Bad news for those who went to bed without looking at the models.
The 0z GFS is actually even further north than the 18z, dropping widespread totals over a foot into southern Connecticut. On that note...I am issuing a severe storm warning for blizzard conditions and the map I showed earlier holds...with locally higher amounts. I'd not be shocked if someone in CT wound up with two feet...depending on where the heavier bands wind up. That said, the WWA's really need to be upgraded...and they will be soon.
The map could change up a bit in the coming runs...especially if the storm bumps up north further.
That said, make no mistake- this is a BLIZZARD, and you can not ever take them lightly. Be wary of the winds, stay warm and comfortable, and enjoy watching one to two feet of fluff pile up in southern CT...and then shoveling it also
Also, congrats on a tremendous forecasting victory NAM! Take your bows- you deserve it.
The GFS snowfall map. The problem? Ratios will be closer to 15:1 than 10:1. Thus, multiply all numbers by 1.5. For example, that 15" total we see in Danbury is actually closer to 2ft because of the 'fluff' factor. Note how much of CT is between six and ten inches...which would average out to nine to fifteen inches...almost exactly my forecast, which is why it is what it is. Note that another jog north could introduce widespread two foot totals into Connecticut.
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