Thursday, December 31, 2015

12/31- From blizzards to drought, 2015 had it all

Good Thursday all, and Happy New Years' Eve-

Today is going to be rather chilly but not nearly as bad as it could be for the coldest time of the year, as temps will hold in the mid-40s today, helping us feel not too miserable all things considered. That said, please be careful this morning as some areas, especially the higher elevations, received freezing rain last night, so watch the roads and drive safely! For those of you attending the ball drop in Times Square tonight, I think we are looking at cold weather but not nearly as cold as it could be- it should be between 40 and 42 as we sing 'Auld Lang Syne' at the stroke of midnight tonight. Fortunately, beyond today... we may be looking at over a week of perfectly dry weather (albeit cold...really cold) with temps struggling to reach 40 much of the week. Additionally...there are significant signs of a pattern flip around the middle part of the month that would introduce significant snows into the region by this time...so we can't let our guard down.

As I did last year, I'm going to review the year that was in weather in this spot as we say goodbye to another year.

The first few weeks of the New Year were rather unremarkable, causing whispers of a snowless winter as no snow fell in December of 2014, until Winter Storm Blake on January 24 began a snowfall blitz of epic proportions...especially north and east. We all remember Blizzard Colbie, on January 26 and 27, which was a major forecast bust in western Connecticut but dropped 3 feet of snow in Windham County, for one reason or another.

February was one of the snowiest months that I can ever remember as Winter Storms Darius and Ella, along with Blizzard Faith, dropped as much as 3ft of snow between them in the first 15 days of the month...though Blizzard Faith, again, vastly under preformed in the western 2/3rds of Connecticut.

March certainly came in like a lion, with Winter Storm Gavin dropping as much as 8" on the region...as well as a storm that was not named just three days later (but probably should have been named Winter Storm Hunter), which dropped as much as 9" of snow on southern areas.

April was rather unremarkable except for the fact that it was significantly below average, as many of you will remember as it was a late start to spring. We can also possibly remember that we had a very unusual number of snow chances this April...but none actually panned out.

The only noteworthy weather event of May was Tropical Storm Ana, which did not directly impact the region but made a fair bit of noise when it made landfall in the Carolinas.

The summer will be remembered for being very, very dry. Likely, the most memorable event however was the microburst that struck North Haven and Wallingford on June 23, which caused trees to go flying and started rumors of tornadoes but was decided that it was not by the NWS in Upton. This was especially memorable for me because I was in the car with my mom right through it as it happened...it was an absolutely surreal (and at times very frightening) experience.

July was not really much of anything except dry weather, despite brief tropical threats to our region from Hurricanes Danny and Erika...but was significantly above average in temperature.

August, despite being extremely unremarkable for us here in New England...will be remembered for the first direct hit on Cape Verde by a hurricane- the first hurricane to ever make landfall in Africa from the Atlantic basin.

September will be most remembered for a storm that never ended up doing what it was capable of, and that is Hurricane Joaquin, which was the strongest Atlantic hurricane since 2013...but its' forecaster landfall in the Carolinas or New England never materialized, and we once again salute the Euro as EASILY the best computer model for tropical weather.

October, undoubtedly, will be remembered for two things- the formation of the strongest hurricane in world history, Patricia, and the ludicrously early first flakes of the season which fell on October 17- in fact, the second earliest snowfall on record at Bridgeport.

November, was probably the least entertaining month of weather in the world this year. Seriously, nothing noteworthy happened here or anywhere else, which is genuinely difficult to achieve.

December was remarkable in that it was the warmest on record by a HUGE margin, with an almost 10 degree victory over the second. It's a truly once in a lifetime event...but somehow, many areas actually recorded more snow than they did last year because of the morning ice storm on 12/29.

As we say a fond farewell to a very memorable weather year, please think of all that you have accomplished personally as well- this year I got into college with a scholarship, got my drivers' license, moved, and had a very exciting trip to Ohio in August.

Additionally, thanks for trusting my blog for this year, it's been a great ride. Feel free to click through the archives if you feel like reminiscing more on the year that was, and let's all make 2016 even better. I can't wait, it will be fun. I'll see you tomorrow for the first forecast of the new (leap) year!


The microburst in Wallingford in June was the most significant severe weather event of the season in Connecticut
Joaquin clobbers the Bahamas on October 1, and gives the northeast their biggest tropical scare since Sandy.

The final named storm of the season, Gavin dropped about 6" statewide in March, and causing the 2014/15 winter to have the most named storms in 20 years




 


































See you next year!!

Wednesday, December 30, 2015

12/30- Chilly, Icy morning

Good Wednesday all-

Today is going to be a relatively chilly day, especially compared to what we've been experiencing for much of December, as temps will be in the mid-40s, but fortunately sunshine is likely for much of the day today...well actually, much of the day for much of the next week, since there is no serious storms in sight at all. There are only two minor exceptions with this- tomorrow morning (when a sustained light rain will fall for a few hours) and Saturday (with a flurry or two around). The next threat for a truly major winter storm appears to not come until on or around 1/9...but that's way out there, so plenty can change. I'll be watching that one really closely though as I have a flight to New Orleans early in the morning on 1/9...so if there's a major storm on that day...that could be a real problem for me.

Today in weather history- December 30, 1933- The coldest morning in the history of New England prominently effects the Green and White Mountains, as Bloomfield, VT records a reading of -50!! Can you imagine what that would be like?

For those going to Times Square for the ball drop tomorrow night, the weather looks fine...but bring a warm jacket!

Tuesday, December 29, 2015

12/29- Chilly & Icy

Good Tuesday all-

Everyone except coastal Middlesex and New London counties is under a WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY

Well, the snow was a bit heavier than I expected last night in my area, but still within my range. I have probably an inch on the ground in Naugatuck, with some areas having the grass totally covered and others with barely anything...so I am guesstimating. Either way, it's very pretty and is the first bit of snow I've seen accumulate at my new house, so that's a neat experience.

The rest of today will continue to be icy, especially in the morning, with areas along and north of 84 dealing with the worst of the storm before we all change over to rain later this morning. Fortunately, once we get through today, the rest of the week looks dry (except potentially for the morning of New Year's Eve, where scattered showers are possible). In fact, after today, the next potential for a true snowstorm is nowhere to be found...though the dates around the 10th may prove to be interesting. Thus, naturally, I'm flying out on the 9th to Louisiana for the American Meteorological Society's conference...so I hope I don't miss the seasons first true snowstorm!!

Today in weather history- December 29, 2012- Winter Storm Bryan strikes New England very hard, dropping over a foot of snow on parts of Connecticut. The problem is that this storm, and all others that year, are forgotten due to the incredible impact that Blizzard Charlotte would have just over a month later.

Here comes 2016- we're 3 days away!

Monday, December 28, 2015

12/28- Winter Truly Arrives

Good Monday all-

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY is posted for everyone except the immediate shoreline of New London and Middlesex counties.

Today is going to be the calm before the storm, but it'll be downright chilly with highs in the mid 30s but with sunshine. Clouds will be on the increase before the storm arrives tonight, which will start as a wintry mix and stay that way for several hours. Here are my current thoughts after last night's model runs.





As you can see, the models are even warmer than yesterday and very little in the way of snow will fall in Connecticut tonight. Here is my bigger concern though-