Happy Friday everyone- we made it through another week!
Today itself is going to be just fine...until the evening hours. Unfortunately, around that time, a major rainstorm is going to move in. Tomorrow appears to be an absolute complete and total washout with one to two inches of rain possible as a large low pressure moves off the east seaboard. Sunday looks fine, and then we get to the good juicy stuff Monday.
The Euro is now painting what I feel is a far more realistic scenario than the one yesterday afternoon, as well as delaying the system's entry until late Monday night and Tuesday. The GFS is now showing a much weaker system but still an impactful one (a wintry mix all day Tuesday, but it is more of a frontal appearance than a nor'easter). Now the big question is precipitation type.
The Euro, despite being warm, is showing several inches of snow on the back end, as the storm stalls near Boston, which would bring wind out of the north and thus change over the precipitation on the back end on the order of 3-6" statewide, while the northwest hills could get significantly more since it could stay mostly, if not all, snow throughout the storm. For now, I'll say a wintry mix with strong winds for Monday night into Tuesday, changing to all snow late Tuesday. This is subject to change...a 30-40 mile jog east delivers a blizzard to everyone in Connecticut.
The storm is still over the Pacific Ocean, and we won't be able to be confident about anything until it hits California this afternoon or tomorrow morning.
Today in weather history- December 5, 2003- A massive nor'easter clobbers New England, delivering one to two feet of snow for everyone, including a record 47" for Pinkham Notch, NH. This is a situation that, if the Euro jogs 40 miles east, could verify once more...
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