York, knocking out power to some 80,000 homes, some of which would not regain electricity for five days. That's really painful in December!

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