Wednesday, January 14, 2015

1/14- Not much to discuss

Good Wednesday all-

Well, there is really only one noteworthy event to discuss over the next week, and it's five days out, as the day effected would be Monday afternoon. The next few days will be very similar to what we've been experiencing the last few days. Highs in the 30s, lows in the teens, mostly sunny skies- you all expect that kind of weather in January. By the weekend though, a weak warm front passes through dry Friday night, but it sends the temperature into the 40s for Sunday,  but a cold front comes through Monday...but things then get interesting.

As the cold front moves off the coast, some computer models have been indicating the development of a low pressure center along that front, which then moves up the coast. The current computer models indicate that it will track too close to the coast to be a snowstorm but...it's not exactly a big cushion, as the track is over Cape Cod at the moment on the GFS, and the Euro is out to sea, and there would be a very close call with the arrival of the cold air, a significant snowstorm, it's safe to say, has a less than 25% chance of occurring, and thus there is no need to issue a storm watch at this time, since the odds strongly favor a large amount of rain (and there could be as much as 0.5-0.75" of rain in the worst case scenario).

In any event, enjoy your Wednesday without any fear of the weather.

Today in weather history- January 14, 1882- Remember the other day how I was talking about snow in San Diego- the second biggest southern CA snowfall...well here's the biggest for you. Once again, San Diego only gets a trace...but San Bernadino gets 15 inches, and parts of the Baja Peninsula, yes the part of Mexico on the west coast that got crushed by Hurricane Odile this year, get 20 inches of snow. I'd love to see the weather map for this day, but naturally that would be hard to find, since weather data was scarce 133 years ago!

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